Let $a(n)=$ Number of ordered set partitions of $[n]$ such that the smallest element of each block is odd.
Example:
a(3) = 3: 123, 12|3, 3|12.
a(4) = 5: 1234, 124|3, 3|124, 12|34, 34|12.
See A290384 for details.
Motivated by Question 403336 and Question 403386, I consider the permanents $\operatorname{per}(A)$ where $$A=\left[\left\lceil \frac{2j-k}{n+\cos^2(\frac{n\pi}{2})}\right\rceil \right]_{1\le j,k\le n}$$ and $\lceil \cdot\rceil$ is the ceil function.
When $n=1,2,3,4,5,6$, $A=$ $$\left[ \begin {array}{c} 1\end {array} \right] ,$$
$$\left[ \begin {array}{cc} 1&0\\ 1&1\end {array} \right], $$
$$ \left[ \begin {array}{ccc} 1&0&0\\ 1&1&1 \\ 2&2&1\end {array} \right] ,$$
$$ \left[ \begin {array}{cccc} 1&0&0&0\\ 1&1&1&0 \\ 1&1&1&1\\ 2&2&1&1\end {array} \right] ,$$
$$ \left[ \begin {array}{ccccc} 1&0&0&0&0\\ 1&1&1&0&0 \\ 1&1&1&1&1\\ 2&2&1&1&1 \\ 2&2&2&2&1\end {array} \right] ,$$
$$\left[ \begin {array}{cccccc} 1&0&0&0&0&0\\ 1&1&1&0 &0&0\\ 1&1&1&1&1&0\\ 1&1&1&1&1&1 \\ 2&2&1&1&1&1\\ 2&2&2&2&1&1 \end {array} \right] $$ respectively.
Numerical computation indicates that $$\operatorname{per}(A)=a(n)$$ for $1≤n≤21$.
n per(A)
1 1
2 1
3 3
4 5
5 23
6 57
7 355
8 1165
9 9135
10 37313
11 352667
12 1723605
13 19063207
14 108468169
15 1374019539
16 8920711325
17 127336119839
18 928899673425
19 14751357906571
20 119445766884325
21 2088674728868631
Thus, we obtain the following
Conjecture 1. For any positive integer $n$,$$\operatorname{per}(A) = a(n).$$
Question 1. Is this identity correct? How to prove it?
EDIT
Let
$$B=\left[\left\lceil \frac{j+k}{n+\cos^2(\frac{n\pi}{2})}\right\rceil \right]_{1\le j,k\le n}$$ where $\lceil \cdot\rceil$ is the ceil function.
When $n=1,2,3,4,5,6$, $B=$
$$ \left[ \begin {array}{c} 2\end {array} \right], $$
$$\left[ \begin {array}{cc} 1&1\\ 1&2\end {array} \right], $$
$$\left[ \begin {array}{ccc} 1&1&2\\ 1&2&2 \\ 2&2&2\end {array} \right] ,$$
$$ \left[ \begin {array}{cccc} 1&1&1&1\\ 1&1&1&2 \\ 1&1&2&2\\ 1&2&2&2\end {array} \right] ,$$
$$ \left[ \begin {array}{ccccc} 1&1&1&1&2\\ 1&1&1&2&2 \\ 1&1&2&2&2\\ 1&2&2&2&2 \\ 2&2&2&2&2\end {array} \right] ,$$
$$ \left[ \begin {array}{cccccc} 1&1&1&1&1&1\\ 1&1&1&1 &1&2\\ 1&1&1&1&2&2\\ 1&1&1&2&2&2 \\ 1&1&2&2&2&2\\ 1&2&2&2&2&2 \end {array} \right] $$ respectively.
We have the following
Conjecture 2. For any positive integer $n$, $$\operatorname{per}(B)=\frac{3-(-1)^n}{2}F(n)$$ where $F(n)$ is the Fubini numbers, i.e. the number of ordered partitions of $[n]$.
It is equivalent to
Conjecture 3. For any positive integer $n$, $$\operatorname{per}(C)=F(n),$$ where $$C=\left[\left\lceil\frac{j+k}{n+1}\right\rceil\right]_{1\le j,k\le n}.$$
Numerical computation indicates that it is true for $1≤n≤21$.
Question 2. Are these new results? How to prove them?
A2: By @Peter Taylor's comments, Conjectures 2 and 3 are known results.
ADDED
Today (2021-9-24), I discovered the following interesting arithmetic properties of $a(n)$
Conjecture 4. For any prime $p$,
$$a(n) \equiv a(n+p(p-1)) \pmod p.$$
Noting that $a(1)=a(2)=1$, we have
Conjecture 5. For any prime $p$ , $$a(p^2-p+1) \equiv 1 \pmod p,$$ $$a(p^2-p+2) \equiv 1 \pmod p.$$
Numerical computation indicates that it is true for $2≤p≤19$.
Moreover
Conjecture 6. For any prime $p$ and positive integer $n\geq h \geq 1$,
$$a(n) \equiv a(n+p^h(p-1)) \pmod{p^h}.$$
It is similar to Daniel Barsky's congruence for Fubini numbers.
Daniel Barsky's Congruence. For any prime $p$ and positive integer $n\geq h \geq 1$,
$$F(n) \equiv F(n+p^{h-1}(p-1)) \pmod{p^h},$$
where $F(n)$ is the Fubini numbers.
Question 3. Are these congruences correct? How to prove them?
ADDED (2021-9-27)
Claim. Conjecture 4 is true for $2 \leq p \leq 5$.
Proof. Obviously, we have $a(n)\equiv 1 \pmod{2}$. For $3\leq p \leq 5$, we use the following generating function $$\sum_{n\geq 1} a(n)x^n = \sum_{k\geq 1} \frac{(-1)^{k-1}}{\binom{-\frac1x-1}{k-1}\binom{\frac1x-1}k},$$ which is proved by Max Alekseyev.
When $p=3$, \begin{align} \sum_{n\geq 1} a(n)x^n &\equiv \sum_{1 \leq k \leq 2} \frac{(-1)^{k-1}}{\binom{-\frac1x-1}{k-1}\binom{\frac1x-1}k}\\ &=-\frac{x}{x-1}+2\,{\frac {{x}^{3}}{ \left( x+1 \right) \left( 2\,{x}^{2}-3\,x+1 \right) }}\\ &= \sum _{n=0}^{\infty } \left( -{\frac { \left( -1 \right) ^{n}}{3}}+{ \frac {{2}^{n}}{3}} \right) {x}^{n} \pmod{3} \end{align} and $-{\frac { \left( -1 \right) ^{n}}{3}}+{\frac {{2}^{n}}{3}} \pmod{3}$ is a periodic sequence with least period $6$: repeat in the pattern $$1, 1, 0, 2, 2, 0.$$ This leads to $a(n) \equiv a(n+6) \pmod 3.$
Similarly, we have \begin{align} \sum_{n\geq 1} a(n)x^n &\equiv \sum_{1 \leq k \leq 4} \frac{(-1)^{k-1}}{\binom{-\frac1x-1}{k-1}\binom{\frac1x-1}k}\\ &=\sum _{n=0}^{\infty } \left( {\frac {13\,{2}^{n}}{30}}+{\frac {{4}^{n} }{35}}+{\frac { \left( -2 \right) ^{n}}{10}}-{\frac { \left( -3 \right) ^{n}}{35}}-{\frac {13\, \left( -1 \right) ^{n}}{30}}-{\frac { {3}^{n}}{10}} \right) {x}^{n} \pmod{5}, \end{align}
so $a(n) \pmod{5}$ is a periodic sequence with least period $20$: repeat in the pattern $$1, 1, 3, 0, 3, 2, 0, 0, 0, 3, 2, 0, 2, 4, 4, 0, 4, 0, 1, 0.$$ This leads to $a(n) \equiv a(n+20) \pmod 5.$ QED
Moreover, we have the following
Conjecture 7. For any odd prime $p$, \begin{equation} \sum_{n=1}^{p(p-1)}a(n) \equiv \begin{cases} p \pmod{p^2} &\mbox{if $p \equiv 1 \pmod 4$ }\\ 0 \pmod{p^2} &\mbox{if $p \equiv 3 \pmod 4$ } \end{cases}. \end{equation} It is true for $3 \leq p \leq 19$.
ADDED (2021-10-04)
Conjecture 8. For any prime $p$, $$\sum_{n=1}^{p(p-1)}\left(\frac{a(n)}{p}\right)\equiv 0 \pmod p,$$ where $\left(\frac{\cdot}p\right)$ is the Legendre symbol.
It is true for $2 \leq p \leq 19$.