This is actually a variant of a well-known problem of how the parameters of a multinomial distribution can be estimated by maximum likelihood, and this arises from a final year project I undertook about single-cell RNA-seq. But I don't know how (or whether) it can be solved.
Settings
Define $S_{D}=\{\mathbf{x_{i}}\in\mathbb{R}^{D}:0\leq x_{ij}\leq1\:\forall j\:,\sum_{j}x_{ij}=1\}$ to be a simplex space of dimension $D-1$. Let $L(S_D)$ denote the set of all linear operators over $S_D$.
Let $\mathbf{Y}_i \sim \text{Multinom}(N,P\mathbf{a})$, where $\mathbf{a}$ is an unknown fixed parameter in $S^D$, with the unknown fixed operator $P\in L(S_D)$. $N$ is a known positive integer.
Problem Statement
Given the data $\{\mathbf{y}\}_{i\leq n}$,
- how can/is it possible that $\mathbf{a}$ and $P$ (under the canonical basis) be estimated by maximum likelihood?
- In fact, is there an estimator $\hat{\mathbf{a}}$ of $\mathbf{a}$ whose asymptotic distribution $\hat{\mathbf{a}}-\mathbf{a}$ can be computed?
- Furthermore, if we are allowed to have exactly one estimate of $P$ that can be arbitrarily close to $P$ under some matrix norm, does there exist an algorithm that can compute for each iteration an estimator of $\mathbf{a}$ that converges in probability to $\mathbf{a}$?
- Finally, suppose we define the estimator $$\hat{\mathbf{a}}_1 = \frac{\sum_{i}^n\hat{P}^{-1}y_i}{n}$$ is the asymptotic distribution of $\hat{\mathbf{a}}_1$ converging in distribution to some distribution indepedent of $P$ and $\mathbf{a}$ if $\|\hat{P}^{-1}P-I\| \leq \delta$ for some $\delta>0$, and $\hat{P} \in L(S_D)$ is symmetric?