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Recently my research needs to calculate the close form of $\mathsf{E}[|X-\frac{n}{2}|]$ where $X$ follows binomial distribution with parameter $(n,p)$. When $p=\frac{1}{2}$, this is just the mean absolute deviation (MAD) and has close form, see this paper for more details. But when $p\neq\frac{1}{2}$ the close form seems to become tricky. I come up with an idea that we can try to calculate $\lim_{t\rightarrow 2}\mathsf{E}[(X-\frac{n}{2})^\frac{2}{t}]$, but I'm also not familiar with the fractional moment. Any references or ideas would be appreciated.

Thanks in advance.

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  • $\begingroup$ I am not entirely sure what the question is asking, could you give some more details of what you are trying to achieve? $\endgroup$ Commented Feb 12, 2020 at 13:23
  • $\begingroup$ @Tom I'm trying to find the close form of the expected value for any $p$, if there's no close form, sharp approximation would be appreciated, thank you. $\endgroup$
    – camel8899
    Commented Feb 12, 2020 at 13:41

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Mathematica can only produce a useless, tautological expression for $E|X-n/2|$ in terms of the hypergeometric function. Using Lemma 1 (Todhunter's Formula) in the paper you linked and the expression of the binomial distribution function in terms of the incomplete beta function (see e.g. Lemma 1), one can easily get an expression of $E|X-n/2|$ in terms of the incomplete beta function.

However, an apparently better way to deal with this problem is to provide the following approximation of $E|X-n/2|$, which will be very close to $E|X-n/2|$ if $p$ is not too close to $1/2$. Indeed, for any real $u$ we have $|u|=u-2u\,1_{u<0}$, which implies $$E|X-n/2|=E(X-n/2)+R_n=n(p-1/2)+R_n,$$ where $$R_n:=E(n/2-X)1_{X<n/2}.$$ Assuming now $p>1/2$ and using Hoeffding's inequality, we have $$0\le R_n\le(n/2)P(X<n/2)\le R_n^*:=(n/2)e^{-2n(p-1/2)^2}.$$ The case $p<1/2$ is similar. So, we have $$|E|X-n/2|-n|p-1/2||\le R_n^*.$$ In particular, this implies that for $n\to\infty$ $$E|X-n/2|\sim n|p-1/2|$$ if $p\ne1/2$ is fixed or, more generally, if $p=p_n$ varies with $n$ so that $$\liminf_{n\to\infty}\frac{|p_n-1/2|}{\sqrt{(\ln n)/n}}>\frac12.$$

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