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Theory and applications of probability and stochastic processes: e.g. central limit theorems, large deviations, stochastic differential equations, models from statistical mechanics, queuing theory.

6 votes
0 answers
146 views

Running minimum of exponential random walks

Let $\{X_i\}$ be a collection of i.i.d. Exp$(1)$ random variables. For $k \in \mathbb{Z}_{>0}$, define $$S_k = \sum_{i=1}^k X_i$$ and note that $\mathbb{E}[S_k] = k$. I was wondering if there is any w …
Xiao's user avatar
  • 485
5 votes
1 answer
584 views

Radon-Nikodym derivative and conditional probability

In this paper by Diaconis and Zabell from 1982, Theorem 2.1 and the remark after essentially stated that Given two probability measures $P$ and $Q$ on the same probability space $\Omega$. If $Q\ll P$ …
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  • 485
2 votes
1 answer
421 views

Random walk always stays below a level $a$

Suppose we have a random walk $S_n$ with i.i.d. steps $X_i$. We assume that $$\mathbb{E}[X_i] = -\mu, \text{Var}[X_i] = 1,$$ where $\mu$ is close (or going) to zero. We also assume that the moment gen …
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  • 485
3 votes
0 answers
78 views

super-critical percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^2$, number of corners in a directed open path

Define the planar percolation where each unit edge is open with probability $p$ very close to $1$. Looking at the event where there exists a directed open path between $(0,0)$ and $(n,n)$. This event …
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  • 485
3 votes
1 answer
182 views

Bernoulli percolation, infinite path from (0,0) in a "cone"

Look at Bernoulli percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^2$ with $p> p_c$ ($p$ can be arbitrarily close to 1). I am interested in the probability that there exists an infinite cluster starting at $(0,0)$ and it …
Xiao's user avatar
  • 485
2 votes
1 answer
222 views

Maximum of sums of iid $X_i$'s where $X_i$ is the difference of two exponential r.v

Given $X_i = A_i - B_i$ where $A_i\sim \text{ Exp}(\alpha)$ and $B_i \sim \text{ Exp}(\lambda)$. Define $S_k = \sum_{i=1}^k X_i$ with $S_0 = 0$, and $$M_n = \max_{1\leq k \leq n} S_k.$$ Is it possibl …
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  • 485
11 votes
1 answer
1k views

Maximal inequality for the average of i.i.d. random variables

Let $Z_i$ be i.i.d. random variables with $\mathbb{E}[Z_i] = 0$ and $\mathbb{E}|Z_i|^p< \infty$ for $p=1,2,3,\cdots$. I am looking for the following type of estimate if possible, and it is not like th …
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  • 485