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Theory and applications of probability and stochastic processes: e.g. central limit theorems, large deviations, stochastic differential equations, models from statistical mechanics, queuing theory.

2 votes
Accepted

Recovery of probability distribution from a single point

Regarding Question 1, I think the notion you are looking for is that $C$ consists of random variables having mutually singular distribution measures. Regarding Question 2 (standard name for the Fact) …
Bjørn Kjos-Hanssen's user avatar
1 vote

Algorithm interpolating between alternation and randomness

How about $Y_i\sim\text{Bernoulli}(p)$ where $$ p = \frac12 \left(1 + \frac{1}{1 + \sum_{j=1}^i X_j}\right) $$ That is, every time there is a 1 in the sequence, we get closer to fair coin randomness. …
Bjørn Kjos-Hanssen's user avatar
2 votes

Sufficient conditions for establishing a total order on a family of probability distributions?

The random variable $X$ stochastically dominates the random variable $Y$, written $X\succeq Y$, if $\Pr(X\ge y)\ge\Pr(Y\ge y)$ for all $y$. This relation is transitive. Let's write $X\gtrsim Y$ if $\ …
Bjørn Kjos-Hanssen's user avatar
5 votes
Accepted

Anti-concentration for sums of geometric random variables

This is just the negative binomial distribution. So you can work with the corresponding cdf, the regularized incomplete beta function.
Bjørn Kjos-Hanssen's user avatar
1 vote
Accepted

Central limit theorem for random surfaces

I think yes, it's implied by the following (from Wikipedia https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gaussian_free_field): Similarly to Brownian motion, which is the scaling limit of a wide range of discre …
Bjørn Kjos-Hanssen's user avatar
5 votes

Probability two matching runs of coin tosses

An upper bound is $${\ell\choose 2} 2^{-\ell} $$ which goes to 0. Indeed, by the union bound an upper bound is $2^{-\ell}$ times the number of positions $i<j$ such that the two matching runs start at …
Bjørn Kjos-Hanssen's user avatar
2 votes

how to formalize a notion of symmetric set difference probability?

This question may be more appropriate for Math StackExchange. Nevertheless, some hints: For the argument from the paper, consider what would happen if $\mathbb P(A)$ and $\mathbb P(B)$ are close t …
Bjørn Kjos-Hanssen's user avatar
2 votes
Accepted

Heaviside Step Function of a Random Variable

I don't think there's a much nicer way. You could either say Let $G_X(x)=\mathbb{P}(X <x)=\lim_{(t\rightarrow x^-)}F_X(t)$; then $$ f_Y(y)=(1-G_X(0))\delta(y-1)+G_X(0)\delta(y) $$ or change th …
Bjørn Kjos-Hanssen's user avatar
1 vote

A question on independence

Let $f=0$. Then we do not know whether the $A_n=B_n$ are independent.
Bjørn Kjos-Hanssen's user avatar
13 votes
1 answer
654 views

Is the nearest walk to Brownian motion uniform?

Let $W:[0,1]\rightarrow\mathbb R$ be standard Brownian motion with $W(0)=0$. Let $F_n$ denote the collection of all the $2^n$ many piecewise linear continuous functions $f:[0,1]\rightarrow\mathbb R$ …
Bjørn Kjos-Hanssen's user avatar
5 votes
0 answers
308 views

Is the nearest walk to Brownian motion approximately uniform?

This is a follow-up to an earlier MO question. Let $W:[0,1]\rightarrow\mathbb R$ be standard Brownian motion with $W(0)=0$. Let $F_n$ denote the collection of all the $2^n$ many piecewise linear con …
Bjørn Kjos-Hanssen's user avatar
2 votes

Bound that random walk stays within with constant probability?

For a probability 1 statement, it's $\pm\sqrt{n\log\log n}$ (times a constant), see Law of the Iterated Logarithm. There are some further refinements which may give probability strictly between 0 and …
Bjørn Kjos-Hanssen's user avatar
1 vote

Longest run of heads

[This answer is a followup to Anthony Quas' comment and your subsequent request for an explicit map.] Let's list all the outcomes as $x_1\prec x_2\prec\dots\prec x_{2^n}$ in the following order: $x$ …
Bjørn Kjos-Hanssen's user avatar
4 votes
0 answers
121 views

Covariance matrix for number of powers in a word

A word over the alphabet $\{0,1\}$ of length $n$ may contain squares, cubes, and generally $k$th powers, where $2\le k\le n$. Let $O_k(w)$ denote the number of $k$th power occurrences in the word $w$. …
Bjørn Kjos-Hanssen's user avatar
1 vote

Constructing a Bernoulli random variable for ratio of Bernoulli weights

One limitation of the von Neumann trick is that you don't know in advance how many samples will be needed. If you limit the number of samples in advance, we can get a negative answer. That is, suppos …
Bjørn Kjos-Hanssen's user avatar

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