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Theory and applications of probability and stochastic processes: e.g. central limit theorems, large deviations, stochastic differential equations, models from statistical mechanics, queuing theory.
2
votes
Accepted
Recovery of probability distribution from a single point
Regarding Question 1, I think the notion you are looking for is that $C$ consists of random variables having mutually singular distribution measures.
Regarding Question 2 (standard name for the Fact) …
1
vote
Algorithm interpolating between alternation and randomness
How about $Y_i\sim\text{Bernoulli}(p)$ where
$$
p = \frac12 \left(1 + \frac{1}{1 + \sum_{j=1}^i X_j}\right)
$$
That is, every time there is a 1 in the sequence, we get closer to fair coin randomness.
…
2
votes
Sufficient conditions for establishing a total order on a family of probability distributions?
The random variable $X$ stochastically dominates the random variable $Y$, written $X\succeq Y$, if $\Pr(X\ge y)\ge\Pr(Y\ge y)$ for all $y$. This relation is transitive.
Let's write $X\gtrsim Y$ if $\ …
5
votes
Accepted
Anti-concentration for sums of geometric random variables
This is just the negative binomial distribution.
So you can work with the corresponding cdf, the regularized incomplete beta function.
1
vote
Accepted
Central limit theorem for random surfaces
I think yes, it's implied by the following (from Wikipedia https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gaussian_free_field):
Similarly to Brownian motion, which is the scaling limit of a wide range of discre …
5
votes
Probability two matching runs of coin tosses
An upper bound is $${\ell\choose 2} 2^{-\ell} $$ which goes to 0.
Indeed, by the union bound an upper bound is $2^{-\ell}$ times the number of positions $i<j$ such that the two matching runs start at …
2
votes
how to formalize a notion of symmetric set difference probability?
This question may be more appropriate for Math StackExchange.
Nevertheless,
some hints:
For the argument from the paper, consider what would happen if $\mathbb P(A)$ and $\mathbb P(B)$ are close t …
2
votes
Accepted
Heaviside Step Function of a Random Variable
I don't think there's a much nicer way. You could either say
Let $G_X(x)=\mathbb{P}(X <x)=\lim_{(t\rightarrow x^-)}F_X(t)$; then
$$
f_Y(y)=(1-G_X(0))\delta(y-1)+G_X(0)\delta(y)
$$
or change th …
1
vote
A question on independence
Let $f=0$. Then we do not know whether the $A_n=B_n$ are independent.
13
votes
1
answer
654
views
Is the nearest walk to Brownian motion uniform?
Let $W:[0,1]\rightarrow\mathbb R$ be standard Brownian motion with $W(0)=0$.
Let $F_n$ denote the collection of all the $2^n$ many piecewise linear continuous functions $f:[0,1]\rightarrow\mathbb R$ …
5
votes
0
answers
308
views
Is the nearest walk to Brownian motion approximately uniform?
This is a follow-up to an earlier MO question.
Let $W:[0,1]\rightarrow\mathbb R$ be standard Brownian motion with $W(0)=0$.
Let $F_n$ denote the collection of all the $2^n$ many piecewise linear con …
2
votes
Bound that random walk stays within with constant probability?
For a probability 1 statement, it's $\pm\sqrt{n\log\log n}$ (times a constant), see Law of the Iterated Logarithm.
There are some further refinements which may give probability strictly between 0 and …
1
vote
Longest run of heads
[This answer is a followup to Anthony Quas' comment and your subsequent request for an explicit map.]
Let's list all the outcomes as $x_1\prec x_2\prec\dots\prec x_{2^n}$ in the following order:
$x$ …
4
votes
0
answers
121
views
Covariance matrix for number of powers in a word
A word over the alphabet $\{0,1\}$ of length $n$ may contain squares, cubes, and generally $k$th powers, where $2\le k\le n$. Let $O_k(w)$ denote the number of $k$th power occurrences in the word $w$. …
1
vote
Constructing a Bernoulli random variable for ratio of Bernoulli weights
One limitation of the von Neumann trick is that you don't know in advance how many samples will be needed.
If you limit the number of samples in advance, we can get a negative answer.
That is, suppos …