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Theory and applications of probability and stochastic processes: e.g. central limit theorems, large deviations, stochastic differential equations, models from statistical mechanics, queuing theory.
3
votes
Accepted
Ornstein-Uhlenbeck conditioned to be positive
One way to do it in a computational way is to use a representation as time changed Brownian motion $\{W_t\}$ and known results concerning Brownian motion.
Write $X_t=xe^{-t}+e^{-t}W_{u(t)}$ where $u( …
7
votes
Accepted
Probability all Bernoulli random variables take value $1$ with limited independence
This has been treated in the literature:
http://arxiv.org/pdf/0801.0059v3.pdf
also see
http://arxiv.org/pdf/1201.3261.pdf
In particular, the upper bound goes to 0, but only polynomialy in $n$.
2
votes
Large Deviations for $\nu_\epsilon = Z_\epsilon\exp\left(-\frac{1}{\epsilon}\Phi(x)\right)d\mu$
Look up Varadhan's lemma in any large deviations text. Specifically, Deuschel-Stroock, Exercise 2.1.24
5
votes
Accepted
On the expectation of a path integral involving Brownian motion up to a random time
Define $u(x)=E^x\int_0^\tau X_s ds$, then $u$ satisfies $\sigma^2 u_{xx}/2-\mu u_x=-x$ with boundary condition $u(b)=0$ and $u(\infty)=\infty$. (This is missing a boundary condition, but a good way to …
6
votes
Accepted
Is "small" dependence enough for central limit theorem?
For point 1, search for
``CLT for mixing sequences''
you will be drowned by the number of hits.
Also, there are CLT's for stationary sequences in many textbooks - Hall and Heyde's book has a section …
1
vote
Sharp lower bound for the tail of Chi-squared distribution
You should quantify the range of $x$ that you are interested in. For example, for $1<<x<<\sqrt{n}$ you should be in the moderate deviations regime, and you could give lower bounds by performing
the a …
4
votes
Accepted
Large deviations for missing mass
Background: this question is motivated by the OP's paper http://arxiv.org/pdf/1111.2328.pdf. Amir Dembo and I had answered this question privately to Aryeh a long time ago. I paste the answer here, ad …
5
votes
Reflected vs conditioned
Here is one way to formalize "concentrated": for large time, the density of the conditioned process converges to the top eigenfunction of the laplacian with Dirichlet boundary conditions, while the re …
2
votes
Bussgang theorem for cyclostationary processes
The correct statement is the following:
$$E(Y(t)X(s))=F(t) E(X(t)X(s))$$
for some function $F(t)$ which is periodic.
To see that, follow verbatim the proof in the appendix of
http://www3.alcatel-lucen …
2
votes
Accepted
Expected maximum distance of a random walk
Define $S_i$, $i=1,\ldots,2n$ to be the number of $1$s in the interval $[0,i]$, minus $i/2$. Then,
with your notation, $Y_i:=X_{i+1}-n/2=S_{n+i}-S_i$. You are interested in
$M^*_n:=\max_{i=1}^n |Y_i| …
7
votes
Accepted
Positive correlation of conditional expectations
Of course not. Let $X,Y$ be negatively correlated centered standard Gaussian (say with correlation -1/2). Let $Z=X+Y$ and let ${\cal A}=\sigma(X)$, ${\cal B}=\sigma(Y)$. Then
$E(Z|{\cal A})=X+E(Y|{\ca …
0
votes
Bounding $l^0$ norm of random quantity
Not so much in terms of high dimensional probability (though this is definitely a high dimensional probability question).
I suspect however that you meant a slightly different question, which I answer …
3
votes
Accepted
Almost last births in branching random walk
Consider the binary tree of ancestry (thus, the vertices at depth $n$ are the particles that reach location $n$). Write on each edge $e$ between level $n-1$ to level $n$ the time it takes to generate …
7
votes
Proof for additivity of cumulants
I assume all your moments are finite. In that case, a simple proof is to approximate your random variable by truncation, use the additivity for the approximated cummulants, and then pass to the limit …
2
votes
Variance of maximum over a dyadic tree
It depends on more than the variance of the increments. If they have exponential tails of high enough order, the variance is of order $1$ (look up "branching random walks", or the lecture notes of Shi …