As an honest question (probably with some subjectivity), how many smooth oriented 4-manifolds are actually symplectic? Can I say half (perhaps under some mild assumptions)? I ask this question because every compact smooth oriented 4-manifold with $b^2_+\ge 1$ admits a near-symplectic form, i.e. a closed 2-form which is symplectic away from a finite set of circles.
Some results that might push the percentage one way or the other:
- Gompf has shown that any finitely presented group can be realized as the fundamental group of a compact symplectic 4-manifold.
- The Seiberg-Witten invariants are nonzero for symplectic 4-manifolds, and in a sense show that they are the "irreducible" basic forms of smooth 4-manifolds.
- Every compact symplectic 4-manifold is a branched cover of $\mathbb{C}P^2$.
The responses/comments show that we can ask this question (on when can I expect my 4-manifold to be symplectic) in many different ways, each with different expectations. So I am interested in some further thoughts on Tim's and Dmitri's questions.