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Definitions:

Two real valued random variables $X_0$ and $X_1$ are called a one step martingale if $E[X_1| X_0] = X_0$.

We say the one step martingale is in $L^2$ if both $X_0$ and $X_1$ are in $L^2(P)$.

Question:

Given an $L^2$ one step martingale $(X_0, X_1)$ does there exist a sequence $(Y_0^n, Y_1^n)$ of $L^2$ one step martingales satisfying the following two conditions?

  • $Y_0, Y_1$ are simple random variables, i.e. variables taking only a finite number of values.
  • $Y_0^n, Y_1^n$ converge to $X_0, X_1$ respectively in $L^2$.
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  • $\begingroup$ Why can't you just take a sequence of finite $\sigma$-algebras $\mathcal F^n_i$ increasing to $\mathcal F(X_i)$ (the $\sigma$-algebra generated by $X_i$) and define $Y^n_1=\mathbb E(X_1|\mathcal F^n_1\vee \mathcal F^n_0)$ and $Y^n_0=\mathbb E(X_1|\mathcal F^n_0)$? $\endgroup$ Commented May 17, 2021 at 6:31
  • $\begingroup$ Oh, and the existence of such a sequence would be because $\mathcal F(X_i)$ is countably generated. How does one get $L^2$ convergence from convergence along the filtration though? $\endgroup$
    – Nate River
    Commented May 17, 2021 at 6:39
  • $\begingroup$ In the case where the $X_i$ are absolutely continuous I think a “by hand” argument suffices, but I’m not sure how to proceed if they’re more singular. $\endgroup$
    – Nate River
    Commented May 17, 2021 at 6:46
  • $\begingroup$ I think that follows from the pointwise convergence of $Y^n_i$ to $X_i$. We have $\|Y^n_i\|_2^2+\|Y^n_i-X_i\|_2^2=\|X_i\|_2^2$; and since $Y^n_i\to X_i$, we have by Fatou $\liminf \|Y^n_i\|_2^2\ge \|X_i\|_2^2$. $\endgroup$ Commented May 17, 2021 at 6:48
  • $\begingroup$ Ah, right we have a.s. convergence thanks to Doob’s theorem. Thanks! Would you like me to post this as an answer? So that it doesn’t stay “open”. $\endgroup$
    – Nate River
    Commented May 17, 2021 at 6:55

1 Answer 1

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Let $\mathcal F_i^n$ be a sequence of $\sigma$-algebras increasing to $\mathcal F(X_i)$, the $\sigma$-algebra generated by $X_i$ and let $Y_1^n=\mathbb E(X_1|\mathcal F^n_1\vee \mathcal F^n_0)$ and $Y_0^n=\mathbb E(X_1|\mathcal F^n_0)$.

Then $Y^n_1$ and $Y^n_0$ converge pointwise a.s. to $X_1$ and $X_0$ by Doob's martingale convergence theorem. They therefore converge in $L^2$ to $X_1$ and $X_0$ also.

From the tower law, we see that $\mathbb E(Y^n_1|\mathcal F^n_0)=Y^n_0$.

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