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Theory and applications of probability and stochastic processes: e.g. central limit theorems, large deviations, stochastic differential equations, models from statistical mechanics, queuing theory.

-1 votes

What is an upper bound for $|E(X|\mathcal{A})-E(X)|$?

I guess $\alpha$-mixing condition might not be sufficient. Instead, we may need $\phi$-mixing conditions. Without loss of generality, assume $1\ge X\ge 0$ almost surely. Define $\phi$-mixing coeffi …
Jeff 's user avatar
  • 87
2 votes

What is the relationship between $E(X\mid\mathcal{A})$ and $E(X\mid A)$?

This is a simple question. For any $A\in\mathcal{A}$, it holds that $$ \int E(X\mid\mathcal{A})I_A \, dP=E(XI_A)=P(A)E(X\mid A)\le P(A), $$ hence, $E(X\mid\mathcal{A})\le1$ almost surely.. Thanks …
Jeff 's user avatar
  • 87
4 votes
1 answer
1k views

What is an upper bound for $|E(X|\mathcal{A})-E(X)|$?

Let $X$ be a random variable with $|X|\le1$, and $\mathcal{A}$ be a $\sigma$-algebra. What is an upper bound for $|E(X|\mathcal{A})-E(X)|$? Existing results: It has been known that $E|E(X|\mathcal{A …
Jeff 's user avatar
  • 87
0 votes
1 answer
193 views

What is the relationship between $E(X\mid\mathcal{A})$ and $E(X\mid A)$?

This question seems obvious, but not sure how to prove it. Let $\mathcal{A}$ be a $\sigma$-algebra, and $X$ be a random variable. Suppose $E(X\mid A)\le1$ for any $A\in\mathcal{A}$, can we conclude …
Jeff 's user avatar
  • 87