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3 votes
1 answer
337 views

Importance resampling with exponential weighting

Suppose that we have $$ \frac{p(x)}{q(x)} \propto \exp(\tau f(x)), $$ where we can sample from $q$ but not from $p$. Our goal is to generate a set of particles $\{x_i\}_{i=1}^n$ such that $n^{-1}\sum_ …
5 votes
0 answers
479 views

Hierarchical Random Walk (also known as Hierarchical Hidden Markov Model)

Let us consider the following hierarchical (recursive) random walk model, which is also known as the hierarchical hidden Markov model in computer science (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hierarchical_hi …
4 votes
1 answer
174 views

Random Walk with "Forward Dependency"

Let $\{X_t\}_{t=-\infty}^{\infty}$ be a sequence of random variables. We are interested in a "random walk" (or more generally, a random field) that can be characterized by $$ X_t ~|~ X_{t-k}, \ldots, …
3 votes
1 answer
273 views

Stein's Equation for Gaussian Mixtures

In the paper "Spin glasses and Stein's method" (https://arxiv.org/pdf/0706.3500.pdf), Sourav Chatterjee established Stein's equation for mixtures of two Gaussian densities in $\mathbb{R}$, which takes …
6 votes
0 answers
182 views

Distribution of the stopping time of an autoregressive sequence

Consider $e_t$ being i.i.d. uniformly chosen from $\pm 1$. Let $\eta$ be a small positive constant. What is the distribution of $T$ such that $\eta^{0.5} (1+\eta)^T W_T$ first hits $\pm 1$, in which $ …
3 votes
0 answers
151 views

Sequential generation of any random graph

The high-level question is: can we generate any random graph with size $d$ using a Markov chain? For example, let $X^{(0)} = (1,0,\ldots,0) \in R^d$ be the initial state, and $X^{(t+1)} = f^{(t)}(X^ …