Mathematica cannot compute the first moment of the projection, even for $\sigma=1$: [![enter image description here][1]][1] (In fact, by rescaling, the value of $\sigma>0$ does not matter here.) Therefore, it is very unlikely that a closed-form expression for this moment exists. --- As for approximations, those will depend on whether $\|\mu\|/\sigma$ is large or small. [1]: https://i.sstatic.net/EiY9K.png