Let 
$$s_q(N):=\sum_{n=0}^N f_q(n),\quad t_q(N):=\sum_{n=1}^N g_q(n),$$
where 
$$f_q(n):=(4n+1)q^{(4n+1)^2/4},\quad g_q(n):=(4n-1)q^{(4n-1)^2/4}.$$
We want to show that 
$$s_q(\infty)-t_q(\infty)\overset{\text{(?)}}\ge1/10 \tag{1}$$
for all 
$$q\in[e^{-2},e^{-1/2}]. \tag{2} $$

For such $q$, $g_q(n)$ is decreasing in $n\ge1$ and increasing in $q$, and hence 
$$t_q(\infty)-t_q(2)<\int_2^\infty g_{e^{-1/2}}(u)\,du=e^{-49/8}.$$
So, for such $q$,   
$$
\begin{aligned}
&s_q(\infty)-t_q(\infty) \\
&>s_q(2)-t_q(2)-e^{-49/8} \\
&=h(q):=9 q^{81/4}-7 q^{49/4}+5 q^{25/4}-3 q^{9/4}+q^{1/4}-e^{-49/8} \\ 
&\ge h(e^{-1/2})>1/10.
\end{aligned}$$
So, (1) holds.