Here are two observations. Both struck me as surprising at first and then not so surprising at all. I don't know that either helps with the asymptotics. - $a(m,n)$ is the expected number of flips of a fair coin until one gets either $m$ heads or $n$ tails. - Consider the recurrence relation $$b_{m,n}=b(m-1,n)+b(m,n-1)+2^{m+n-2}$$ with $b_{0,n}=b_{m,0}=0.$ Then $$a_{m,n}=\frac{b_{m,n}}{2^{m+n-2}}.$$ ----- I suppose the first observation translates to the behavior of right/up walks in a rectangle. The second observation easily results from the recurrence for the $a_{m,n}$ Here is a table of the first few values $b_{m,n}:$ $$\left[ \begin {array}{ccccccccc} 1&3&7&15&31&63&127&255&511 \\ 3&10&25&56&119&246&501&1012&2035 \\ 7&25&66&154&337&711&1468&2992&6051 \\ 15&56&154&372&837&1804&3784&7800&15899 \\ 31&119&337&837&1930&4246&9054&18902&38897 \\ 63&246&711&1804&4246&9516&20618&43616&90705 \\ 127&501&1468&3784&9054&20618&45332&97140&204229 \\ 255&1012&2992&7800&18902&43616&97140&210664& 447661\\ 511&2035&6051&15899&38897&90705&204229& 447661&960858\end {array} \right]$$ One observes (and then easily proves) that - The table reduced $\bmod 2$ is a Sierpinski triangle. - $b_{1,n}=2^n-1.$ - $b_{2,n}=2^{n+1}-n-2. $