Let $$s_q(N):=\sum_{n=0}^N f_q(n),\quad t_q(N):=\sum_{n=1}^N g_q(n),$$ where $$f_q(n):=(4n+1)q^{(4n+1)^2/4},\quad g_q(n):=(4n-1)q^{(4n-1)^2/4}.$$ We want to show that $$s_q(\infty)-t_q(\infty)\overset{\text{(?)}}\ge1/10 \tag{1}$$ for all $$q\in[e^{-2},e^{-1/2}]. \tag{2} $$ For such $q$, $g_q(n)$ is decreasing in $n\ge1$ and increasing in $q$, and hence $$t_q(\infty)-t_q(2) =\sum_{n=3}^\infty g_q(n) \\ <\int_2^\infty g_{e^{-1/2}}(u)\,du=e^{-49/8}.$$ So, for $q$ as in (2), $$ \begin{aligned} &s_q(\infty)-t_q(\infty) \\ &>s_q(2)-t_q(2)-e^{-49/8} \\ &=h(q):=9 q^{81/4}-7 q^{49/4}+5 q^{25/4}-3 q^{9/4}+q^{1/4}-e^{-49/8} \\ &\ge h(e^{-1/2})>1/10; \end{aligned} \tag{3}$$ the penultimate inequality, $h(q)\ge h(e^{-1/2})$, in the above multiline display is easy to prove, since $h(q)$ is a simple polynomial in $q^{1/4}$ (see a proof below). So, (1) indeed holds for all $q$ as in (2). ---- *Proof of the inequality $h(q)\ge h(e^{-1/2})$ for $q$ as in (2):* For $u\in[e^{-1/2},e^{-1/8}]$, let $$H(u):=h(u^4),\quad H_2(u):=\frac{H''(u)}{24u^7}, \quad H_3(u):=\frac{H_2'(u)}{80 u^{15}},$$ $$ H_4(u):=\frac{H_3'(u)}{168 u^{23}}=729 u^{32}-49\le H_4(e^{-1/8})<0.$$ So, $H_3$ is decreasing (on $[e^{-1/2},e^{-1/8}]$), to $H_3(e^{-1/8})>0$. So, $H_3>0$ and hence $H_2$ is increasing, from $H_2(e^{-1/2})<0$ to $H_2(e^{-1/8})>0$. So, for some $c\in(e^{-1/2},e^{-1/8})$, $H$ is concave on $[e^{-1/2},c]$ and convex on $[c,e^{-1/8}]$. Also, $H(e^{-1/2})>H(e^{-1/8})$ and $H'(e^{-1/8})<0$. So, $H(u)\ge H(e^{-1/8})$ for $u\in[e^{-1/2},e^{-1/8}]$ -- that is, $h(q)\ge h(e^{-1/2})$ for $q$ as in (2). $\quad\Box$