$\newcommand\Ga\Gamma\newcommand\Z{\mathbb Z}$Let $t:=\lambda$ and $k:=x\in\Z\cap[0,t)$. Then for $X_t\sim Pois(t)$ we have $$P(X_t\ge k)=1-\frac{\Ga(k,t)}{\Ga(k)};$$ this can be shown e.g. by integrating $$\Ga(k,t)=\int_t^\infty u^{k-1}e^{-u}\,du$$ $k-1$ times by parts. It follows now by Corollary 3 of [this paper][1] or its [arXiv preprint version][2] that $P(X_t\ge k)>1/2$. Therefore (as was noted by user J.), standard large-deviation techniques are not applicable here. However, using Theorem 1.1 and Proposition 2.7 of [this paper][3] or its [arXiv preprint version][4], we have $$P(X_t\ge k)\le B_1(k,t):=1-e^{-t} \Big(1+\frac{(t+2)^k-t^k-2^k}{2 k!}\Big)$$ for $k\ge3$ and $$P(X_t\ge k)\le B_2(k,t):=1-\frac{e^{-t} t^{k-1}}{k!}$$ for $k\ge1$. Both upper bounds, $B_1(k,t)$ and $B_2(k,t)$, on $P(X_t\ge k)$ are nontrivial, in the sense that they both are strictly less than $1$. Both bounds are rather accurate. The bound $B_2(k,t)$ on $P(X_t\ge k)$ is simpler but less accurate than $B_1(k,t)$. What has been said in this paragraph is illustrated by the following graphs $\Big\{\Big(k,\dfrac{P(X_{2k}\ge k)}{B_1(k,2k)}\Big)\colon k\in\{3,\dots,20\}\Big\}$ (red) and $\Big\{\Big(k,\dfrac{P(X_{2k}\ge k)}{B_2(k,2k)}\Big)\colon k\in\{3,\dots,20\}\Big\}$ (blue): [![enter image description here][5]][5] Here the maximum relative error of the bound $B_1(k,2k)$ on $P(X_{2k}\ge k)$ is $\approx0.001$ and the maximum relative error of the bound $B_2(k,2k)$ on $P(X_{2k}\ge k)$ is $\approx0.050$. [1]: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0167715220303308 [2]: http://arxiv.org/abs/2012.13578 [3]: http://mia.ele-math.com/23-95/Exact-lower-and-upper-bounds-on-the-incomplete-gamma-function [4]: https://arxiv.org/abs/2005.06384 [5]: https://i.sstatic.net/JzNIq.png