I wonder if the probability is dependent only on $r_i$, or also dependent on the placement of $R$ within $S$? In these two examples, <hr /> <img src="https://i.sstatic.net/RvcHl.jpg" /> <hr /> it takes an average of $2.70$ steps to reach slicing $R$ on the left, but $3.16$ steps on the right. <br /><br /> I realize I'm ignoring your condition that $s_i \gg r_i$. [1]: https://i.sstatic.net/RvcHl.jpg