When does the following hold?
$\sum_{(i_1,\ldots,i_k)\in E} \frac{n!}{i_1! \ldots i_k!} \le \exp(n H^*)$
Where
$H^*=\max_{(i_1,\ldots,i_k)\in E} -(\frac{i_1}{n}\log \frac{i_1}{n}+\ldots +\frac{i_k}{n}\log \frac{i_k}{n})$ and E is some subset of {$ \{( i_1,\ldots,i_k):i_1+\ldots+i_k=n \}$}
Motivation: this is a generalization of Chernoff's bound to n tosses of fair k-sided dice where E represents the hypothesis we make about that sample.
Examples: when k=2, it can be proven to hold for sets of coefficients where first coefficient <n/2 (ie here).
When k=3, it seems (empirically) to hold for sets of coefficients where sum of first two coefficients is ≤n/2. For instance, for n=10, highest entropy term gives upper bound of (2/3)^3 *10^5 whereas exact sum is 12585. The 21 multinomial coefficients in this set can be visualized below
http://yaroslavvb.com/upload/multinomials.pngFor higher k, we can look at similar sets spaces, ie the corner of (k-1) simplex. I tried few values and it seems to hold for coefficients where sum of first k-1 components is below n/(k-1)
Here's how you'd check it in Mathematica
getit[n_, k_, c_] := Module[{}, all = Select[Tuples[Range[0, n], k], Total[#] == n &]; e = Select[all, Total[Most[#]] <= c &]; hterm[x_] := If[x <= 0 || x >= 1, 0, x Log[x]]; H[event_] := -Total[hterm /@ (event/n)]; exact = Total[Multinomial @@ # & /@ e]; upper = Exp[n Max[H /@ e]]; exact < upper ]; (* Check bound for k=3, n=10, with i1+i2+i3<=5 *) getit[10, 3, 5]