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Carlo Beenakker
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Birthday problem:

The probability density function of the number of distinct values $Z$ for population size $M$ and sample size $N$ is given by $$P(Z = j) = \binom{M}{j} \sum_{k=0}^j (-1)^k \binom{j}{k} \left(\frac{j - k}{M}\right)^N, \quad j \in \{1, 2, \ldots, \min(M,N)\}$$

Carlo Beenakker
  • 188.3k
  • 18
  • 448
  • 651