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Autumn Kent is the name of the poster to whom Agol is referring.

I'll embellish on Autumn's answer. Experimentally, it seems that most one-cusped hyperbolic manifolds have at most 10 exceptional Dehn fillings in the sense you consider, i.e. points in the complement of Dehn surgery space. It is conjectured that Dehn surgery space is star-like, so that one can deform any hyperbolic metric with core geodesic by decreasing the cone angle monotonically to zero, and without affecting the singular structure. Lackenby and Meyerhoff have shown that there are at most 10 non-hyperbolic Dehn fillings, but they are not able to show that these are deformations of the complete metric in the sense of Thurston. However, their method of proof gives a bit more. The core of the Dehn filling is homotopically non-trivial, and the kernel of the Dehn filling map on $\pi_1$ is a free group (this is true if the core is geodesic, since the fundamental group of the complement of a collection of geodesics in hyperbolic space is free). I'm not sure if they prove this in the paper, but it follows from the proof the 6-theorem. The number of negatively curved fillings is also much smaller than 60 from the $2\pi$-theorem. There's hope that the cross-curvature flow could flow these negatively curved metrics to the hyperbolic metric. If one could do this in the cone-manifold context, then this might enable one to obtain a sharpening of Hodgson-Kerckhoff.

Ian Agol
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