Questions tagged [st.statistics]

Applied and theoretical statistics: e.g. statistical inference, regression, time series, multivariate analysis, data analysis, Markov chain Monte Carlo, design of experiments.

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136 votes
15 answers
35k views

Statistics for mathematicians

I'm looking for an overview of statistics suitable for the mathematically mature reader: someone familiar with measure theoretic probability at say Billingsley level, but almost completely ignorant of ...
91 votes
8 answers
16k views

Is there a natural random process that is rigorously known to produce Zipf's law?

Zipf's law is the empirical observation that in many real-life populations of $n$ objects, the $k^\text{th}$ largest object has size proportional to $1/k$, at least for $k$ significantly smaller than $...
Terry Tao's user avatar
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81 votes
6 answers
11k views

Is data science mathematically interesting?

I have seen a plethora of job advertisements in the last few years on mathjobs.org for academic positions in data science. Now I understand why economic pressures would cause this to happen, but from ...
56 votes
4 answers
13k views

Group theory in machine learning

I'm a Machine Learning researcher who would like to research applications of group theory in ML. There is a term "Partially Observed Groups" in machine learning theory which has been ...
drosophyllum's user avatar
48 votes
2 answers
13k views

Research situation in the field of Information Geometry

I am now doing an article survey on the field of information geometry started by S.Amari and Barndorff-Nielson. I want to know some research situation in this field. I have read (4) and parts of (3). ...
Henry.L's user avatar
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46 votes
13 answers
23k views

Why is it so cool to square numbers (in terms of finding the standard deviation)?

When we want to find the standard deviation of $\{1,2,2,3,5\}$ we do $$\sigma = \sqrt{ {1 \over 5-1} \left( (1-2.6)^2 + (2-2.6)^2 + (2-2.6)^2 + (3-2.6)^2 + (5 - 2.6)^2 \right) } \approx 1.52$$. Why ...
user668's user avatar
  • 643
44 votes
4 answers
14k views

Applications of algebraic geometry to machine learning

I am interested in applications of algebraic geometry to machine learning. I have found some papers and books, mainly by Bernd Sturmfels on algebraic statistics and machine learning. However, all this ...
Lisp Rambo's user avatar
41 votes
5 answers
5k views

"Entropy" proof of Brunn-Minkowski Inequality?

I read in an information theory textbook the Brunn-Minkowski inequality follows from the Entropy Power inequality. The first one says that if $A,B$ are convex polygons in $\mathbb{R}^d$, then $$ m(...
john mangual's user avatar
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38 votes
3 answers
4k views

Manifold of probability measures: connections between two types of metrics

The space of probability measures could be viewed as an infinite-dimensional manifold, equipped with two possible types of metrics — (1) Wasserstein and (2) Fisher-Rao. Metric (1) is connected with ...
Minkov's user avatar
  • 1,117
37 votes
5 answers
7k views

Inference using Topological Data Analysis: Is it worth it for a regular statistician to learn TDA?

After having read Gunnar Carlsson's Topology and Data I feel enthusiastic to use some topological data analysis (TDA) methods in my current research, mostly in social sciences. We often handle huge ...
Mauricio Tec's user avatar
36 votes
3 answers
3k views

On Mathematical Analysis of MathSciNet & MathOverflow

This question has two original motivations: mathematical and social. The mathematical motivation is mainly based on what I have seen about Zipf's law here and there. The Zipf's law simply states ...
Morteza Azad's user avatar
32 votes
4 answers
7k views

Bayesian statistics for pure mathematicians

Could someone please recommend reading on Bayesian statistics presented from a pure mathematical point of view? That is, works that start assuming a good knowledge of measure theoretic probability. ...
31 votes
3 answers
12k views

What is the Katz-Sarnak philosophy?

It has been recently mentioned by a speaker (his talk is completely not relevant to random matrix theory/RMT though) that modern statistics, especially random matrices theory, will help solving some ...
Henry.L's user avatar
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31 votes
5 answers
2k views

You pass X people and Y people pass you: how relatively fast are you?

This question occurs to me every time I go jogging. I suspect every runner probabilist in the world must have thought of it (though I'm no probabilist), but I could not specifically find it online. I ...
R Hahn's user avatar
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27 votes
3 answers
2k views

Why do statistical randomness tests seem so ad hoc?

Wikipedia describes Kendall and Smith's 1938 statistical randomness tests like this: The frequency test, was very basic: checking to make sure that there were roughly the same number of 0s, 1s, ...
Jason Orendorff's user avatar
25 votes
7 answers
9k views

Uniformly Sampling from Convex Polytopes

How to choose a point uniformly from a convex polytope $P \subset [0,1]^n$ defined by some inequalities, $Ax < b$? (Here $A$ is an $m \times n$ matrix, $x \in \mathbb{R}^n$, and $b \in \mathbb{R}^...
john mangual's user avatar
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25 votes
3 answers
10k views

L1 distance between gaussian measures

L1 distance between gaussian measures: Definition Let $P_1$ and $P_0$ be two gaussian measures on $\mathbb{R}^p$ with respective "mean,Variance" $m_1,C_1$ and $m_0,C_0$ (I assume matrices have full ...
robin girard's user avatar
24 votes
1 answer
3k views

What kind of random matrices have rapidly decaying singular values?

I've been told that in machine learning it's common to compute the singular value decomposition of matrices in order to throw out all information in the matrix except that corresponding to, say, the $...
Qiaochu Yuan's user avatar
24 votes
2 answers
1k views

Drawing natural numbers without replacement.

Suppose we start with an initial probability distribution on $\mathbb{N}$ that gives positive probability to each $n$. Let's call this random variable $X_1$ so we have $P(X_1=n)=p_{1,n}>0$ for all $...
HMPanzo's user avatar
  • 551
22 votes
7 answers
5k views

What makes Gaussian distributions special?

I'm looking for as many different arguments or derivations as possible that support the informal claim that Gaussian/Normal distributions are "the most fundamental" among all distributions. ...
22 votes
3 answers
6k views

What is quantum Brownian motion?

It seems that the current state of quantum Brownian motion is ill-defined. The best survey I can find is this one by László Erdös, but the closest the quantum Brownian motion comes to appearing is in ...
Tom LaGatta's user avatar
  • 8,392
22 votes
0 answers
1k views

Random Distance Matrices

My question is motivated by the following recent paper: http://arxiv.org/abs/1110.6333 Assume you have a metric space $(X,d)$ equipped with a Borel probability measure $\mu$. We can further assume ...
ght's user avatar
  • 3,616
21 votes
5 answers
3k views

Easier reference for material like Diaconis's "Group representations in probability and statistics"

I'm teaching a class on the representation theory of finite groups at the advanced undergrad level. One of the things I'd like to talk about, or possibly have a student do any independent project on ...
Ben Webster's user avatar
  • 44k
21 votes
3 answers
5k views

James-Stein phenomenon: What does it mean that a James-Stein estimator beats least squares estimator?

Background James-Stein estimator and Stein's phenomenon, as described in Wikipedia are rather counterintuitive and amazing. It is claimed that if one wants to estimate the mean $\Theta$ of Gaussian ...
Alexander Chervov's user avatar
21 votes
1 answer
3k views

Intuitive Proof of Cramer's Decomposition Theorem

Cramer's decomposition theorem states that if $X$ and $Y$ are independent real random variables and $X+Y$ has normal distribution, then both $X$ and $Y$ are normally distributed. I've seen a few ...
Alex R.'s user avatar
  • 4,902
20 votes
8 answers
13k views

Lower bound for sum of binomial coefficients?

Hi! I'm new here. It would be awesome if someone knows a good answer. Is there a good lower bound for the tail of sums of binomial coefficients? I'm particularly interested in the simplest case $\...
user13006's user avatar
  • 233
20 votes
1 answer
4k views

Using Fisher Information to bound KL divergence

Is it possible to use Fisher Information at p to get a useful upper bound on KL(q,p)? KL(q,p) is known as Kullback-Liebler divergence and is defined for discrete distributions over k outcomes as ...
Yaroslav Bulatov's user avatar
19 votes
4 answers
3k views

Are gaussians with different moments far in total variation distance?

If two Gaussians disagree on one moment, it seems like this should imply that they have a large variation distance--equivalently, if two Gaussians are close in variation distance it's hard for their ...
Paul Christiano's user avatar
19 votes
0 answers
3k views

What does a product of many Gaussian matrices converge to?

Let $A$ be a product of $n$ $d\times d$ matrices with IID standard Gaussian entries and consider the value of $g(x)=x f(x)$ where $f(x)$ is the density of squared singular values of $A/\|A\|$. Is ...
Yaroslav Bulatov's user avatar
18 votes
3 answers
966 views

Deceptively simple inequality involving expectations of products of functions of just one variable

For a proof to go through in a paper I am writing, I need to prove the following deceptively simple inequality: $$(*)\qquad E(X^a) E(X^{a+1}\log X) > E(X^{a+1})E(X^a\log X) $$ where $X>e$ has ...
Sandokan's user avatar
  • 353
18 votes
9 answers
24k views

Why isn't likelihood a probability density function?

I've been trying to get my head around why a likelihood isn't a probability density function. My understanding says that for an event $X$ and a model parameter $m$: $P(X\mid m)$ is a probability ...
brabster's user avatar
  • 283
18 votes
4 answers
3k views

Concentration inequalities for the maximum of the rescaled/normalized sum of iid random variables

I am interested in concentration inequalities for the maximum of the rescaled/normalized sum of iid random variables. Let $X_1,..., X_n$ be i.i.d random variables, $S_n$ their centered sum and $M_n$ ...
Adrien's user avatar
  • 591
18 votes
2 answers
4k views

When is the function of a median closer to the median of the function than the mean of the function is to the function of the mean?

Background notation: RV= random variable, $\mu=$ mean $m=$ median Jensen's Inequality considers the relationship between the mean of a function of an RV and the function of the mean of an RV. If $f(...
David LeBauer's user avatar
18 votes
1 answer
1k views

Applications of the Giry monad in probability and statistics

In another thread, I asked about the $M$ endofunctor on the category $\operatorname{Meas}$ of measurable spaces, which sends a space $X$ to its space of measures $M(X)$. Will Sawin described the ...
18 votes
1 answer
1k views

How fast can extreme eigenvalues of the average of random matrices converge to their expectation?

Suppose that $X_1,X_2,\ldots,X_m$ are independent $d\times d$ random matrices and let $\overline{X} := \frac{1}{m}\sum_{i=1}^m X_i$. One of the questions studied under the theory of random matrices is ...
sbahmani's user avatar
  • 181
18 votes
1 answer
2k views

Gini Coefficient and Renyi Entropy

Gini coefficient (aka Gini Index) is a quantity used in economics to describe income inequality. It is 0 for uniformly distributed income, and approaches 1 when all income is in hands of one ...
Piotr Migdal's user avatar
  • 1,592
17 votes
2 answers
2k views

Calculating the "Most Helpful" review

How would you calculate the order of a list of reviews sorted by "Most Helpful" to "Least Helpful"? Here's an example inspired by product reviews on Amazon: Say a product has 8 total reviews and ...
17 votes
4 answers
2k views

Good introduction to statistics from a algebraic point of view?

There are already lots of questions on this subject like Is there an introduction to probability theory from a structuralist/categorical perspective? Is there a combinatorial/topological treatment ...
doofin's user avatar
  • 283
17 votes
1 answer
10k views

Conjugate prior of the Dirichlet distribution?

What is the conjugate prior distribution of the Dirichlet distribution? Edit: Since I asked this question many years ago, I've written a Python library for working with exponential families. Maximum ...
Neil's user avatar
  • 598
17 votes
2 answers
1k views

The Chow & Robbins game ≈ 0.79295350640: improvements could come from simple statistics, or from a continuous version of the game

This question seeks help with improving a numerical estimate of the value of the Chow and Robbins game. Much about this game is unknown, such as whether its value is rational, but there are two routes ...
jdaw1's user avatar
  • 199
17 votes
1 answer
3k views

Distribution of maximum of random walk conditioned to stay positive

I have an $n$ step random walk which starts at zero $X_0 = 0 = S_0$ where the steps $X_i$ are independent uniform random variates in $[-1,1]$, but the walk is conditioned on the hypothesis that it ...
Jason Cantarella's user avatar
16 votes
7 answers
3k views

Correlation and Causation. When can we believe correlation (reasonably, at least) imply causation

We always hear, when reading on correlation, that "correlation does not imply causation." Still, I have never seen any source that tries to answer the question of when can we reasonably conclude a ...
Herb's user avatar
  • 361
16 votes
5 answers
4k views

Is a fair lottery possible?

I'm trying to come up with a scheme for a lottery where each individual has roughly the same chance of becoming the winner, regardless of the number of tickets one holds. So no individual should have ...
Maestro's user avatar
  • 169
16 votes
1 answer
2k views

Normal approximation of tail probability in binomial distribution

My problem: From the Berry--Esseen theorem I know, that $$\sup_{x\in\mathbb R}|P(B_n \le x)-\Phi(x)|=O\left(\frac 1{\sqrt n}\right),$$ where $B_n$ has the standardized binomial distribution and $\Phi$ ...
Stephan Kulla's user avatar
16 votes
2 answers
637 views

How to sample uniformly from singular matrices

I would like to uniformly sample from all singular $n$ by $n$ Bernoulli matrices (that is each entry is $1$ or $0$ with probability $1/2$). I could of course just sample from all $n$ by $n$ Bernoulli ...
marshall's user avatar
  • 283
15 votes
5 answers
1k views

Longest increasing subsequence as measure of randomness

Although I am by no means an applied mathematician, I like to occasionally explain applications of the math I teach to real world problems. Right now I am teaching some students about longest ...
Sam Hopkins's user avatar
  • 22.9k
15 votes
2 answers
5k views

What areas of algebra could be interesting to probability theorists?

I would like to find some topic of algebra (beyond linear algebra; algebraic number theory is fine) that would be interesting both to a student that wants to specialize in probability theory and to me ...
Mikhail Bondarko's user avatar
15 votes
3 answers
2k views

entropy and flatness of densities

I was reading C.R Rao's Linear Statistical inference. Rao presents the entropy of a continuous distribution (expectation of -log density) as a measure of closeness to the uniform distribution, and ...
Arin Chaudhuri's user avatar
15 votes
2 answers
3k views

Bounding sum of multinomial coefficients by highest entropy one

When does the following hold? $$\sum_{(i_1,\ldots,i_k)\in E} \frac{n!}{i_1! \ldots i_k!} \le \exp(n H^*)$$ where $H^*=\max_{(i_1,\ldots,i_k)\in E} -(\frac{i_1}{n}\log \frac{i_1}{n}+\ldots +\frac{...
15 votes
1 answer
1k views

Table with the most seated customers in Chinese restaurant process

Suppose we have some initial configuration of people seated at some tables. We start taking new customers and seat them following Chinese restaurant process. Is there some known work on finding the ...
Stakhanov's user avatar
  • 151

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