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0 answers
31 views

Looking for a citation for this simple generalization of the Markov bound to non-negative super-martingales

Does anybody know a reference for the following theorem? Theorem 1. Let $(X_t)_{t=0}^\infty$ be a non-negative supermartingale. Then, for any constant $c > 0$, the event $(\exists > t)\, X_t \...
4 votes
0 answers
80 views

Does this filtration have a name?

In the context of Ethier&Kurtz Markov Processes: Characterization and Convergence (Chapter 4, equation (3.2)) as well as the two papers Martingale problems for conditional distributions of Markov ...
4 votes
5 answers
2k views

Martingales and Betting Strategies

Does anyone know of a good introduction to the theory of martingales and betting strategies from the point of view of statistics and/or probability theory? I'm looking for something basic, with lots ...
10 votes
2 answers
828 views

On martingale convergence

Let $(X_t)_{t\ge0}$ be a martingale with continuous paths. It was previously shown here and here that then it is impossible that $X_t\to\infty$ almost surely as $t\to\infty$. Is it possible that there ...
4 votes
1 answer
262 views

Bounded density for diffusions with diffusion coefficients bounded away from $0$

Consider a diffusion given by $$X_t=\int_0^t a(s,X_s)\,dW_s$$ for $t\ge 0$, where $W_\cdot$ is a standard Wiener process/Brownian motion and $a$ is a smooth enough positive function bounded away from $...
1 vote
0 answers
526 views

Martingales associated with heat equation

I am trying to learn the connection between Brownian motion and heat equation (in the spirit of Feynman-Kac, for example, here). I read (Michael E. Taylor's PDE book, Volume II, Chapter 11, ...
2 votes
0 answers
237 views

Semimartingale decomposition and filtrations

In short: I am trying to understand how the decomposition of a semimartingale into its local martingale and finite variation components depends on the filtration we are using. So, taking a toy example,...
3 votes
2 answers
517 views

CLT for Martingales

I posted this question originally in math stack exchange, but I got no answer. (https://math.stackexchange.com/questions/2604591/clt-for-martingales) In wikipedia, there is a version of a CLT for ...
13 votes
1 answer
713 views

Identity involving the probability that a random walk stays below a curve

I'm looking for a direct proof of the following identity: Let $W_n$ be a simple random walk with $W_0=0$. For all $x>0$ we have $$ \lim _{N\to \infty} \sqrt{N} \cdot \mathbb P \Big( \forall n \le ...
2 votes
1 answer
144 views

English translation of "Une inégalité pour martingales à indices multiples et ses applications"

Does anyone know of a English translation of "Une inégalité pour martingales à indices multiples et ses applications" by Renzo Cairoli. Or could translate the statement of the martingale ...
2 votes
0 answers
227 views

Non-negative martingale transforms and Radon Nikodym derivatives

Consider a filtered probability space $(\Omega, (\mathcal F_n), \mathcal F, \mathbb P)$, where $\Omega$ is the set of sequences with value in some $E \subseteq \mathbb R^d$, and $\mathcal F$ is the ...
12 votes
2 answers
2k views

Can we do better than Azuma-Hoeffding when the variance is small?

The Azuma-Hoeffding Inequality says that if $X_1,X_2, \ldots$ is a martingale and the differences are bounded by constants, $\|X_i - X_{i-1}\| \le 1$ say, then we should not expect the difference $\|...
5 votes
0 answers
653 views

Explicit martingale representation for a Brownian bridge

Let $W$ denote a Wiener process, $\displaystyle M_t = \max_{0 \le s \le t} W_s$ its running maximum. The martingale representation of $M$ is known explicitly: $$M_T = \sqrt{\frac{2T} \pi} + \int_0^T ...
1 vote
1 answer
229 views

Tail inequality for orthomartingales/martingale difference random fields

It is known that if $(S_i= \sum_{j \leqslant i }X_i, \mathcal F_i)$ is a martingale, then for each $ \beta>1$, $\delta\in (0,\beta-1)$ and $\lambda>0$, and each integer $N \geqslant 1$, the ...
9 votes
2 answers
1k views

Adaptive version of the Azuma–Hoeffding inequality

The Azuma inequality states that if we have a martingale $X_1,\ldots,X_N$ that satisfies a bounded difference condition: $$|X_k - X_{k-1}| \leq c_k$$ Then: $$\Pr\left[X_N - X_0 \geq \sqrt{2\sum_kc_k^2 ...
1 vote
0 answers
1k views

What conditions on a filtration guarantee that a (sub)martingale has a continuous modification?

There is a theorem as follows: Theorem. Let $\mathcal{F}_t$ be a filtration which is right-continuous and complete. Assume $M_t$ is a submartingale adapted to $\mathcal{F}_t$ such that $t \mapsto \...
7 votes
1 answer
394 views

Reference request: Martingale decompositions (positive/negative and u.i./singular)

For a paper I am writing, I need these two facts. The proofs are fairly short, but I would rather just cite them. This is for martingales index by natural numbers. Also, I call a martingale which ...
4 votes
0 answers
1k views

Change of Time in Stochastic Integral

Hi everyone, Let's be given $I(0,t)$ a Stochastic Integral with respect to a local martingale $ M_t$ of the form : $I(0,t)=\int_0^t h(s_-)dM_s$ with $h\in L(M)$ (for example $h$ is an adapted ...