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3 votes
0 answers
101 views

Divergent/Unbounded random walks techniques

I want to prove the following biased random walk will be diverge. Suppose I have a random walk $S_n = X_1 + ... + X_n$, but $X_1,...,X_n$ are dependent variables. $X_1 \sim$ Bernoulli($\sigma(\theta_1)...
Chu Thắng's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
188 views

Moment generating function of a stopped process from Wald's identity

In an exercise I am asked to prove the following Wald's identities: let $S_n$ be a simple random walk and $T$ a stopping time. Then for all $\lambda \in \mathbb R,$ $$ \mathbb E(e^{\lambda S_1}) = 1 \...
Ma Joad's user avatar
  • 1,755
10 votes
4 answers
679 views

The min of the mean of iid exponential variables

Let $X_1, \ldots, X_n, \ldots$ be iid exponential random variables with mean 1. It is well-known that $\min_{1\le j < \infty} \frac{X_1 + \cdots + X_j}{j}$ follows the uniform distribution U(0,1). ...
John Wong's user avatar
  • 773
13 votes
1 answer
713 views

Identity involving the probability that a random walk stays below a curve

I'm looking for a direct proof of the following identity: Let $W_n$ be a simple random walk with $W_0=0$. For all $x>0$ we have $$ \lim _{N\to \infty} \sqrt{N} \cdot \mathbb P \Big( \forall n \le ...
Dor's user avatar
  • 723
3 votes
2 answers
229 views

Expectation of the exitpoint distance for the symmetric random walk

Let $\nu(x)$ be a symmetric probability measure with respect to the origin on $x\in[-1,1]$ such that $\nu(\{0\})\neq 1$. Consider a random walk started at $S_0=0$, denoted $S_n=X_1+\dotsb+X_n$, ...
lang zou's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
237 views

Concentration of a modified random walk

Let $\varepsilon$ be a number in $(0, 1)$, consider the following random walk on the real line $X^{(0)}, X^{(1)}, \dots$, where $X^{(0)}=0$ If $X^{(t)} > 0$, then with probability $.5$, $X^{(t+1)...
Xi Wu's user avatar
  • 143
2 votes
1 answer
238 views

On lower bounds for harmonic functions on $\mathbb{Z}^d$

Consider a non-constant harmonic function $f$ on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ (meaning this that $f(x)$ if the average of the $2d$ values $f(y)$ such that the distance between $x$ and $y$ is one). Let $M_n$ denote ...
William M.'s user avatar
6 votes
0 answers
183 views

Distribution of the stopping time of an autoregressive sequence

Consider $e_t$ being i.i.d. uniformly chosen from $\pm 1$. Let $\eta$ be a small positive constant. What is the distribution of $T$ such that $\eta^{0.5} (1+\eta)^T W_T$ first hits $\pm 1$, in which $$...
Minkov's user avatar
  • 1,127
9 votes
2 answers
1k views

Adaptive version of the Azuma–Hoeffding inequality

The Azuma inequality states that if we have a martingale $X_1,\ldots,X_N$ that satisfies a bounded difference condition: $$|X_k - X_{k-1}| \leq c_k$$ Then: $$\Pr\left[X_N - X_0 \geq \sqrt{2\sum_kc_k^2 ...
Aaron's user avatar
  • 794
1 vote
0 answers
309 views

Horizontal vs Vertical sides Exit from a Rectangle for simple symmetric Random Walk on $\textbf{Z}^{2}$

Consider simple symmetric random walk, $X_{n} = (X_{n}^{(1)}, X_{n}^{(2)})$ with $X_0= (0,0)$, on the 2 dimensional integer lattice, $\textbf{Z}^{2}$. Let $T_{M}, T_{N}$ be the smallest $n$ such ...
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