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3 votes
0 answers
90 views

Tighter Freedman's inequality for a special martingale difference sequence

Let $X_{1}, \ldots, X_{T} \in \{0, 1\}$ be a sequence of Boolean random variables with $$ \mathbb{E}[X_{t} | X_{1}, \dots, X_{t - 1}] = p_{t}. $$ Consider the sequence $Y_{t} := X_{t} - p_{t}$ (which ...
2 votes
1 answer
208 views

Proving an exponential sum inequality for symmetric Hamming distance sequences in binary vectors

Background: Let $X = \{0,1\}^k$ represent the set of all binary vectors of length $k$. For two binary vectors $x, y \in X$, the Hamming distance $d_H(x, y)$ is defined as the number of positions where ...
3 votes
0 answers
80 views

Seeking strong bounds on KL-divergence and martingales for a hypothesis-testing inequality

Let's say we have a finite set $\mathcal{O}$ of observations, and let $\mathcal{C}(\Delta\mathcal{O})$ denote the space of closed convex sets of probability distributions. We have two hypotheses which ...
8 votes
2 answers
2k views

Median and mean of the sample mean of i.i.d. log-normal

Let $y:=\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n x_i$, where $\{x_i\}_{i=1}^n$ is a set of i.i.d. random variables, and every $x_i$ has a lognormal distribution $x_i \sim\text{Lognormal}(\mu,\sigma^2)$. Let $\text{Med}[y]$...
0 votes
0 answers
91 views

Some new questions on Rademacher complexity

For $A\subset R^n$,$A=(a_1,a_2,\dots, a_n)$, $\sigma_i$ are Rademacher random variable. Is $|\mathbb{E}_\sigma \inf_{a\in A}\sum_{i=1}^n\sigma_ia_i| \le |\mathbb{E}_\sigma \sup_{a\in A}\sum_{i=1}^n\...
2 votes
2 answers
632 views

An alternative proof of Bayesian Cramer-Rao

My question is: Are there an alternative proof of Cramer-Rao lower bound that does not use Cauchy-Swartz inequality? Let me outline the classical proof and explain why I am interested in this ...
2 votes
1 answer
150 views

Normalized concentration inequality for empirical CDF (iid sum)

Consider the empirical and population CDF, $$ F_n(t) = \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^n 1\{X_i \leq t\} \quad \mbox{and} \quad F(t) = \mathbb{E} [F_n(t)], $$ where above $X_1, \dots, X_n$ are iid, real-...
5 votes
1 answer
516 views

Bounding the variance of a truncated Gaussian random variable

Suppose $X_1, X_2, X_3 \sim N(0, 1)$ are three independent standard normal random variables. I am interested in showing that: $$\text{Var}[X_2\mid X_2 \geq X_1 - a, X_1 \leq X_3 + b] < 1,$$ where ...
1 vote
1 answer
56 views

Covariance inequality for left skewed distributions

Consider a left skewed random variable $X$ with mean $1$, median $>1$ and support on $[0,2)$. Suppose we have a class of functions $\mathbf{G}$ and each of it's members satisfy $G(x): [0,\infty) ...
1 vote
2 answers
2k views

Upper bound about Gaussian tail bound

From the definition of sub-Gaussian distribution $X$ w.r.t. $\sigma$ i.e. $$\mathbb{P}(|X-\mathbb{E}(X)|\geq t) \leq 2 \exp(-\frac{t^2}{2\sigma^2}).$$ It's natural that when $X \sim \mathcal{N}(\mu, \...
0 votes
0 answers
78 views

Kernel density estimation is sub-gaussian

Let $X_1, ..., X_n$ be i.i.d. samples drawn from a pdf $f(x)$ on the real line. The kernel density estimator is defined as follows, $$\hat{f_n}(x) = \frac{1}{nh}\sum_1^n K(\frac{x-X_k}{h})$$ where $K:\...
4 votes
1 answer
168 views

Existence of copula bound pointwise strictly smaller than the Fréchet-Hoeffding upper bound

Consider bivariate copulas $C_1$ and $C_2$ with $\max\{C_1(u,v), C_2(u,v)\}< M_2(u,v)$ for all $u,v \in(0,1)$, where $M_2(u,v) := \min\{u,v\}$ is the Fréchet-Hoeffding upper bound. Is there a ...
5 votes
2 answers
2k views

Relationship between KL, chi-squared, and Hellinger

There are many well-known relationships between the KL divergence, chi-squared ($\chi^2$) divergence, and the Hellinger metric. In the paper "Assouad, Fano, and Le Cam" by Bin Yu, the author ...
1 vote
1 answer
251 views

Using Hoeffding inequality for risk / loss function

I've got a question to the Hoeffding Inequality which states, that for data points $X_1, \dots, X_n \in X$, which are i.i.d. according to a probability measure $P$ on $X$, we find an upper bound for: $...
2 votes
1 answer
154 views

Random probability following a log concave distribution of order p

In the article "Concentration of the information in data with Log-concave distributions" of Bobkov and Madiman, it is written that if $X$ is a positive random variable following a log ...
3 votes
2 answers
169 views

On finding an upper bound on the error of a sparse approximation

I posted this question on math.stackexchange earlier, but didn't see any response. So, I am posting it here, in case someone else has an answer. Original question: https://math.stackexchange.com/...
1 vote
1 answer
106 views

What is the maximum possible coefficient of variation for data taking values within a specified range?

I have a question that seems very basic, and yet I have not managed to find an answer after probably several hours of Google-searching. Fix $0<a<b<\infty$, and let $\mathcal{P}_{[a,b]}$ be ...
2 votes
1 answer
138 views

Comparison between $\|X\|_2$ and $\|X\|_{2,1}$

For any real random variable $X$, define $$\|X\|_{2,1}=\int_0^\infty \sqrt{\Pr(|X|>t)}dt.$$ This quantity (it is not a norm) appears in various problems, e.g. the multiplier central limit theorem (...
0 votes
1 answer
133 views

How to demonstrate a correlation inequality? [closed]

If there are 3 vectors X, Y, Z of the same length, for any $x_i \in X,y_i \in Y,z_i \in Z$, we have $0<x_i<1,0<y_i<1,0<z_i<1$. The correlation between Z, Y is greater than between X, ...
1 vote
1 answer
365 views

Lower-bound probability of non-centered quadratic form

Let $X\sim N(\mu,\sigma^2I)\in \mathbb{R}^n$ be a non-centered ($\mu\neq 0$) Gaussian vector with independent coordinates. I'm wondering if there is any sharp lower bound of the following probability: ...
5 votes
1 answer
150 views

Kullback–Leibler chains

The following question was asked and then deleted by the post author: Let $P$ and $Q$ be two probability distributions defined over the same space, with $KL(P \parallel Q) < \infty$. For $\epsilon ...
2 votes
3 answers
1k views

How can I prove Chebyshev's sum inequality with probabilistic methods?

I would like to prove Chebyshev's sum inequality, which states that: If $a_1\geq a_2\geq \cdots \geq a_n$ and $b_1\geq b_2\geq \cdots \geq b_n$, then $$ \frac{1}{n}\sum_{k=1}^n a_kb_k\geq \left(\frac{...
1 vote
1 answer
285 views

Exponential upper bounds for sums of martingale differences

Let $(X_{i})_{i\geq 1}$ be a sequence of centered real-valued martingale-differences with respect to some filtration $(\mathcal{F}_{i})_{i \geq 1}$. Define $S_{n} = \sum_{i=1}^{n}X_{i}$ and $\Sigma^{2}...
0 votes
1 answer
179 views

How to show $\max_{1\leq i\leq n}(X_i+Y_1)\preceq \max_{1\leq i\leq n}(X_i+Y_i)$?

Let two collections of random variables $\{X_i\}$ and $\{Y_i\}$ be independent and let $\{Y_i\}$ be i.i.d. Then $$\max_{1\leq i\leq n}(X_i+Y_1)\preceq \max_{1\leq i\leq n}(X_i+Y_i).$$ where $\...
1 vote
1 answer
143 views

Lower bound for log-Ratios

Can we find a universal constant $c>0$ such that for all $p,q\in\Delta:=\lbrace x\in (0,1)^{n}\ \colon\ x_{1}+\dots+x_{n}=1\rbrace$ it is true that \begin{equation} |p_{i}-q_{i}|\le c\left|\ln\frac{...
2 votes
0 answers
80 views

Bridging between Rosethal Inequalities and log convex tails

Let $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ be independent with $\mathbf{E}[X_i] = 0$ and $\mathbf{E}[|X_i|^t] < \infty$ for some $t \ge 2$. Write $\|X\|_p = (E|X|^p)^{1/p}$. Then we have the classical "Rosenthal-type ...
2 votes
1 answer
235 views

Kolmogoroff condition for truncated random variables

Question summary. Does the Kolmogoroff condition $\sum_{n=1}^\infty\frac{\mathbb V Y_n}{n^2} < \infty$ hold for truncated random variables $Y_n := X_n \cdot 1_{\{X_n \le n\}}$ (see below for a more ...
1 vote
1 answer
313 views

Bounds on difference between "logsumexp" and variance?

Let $Z$ be a random variable with finite moment-generating function $M_Z(\theta):=E[e^{\frac{1}{\theta}Z}]<\infty$ for all $\theta > 0$, and for $\delta \in (0,1]$, define $C_Z^\delta := \inf_{\...
4 votes
1 answer
206 views

Inner product of sorted Gaussian vector

Suppose $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ are i.i.d. standard normal. I'm wondering how to analyze the following quantity: $$\left|\frac{X_{(1)}X_{(n)}+X_{(2)}X_{(n-1)}+\cdots+X_{(n)}X_{(1)}}{n}\right|$$ where $X_{(1)}...
1 vote
2 answers
462 views

lower bound the probability of at least L collisions

Lets say we get a list $M$ containing $|M|=\sqrt{L\cdot N}$ randomly and independtly drawn elements from a set of size $N$. And lets denote the $i$-th element of the list $M$ by $M[i]$. If we now ask ...
3 votes
1 answer
171 views

Why does the assumption $|U_t| \le \frac1{p_{\min}}$ work in this paper?

I am reading a 2009 paper right now "Importance Weighted Active Learning" and on page 5, there is a theorem that uses the inequality $|U_t| \leq \frac{1}{p_{\min}}$. I am not sure how the paper found ...
4 votes
1 answer
1k views

Does variants of Bernstein and Freedman concentration inequalities exist with NO uniform bound on the range of RV or martingale differences

A classic formulation of the Bernstein inequality (from Wikipedia) is as follow: Let $X_1, \ldots, X_n$ be independent zero-mean random variables. Suppose that $|X_i|\leq M$ almost surely, for all $i$...
5 votes
1 answer
164 views

Probability of ruin in the Sparre Andersen renewal risk model

In 1957, Erik Sparre Andersen proposed using a renewal risk model to describe the behavior of the insurers surplus $$U(t)=u+ct-\sum\limits_{i=1}^{\Theta(t)}Z_i, \quad t \geqslant 0$$ where: $u \...
4 votes
2 answers
1k views

Bound on the tail of the sum of independent and identically distributed (iid) variables

This interesting question was asked at https://math.stackexchange.com/questions/231455/estimator-for-sum-of-independent-and-identically-distributed-iid-variables a while ago but got no answers. The ...
8 votes
2 answers
4k views

Lower bounds on Kullback-Leibler divergence

This was originally a question on Cross Validated. Are there any (nontrivial) lower bounds on the Kullback-Leibler divergence $KL(f\Vert g)$ between two measures / densities? Informally, I am ...
2 votes
0 answers
687 views

Placing Bounds on Correlation/Covariance Through Correlation with an Intermediate Variable

I am trying to make the most of computations that have already been performed in previous steps of an algorithm. Throughout this problem statement I am only mentioning correlation, but I think it is ...
1 vote
0 answers
376 views

Anti-concentration bounds for folded normal and inverse of gaussian variables

Are there any easy to use bounds on sums of the following kind : $$ \sum_{i = 1}^{i = N} |a_i| \geq P \\ a_i \sim \mathcal{N}(0, 1) \\ $$ and also for sums of the form : $$ \sum_{i = 1}^{i = M} \...
1 vote
1 answer
249 views

On concentration of a sum random variable

Take a random variable defined as $$r=u_{11}v_{1}v_{1}+u_{12}v_{1}v_{2}+\dots+u_{n,n-1}v_{n}v_{n-1}+u_{nn}v_{n}v_{n}$$ where $v_{i}$ are independent uniform random variables from $\{0,\dots,b\}$, $u_{...
1 vote
0 answers
282 views

Strict monotonicity of conditional variances

Let $K \geq 2$ be a positive integer and $C$ be any $K \times K$ non-singular matrix (if necessary, can assume that all $K$ rows of $C$ are needed to span the coordinate row vector $e_1'$). For ...
4 votes
0 answers
141 views

Is there an example that both Berry-Essen bound and DKW bound are attained?

The Berry-Essen bound stated that $$\sup _{{x\in {\mathbb R}}}\left|\widehat{F_{n}(x)}-\Phi (x)\right|\leq C_{0}\cdot \psi _{0}$$ where $\psi _{0}(n)={\Big (}{\textstyle \sum \limits _{{i=1}}^{n}\...
4 votes
1 answer
347 views

Concentration of functional of Gaussian random variable

Suppose I have two Gaussian distributions $p(x) = \frac{1}{(2\pi)^{d/2}|\Sigma_p|^{1/2}}\exp(-\frac{1}{2}x^\top \Sigma_p^{-1} x)$ and $q(x) = \frac{1}{(2\pi)^{d/2}|\Sigma_q|^{1/2}}\exp(-\frac{1}{2}x^\...
9 votes
5 answers
1k views

estimate the error term in CLT

Let $X_m = \frac{1}{\sqrt{m}}\sum_{k=1}^m Z_k$ where $Z_k$ are iid equally likely on $\{\pm 1\}$. Then $X_m$ convergens to $X \sim \mathcal{N}(0,1)$ in distribution by CLT. Let $f$ be a smooth ...
6 votes
1 answer
238 views

Positive semidefinite ordering for covariance matrices

Suppose that X and Z are matrices with the same number of rows. Let $$ D = \left[\begin{array}{cc} X' X & X'Z \\ Z'X & Z'Z \end{array} \right]^{-1} - \left[\begin{array}{cc} (X' X)^{-1} & ...
1 vote
1 answer
207 views

Computing probability that $Ax\geq0$ where $x$ is a vector of iid gaussians and $A$ is matrix of $1$s and $0$s

This question came up in my research: What is the probability that $Ax\geq0$ where $x$ is a vector of iid gaussians and $A$ is matrix of $1$s and $0$s? So far I only figured out that I can do Monte ...
3 votes
2 answers
231 views

Bounds for the fat tail after trimming the mean?

I am interested in the quantity $$f(X,t) = \int_t^\infty\negthinspace x\ p(x)\ dx,$$ where $p$ is a probability distribution for a positive variable $X$. 1) Does this quantity $f(X,t)$ have a name? ...
4 votes
0 answers
213 views

Optimization problem involving Multivariate Normal

I use $\phi(t)$ to describe the standard normal distribution density and $\Phi(t)$ as the normal distribution CDF and would like to prove that for all $n\geq3$, the function: $$h(\mu_{1},\ldots,\...
3 votes
0 answers
494 views

Maximization of a total variation distance subject to another total variation distance in Markov chain

Suppose two dependent random variables $X$ and $V$ from finite alphabets $\mathcal{V}$ and $\mathcal{X}$ with known joint and marginal distributions are given. Let $P_{XV}$ and $P_X$ and $P_V$ are the ...
6 votes
1 answer
375 views

Deviation bound for the maximum of the norm of Wiener process

Let $W(t)$ be an $n$-dimensional Wiener process. Denote by $\chi_n^2$ a chi-squared random variable with $n$ degrees of freedom. I have recently found the following inequality given without proof: $$ {...
5 votes
1 answer
1k views

Probability inequalities

Hi everyone, I am looking for some probability inequalities for sums of unbounded random variables. I would really appreciate it if anyone can provide me some thoughts. My problem is to find an ...
1 vote
1 answer
356 views

Statistical inequality

Let $X$ be a finite discrete variable and $X\ge0$. Is it true that $$16\operatorname{Var}(X) \le \left[8{\mathbb E}(X) + \operatorname{Range}(X)\right]\operatorname{Range}(X)$$ where $\operatorname{...