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2 votes
1 answer
118 views

Calculate the discrete probability of x number of good outcomes occurring before y number of bad outcomes

I have a grid of 16 tiles face down. Half are good outcomes and half are bad outcomes. How would I calculate the probability of picking x number of Good outcomes before y number of bad outcomes are ...
21 votes
1 answer
32k views

How to compute KL-divergence when PMF contains 0s?

From the Wikipedia page on Kullback-Leibler divergence, the way to compute this metric is to utilize the following formula: The way I understand this is to compute the PMFs of two given sample sets ...
1 vote
0 answers
85 views

Winning criterion for a combinatorial game

Given $n$, let $\mathcal{R}$ be a set of pairs $(\rho,A)$ where $A\subseteq n, \rho\in 2^A$. Consider the following game between A and B. At each round $t$, A enumerates an $m\in n$ (that has not been ...
12 votes
1 answer
883 views

The dance marathon problem

In his book, "The Strange Logic of Random Graphs", Joel Spencer describes the "Dance Marathon" problem: Imagine $n$ couples at a Dance Marathon. Each dance each couple remains ...
0 votes
1 answer
158 views

Finding k items in a binary tree

Let us be given a binary tree of height $n$ (and $2^n$ leaves) among which we search $k$ items, where $k < < 2^n$. Suppose we have a test that shows if in the children and childrens-children ...
23 votes
4 answers
978 views

What nodes of a graph should be vaccinated first?

Consider a graph, choose some "p: 0<p<1" (probability to infect the neighbor node). Choose some random number "K" of nodes which are "infected" initially. So we ...
6 votes
1 answer
235 views

A combinatorics problem and the probability interpretation

For a gaussian vector variable $w\sim N(0,I_{n\times n})$, the moments of square norm are $\mathbb{E} \|w\|^{2 r} = \prod_{t=0}^{r-1} (n + 2 t)$. Based on Isserlis' theorem, $\mathbb{E} \|w\|^{2 r}$ ...
1 vote
2 answers
163 views

Coupling a binomial - parity conditioning

If I have a binomial $X \sim B(n,p)$, and another binomial $X' \sim B(n,p)$ conditioned on $X'$ being of even parity. Is it true that there always exists a coupling for $(X,X')$ with $|X-X'| \le 1$? (...
5 votes
0 answers
130 views

Random process on a sequence of rolls of an $n$-sided die

Let $\ X:=X_{k\,n}\ $ be a random variable of a $n$-sided die where $\Pr(X=i)=\frac{1}{n}$ for each $i\in\{1,2,\ldots,n\},\ $ where $\ k\in\{1, 2, \ldots,n\}\ $ and $\ n\ $ are fixed. Let $t$ be a ...
2 votes
0 answers
164 views

Finding an optimal strategy for a combinatorial sequential game

We are given a set $\{p_1, p_2, \ldots, p_n\}$ of players and a set of $\{\ell_1, \ell_2, \ldots, \ell_n\}$ of locations, where $n\in\mathbb{N}$. Each location can be either free or occupied, and each ...
1 vote
3 answers
339 views

Coupon collector targeting a collection among many

I am interested in the following problem: We are given a universe $U$ of $n$ coupons, partitioned into $k$ collections, $C_1,\dots C_k$. At each time step $t$, a coupon $X_t$ is selected uniformly at ...
2 votes
1 answer
404 views

Euclidean distance bound with geometric constraints

Let $S_n$ be a set of $n$ points belonging to $\mathcal{B}_d:=\{\mathbf{x}\in\mathbb{R}^d:\|\mathbf{x}\|_2\le 1\}$, where $d\ll \log(n)$. Let $s_n$ and $\ell_n$ be respectively defined as follows: $$...
23 votes
3 answers
2k views

Zeroes of the random Fibonacci sequence

Let $X_n$ be the "random Fibonacci sequence," defined as follows: $X_0 = 0, X_1 = 1$; $X_n = \pm X_{n-1} \pm X_{n-2}$, where the signs are chosen by independent 50/50 coinflips. It is known ...
6 votes
1 answer
424 views

Probability of intersecting a rectangle with random straight lines

We are given a rectangle $R$ with sides lengths $r_1$ and $r_2$, contained in a square $S$, with sides lengths $s_1=s_2\ge r_1$ and $s_2=s_1\ge r_2$. $R$ and $S$ are axis-aligned in a cartesian plane $...
2 votes
1 answer
218 views

Probability distribution optimization problem of distances between points in $[0,1]$

Let $\mathcal{D}$ be a probability distribution with support $[0,1]$. Let $X, Y, Z$ three i.i.d. random variables with distribution $\mathcal{D}$, and $T$ a random variable uniformly distributed in $[...
3 votes
1 answer
395 views

Symmetric distribution optimization problem of distances between points in $[0,1]$

Let $\mathcal{D}$ be a probability distribution with support $[0,1]$. Let $x, y, z$ the outcomes of three i.i.d. random variables $X, Y, Z$ with distribution $\mathcal{D}$, sorted in increasing order, ...
2 votes
2 answers
279 views

Combinatorial optimization problem with interdependent constraints on points in $[0,1]$

We are given a set $S$ of $n$ real numbers in $[0,1]$, with $0,1\in S$, and a value $\alpha\in(0,1/2)$. For each ordered triplet $(i,j,k)$ of values contained in $S$ (with $i\le j \le k$), we define ...
18 votes
4 answers
3k views

Markov chain on groups

Let $G$ be a permutation group on the finite set $\Omega$. Consider the Markov chain where you start with an element $\alpha \in \Omega$ chosen from some arbitrary starting probability distribution. ...
12 votes
1 answer
525 views

An inequality about unit vector orthogonal to $(1,1,...,1)$

Does there exist a constant $\alpha>0$ such that the following holds? $$\liminf_{n\to\infty}\inf_{x\in\mathbb{R}^n, \sum_{i=1}^nx_i^2=1, \sum_{i=1}^nx_i=0}\frac{\sum_{i<j, |i-j|\leq\frac{n}{4}}(...
5 votes
0 answers
287 views

Infinite tridiagonal matrices and a special class of totally positive sequences

Let $\Bbb{y} = \big(y_1, y_2, y_3, \dots \big)$ be an infinite sequence of positive real numbers such that following $\Bbb{N} \times \Bbb{N}$ tridiagonal matrix \begin{equation} T(\Bbb{y}) := \, \...
1 vote
1 answer
338 views

Polynomial form/Fourier transform of rational function over finite affine space

I am certainly going to make a mess of any serious algebraic terminology, so bear with me as I present my problem arising from a probability problem. Consider the space of sequences of $n$ zero-one ...
2 votes
2 answers
379 views

Probabilistic combinatorial optimization problem on the distances between pairs of points in $[0,1]$

Let $S$ be a set of $n \gg 1$ points lying on the interval $[0,1]$. Given a point $p\in[0,1]$, let $S_p\subseteq S\times S$ be the set formed by all pairs of points $(x,y)$ with $x,y\in S$, such that ...
0 votes
1 answer
340 views

Expectation of the ratio of two discrete random variables with combinatorial constraints

We are given a set $S=\{1, 2, \ldots, n\}$ where $n\gg 1$, and for all indices $1\le i \le n$, $i$ is associated with a real value $\alpha_i\!\cdot\! v_i$, where $\alpha_i\in[0,1]$ and $v_i\in(0,1]$. ...
8 votes
0 answers
181 views

Self-avoiding walks on strips

A strip is a locally finite graph which admits a quasi-transitive (i.e. finitley many orbits on vertices) action of $\mathbb Z$. A self avoiding walk is a walk which visits no vertex more than once. ...
10 votes
2 answers
270 views

Maximal in-degree in directed voting graph

Real-life motivation. Our team has $n$ members. For the next in-team presentation session, everyone had 1 talk prepared that he or she would be able to present. Now everyone could cast $1$ vote about ...
3 votes
2 answers
488 views

Question about a new pseudo-random number generator

While investigating non-periodic RNG's (random number generators) for irrational numbers, I came up with a version that actually produces pseudo-random words consisting of $N$ bits, where $N$ is ...
0 votes
1 answer
201 views

What is the most likely sequence? [closed]

I have a jar containing n numbered marbles, where 1...x marbles are red and marbles x+1...n ...
7 votes
0 answers
297 views

Is there a practically useful or concrete representation theory/Fourier analysis on finite groupoids?

Fourier analysis on finite groups is well known to be useful for probability theory and combinatorics — consider for example the Fourier analysis on $(\mathbb Z/2\mathbb Z)^n$ which can be used to get ...
9 votes
0 answers
467 views

Measuring the randomness of texts

The question concerns statistic properties of random words in a finite alphabet $A$. By $A^{<\omega}$ we denote the set of all words in the alphabet $A$, i.e. finite sequences of elements of $A$. ...
2 votes
0 answers
65 views

Are stable matchings (noise-)stable?

Suppose a group of computer scientists have entrusted their dating lives to a computer. Specifically, there are $n$ men and $n$ women, all of whom are cis-het. Being educated people, they of course ...
2 votes
0 answers
90 views

Motivation for proof of local lemma/construction version

I am interested in finding intuition to the bounds and proof of the asymmetric local lemma. I think the $k$-SAT is fairly intuitive, but I would like to understand the general version. One good ...
1 vote
0 answers
177 views

Probability of satisfying the congruent mod equation

I'm wondering about the probability of picking three different numbers $x,y,z$ out of the set $[50]=\left\{ 1,2,3,...,50\right\}$ satisfying the equation: $$xyz\equiv \gcd(x,y,z)\mod 7$$ I started out ...
7 votes
1 answer
876 views

What is the six positive real number for a dice producing a highest chance?

Say there is a dice with six faces, each face has a positive real number different from others. There is a chessman on the origin of the number axis. In each trial, the dice rolls infinite times. ...
1 vote
1 answer
264 views

Probability a near universal hash function $ax \bmod p \bmod m$ produces an output from inputs equal modulo $m$

For one of the near universal hash functions $f(x) = ax \bmod p \bmod m$ where $p$ is prime and $m < p, m>1$ and $x$ ranges over $1 \dots p-1$ , what is the probability that given $x_r \in \{ x |...
0 votes
1 answer
305 views

Number of duplicate pairs in multiple samplings

My universe has M different items. I run m=10 independent samplings over M. In each sampling, n elements are picked without replacement (n<<M). What is the expected number of pair duplicates we ...
6 votes
2 answers
2k views

How to understand the combinatorial Laplacian $\Delta$ which is defined on the graph?

I have a question about the combinatorial Laplacian $\Delta$ which is defined by $$\Delta(u,v)=c(u)1_{u=v}-c(u,v)$$ where $u, v$ are some vertices in the graph $G=(V, E)$, and $c(u,v)$ is a ...
2 votes
0 answers
165 views

Ask for some reference about isoperimetric constant on Voronoi diagrams?

Given a Poisson point process $\mathcal{P}$ in $\mathbb{R}^2$, the $\textbf{Voronoi cells}$ of a point $p\in \mathcal{P}$ is defined by $$V(x):=\{y\in \mathbb{R}^2: \|x-y\|=\min_{x'\in \mathcal{P}}\|x'...
3 votes
1 answer
145 views

The size of monochromatic submatrix

We say a matrix $(a_{ij})$ is 0-1 matrix if $a_{ij}\in \{0,1\}$ for all $i,j$. We say a matrix $(a_{ij})$ is monochromatic if for some $a$, $a_{ij} = a$ for all $i,j$. Question: Let $c\geq 1/2$ be a ...
19 votes
5 answers
18k views

Time-inhomogeneous Markov chains

I'm trying to find out what is known about time-inhomogeneous ergodic Markov Chains where the transition matrix can vary over time. All textbooks and lecture notes I could find initially introduce ...
2 votes
3 answers
290 views

Geometric probabilistic problem on triangles on a plane

We are given a triangle $T$ on a plane $P$, with sidelengths $a$, $b$ and $c$, where $c \ge b \ge a > 0$. A straight line $L$ on $P$ is selected uniformly at random from the set of all the ...
11 votes
1 answer
370 views

Graph with path of length $\geq n$ along grid diagonals - a known result in graph theory?

Is the following lemma a well known result in graph theory? I am studying a basic existence result that appears to be simple yet powerful. I have not seen it stated as an important result in graph ...
0 votes
1 answer
57 views

Expected size of binomial coefficient with Poisson arrivals?

I have a Poisson process where new elements arrive to a set with Poisson intensity $\lambda$. Initially, there are $N_0$ elements in the set. The probability that there are $N_0 + M$ elements in the ...
11 votes
3 answers
243 views

How many operad structures are there on the symmetric sequence of simplices / finitely-supported probability measures?

Consider the symmetric sequence $P_n = \Delta^{n-1}$ of probability measures on finite sets, with coordinatewise $\Sigma_n$-action. There is a natural topological operad structure on $P$ given by ...
1 vote
1 answer
158 views

Bound for multinomial expansion involving Poisson random variables

Let $x_i, i=1, \ldots n$ be Poisson random variables with parameters $\lambda_i$ correspondingly with condition that $\sum_{i=1}^nx_i=T$. Due to linearity of the expectation one can write: $$ E\left(\...
8 votes
3 answers
411 views

Identifying a subset with as few tests as possible

Informal description: You are given a set of $n$ blood samples, each having probability $p$ of being infected with a disease. Your goal is to determine the set $P$ of infected samples with as few ...
0 votes
1 answer
78 views

Estimate an expression about probability about Bernoulli random variables

Given $v_{ij} \in \{0,1\}$, $i \in \{1,2\}$, $j \in \{1,2,\ldots,n\}$. Let $X_1, X_2, \ldots, X_n$ be random variables, $P[X_i=1]=P[X_i=0]=1/2$, $i \in \{1,\ldots, n\}$. By checking many examples, I ...
3 votes
1 answer
229 views

Inequality for difference of consecutive atom probabilities for binomial distribution

Edit: This post was originally two questions, the first of which has been answered, but a reference would still be appreciated if existent. The second question has been removed and migrated to its ...
1 vote
0 answers
100 views

Balls and bins, with cardinality constraints

Suppose I have $n$ sets of $k$ balls each, with each one of the $nk$ balls distributed uniformly at random among $m$ bins. Further suppose that I have a probability vector $p=(p_1,\dots,p_m)$. I am ...
10 votes
1 answer
846 views

A Johnson-Lindenstrauss lemma for finite fields?

Given $m$ points in $\mathbb{R}^N$, the Johnson-Lindenstrauss lemma guarantees the existence of a linear operator $\mathbb{R}^N\rightarrow\mathbb{R}^n$ that nearly preserves pairwise distances between ...
7 votes
1 answer
463 views

Boundedness of total current in electrical network

Consider the following symmetric matrix (adjacency matrix): $$A=(a_{ij})_{1\leq i,j\leq n}$$ such that $a_{ij}=a_{ji}, a_{ii}=0$ and $a_{ij}=0$ for $|i-j|\geq k$ where $k\geq3$. We also have $1\leq a_{...

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