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7 votes
1 answer
487 views

A note on Doob's theorem

I have faced the following problem, regarding to the Martingale Theory. Because this area far from my area I don't know whether this problem is in literature or this can be simple question for ...
10 votes
1 answer
699 views

Martingales converging in probability but not a.s

It is known that a random series $$ \sum_{n\geq 1} X_n $$ whose terms $X_n$ are independent converges a.s. if and only if it converges in probability. Is it true that a martingale $(Y_n)$ converges a....
5 votes
2 answers
311 views

A comparison of diffusions

Consider two diffusions given by $$X_j(t)=\int_0^t a_j(s,X_j(s))\,dW_s$$ for $j=1,2$ and $t\ge 0$, where $W_\cdot$ is a standard Wiener process/Brownian motion and the $a_j$'s are smooth enough ...
10 votes
4 answers
679 views

The min of the mean of iid exponential variables

Let $X_1, \ldots, X_n, \ldots$ be iid exponential random variables with mean 1. It is well-known that $\min_{1\le j < \infty} \frac{X_1 + \cdots + X_j}{j}$ follows the uniform distribution U(0,1). ...
3 votes
2 answers
517 views

CLT for Martingales

I posted this question originally in math stack exchange, but I got no answer. (https://math.stackexchange.com/questions/2604591/clt-for-martingales) In wikipedia, there is a version of a CLT for ...
2 votes
1 answer
300 views

On the speed of divergence of the converse of the Strong law of large numbers

By the converse of the strong law of large numbers, we know that, given a sequence of i.i.d random variables $X_1,X_2,\dots$ such that $\mathbb{P}(X_1 \ge 0)=1$ and $\mathbb{E}X_1= \infty$, then I ...
-2 votes
1 answer
138 views

Problem arising from martingale solutions to SPDE: $Law(u)=Law(v)$ on $C([0,T]; X)$, can $Law(u)=Law(v)$ on $C([0,t]; X)$ for $t<T$?

I ask this question because I found in some papers of martingale solutions to SPDE, to prove the approximate solutions $u_n$ is a convergent sequence, one can use "stochastic compact" method to find ...
6 votes
0 answers
150 views

Delayed Pólya's urn process

The standard Pólya's urn process can be stated as follows: You have an urn with red and green balls. At any time unit you choose one ball at random, note the colour, and give the ball back. At the ...
3 votes
2 answers
229 views

Expectation of the exitpoint distance for the symmetric random walk

Let $\nu(x)$ be a symmetric probability measure with respect to the origin on $x\in[-1,1]$ such that $\nu(\{0\})\neq 1$. Consider a random walk started at $S_0=0$, denoted $S_n=X_1+\dotsb+X_n$, ...
7 votes
1 answer
466 views

Martingale version of Bernstein-type inequality for (slightly) heavy-tailed distributions?

It is known that for sub-exponentially distributed martingale difference sequence, the following Bernstein-type inequality holds: $$ ℙ\left(\left| \sum_{i=1}^N a_i X_i \right| \ge t \right) \le 2\...
6 votes
0 answers
183 views

Distribution of the stopping time of an autoregressive sequence

Consider $e_t$ being i.i.d. uniformly chosen from $\pm 1$. Let $\eta$ be a small positive constant. What is the distribution of $T$ such that $\eta^{0.5} (1+\eta)^T W_T$ first hits $\pm 1$, in which $$...
-1 votes
1 answer
519 views

Poisson kernel is the Cauchy distribution, reference?

Let $d = 2$, and consider the domain $D = \mathbb{H}$, the upper half-plane. Can someone give me a reference to a proof that the Poisson kernel is the Cauchy distribution?
0 votes
0 answers
65 views

Wanted: example of a non-stationary sequence with reverse empirical measure

Assume we have a sequence $\xi=(\xi_1,\xi_2,\dots)$ of random variables such that $$\eta=\left(\frac{\sum_{i=1}^n \delta_{\xi_i}}{n}\right)_{n\geq 1}$$ is a reverse-martingale with respect to its own ...
5 votes
1 answer
1k views

Supremum of a martingale

Let $(X_n)$ be a martingale. What can be said about the distribution of its maximum over a window of fixed length: $$M_n = \max_{n-10 \leq k \leq n} X_k$$ or about the "range" over a window: $$R_n = \...
9 votes
1 answer
556 views

Berry-Esseen bound for martingale sequence with varying and dependent variances

Let $(X_{1},\ldots,X_{k},\ldots)$ be a martingale difference sequence, i.e. $$ E[X_{k}|\mathcal{F}_{k-1}] = 0 $$ where $\mathcal{F}_{k-1}$ is the $\sigma$-algebra filtration at $k-1$. Let $\sigma_{...
2 votes
1 answer
571 views

Extension of Dynkin's formula, conclude that process is a martingale

This question was asked here, but it did not get enough attention, so I'm crossposting it to MO. Let $u: \mathbb{R}_+ \times \mathbb{R}^d$ be a bounded $C^2$ function whose first and second partial ...
1 vote
1 answer
237 views

Poisson kernel, expectation, an absolute value comes in

See here. Let $d = 2$, and consider the domain $D = \mathbb{H}$, the upper half-plane. Let $W_t = (X_t, Y_t)$. We see that for any $\theta \in \mathbb{R}$ and any $t \ge 0$, we have$$E^{(x, y)}\...