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Law of large numbers for Harris recurrent Markov chains

I'm trying to familiarize myself with the details of the proof that the Markov chains produce by the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm have a law of large numbers. I've found a half dozen or more ...
R Hahn's user avatar
  • 2,791
2 votes
1 answer
185 views

Entropy rate problem of ergodic Markov process with non-ergodic joint

I have a problem with the entropy rate when two ergodic Markov processes who are independent of each other having a non-ergodic joint. More specifically let us consider two finite-state Markov ...
Yi Huang's user avatar
  • 333
1 vote
1 answer
143 views

Comparison of hitting probability of two Markov chains both with only one absorbing state version 2 under stronger condition

Let $N_n:=\{1,2,\cdots,n\}$. Given two finite states Markov chains $\big(X^{(j)}_i\in N_n\}\big)_{i=0}^\infty$ for $j\in\{1,2\}$, both of which have two absorbing states at $1$ and $n$. $\text{Pr}\...
Hans's user avatar
  • 2,239
1 vote
1 answer
170 views

Stationary distribution of Markov Chain with departure

I have a Markov Chain of $N$ states. Such states represent the energy levels in a molecule. The states' connectivity is as follows: States $j\in\{0,\ldots,N\}$ transition to $k\in\{\max(j-M,0),...,\...
TheVal's user avatar
  • 151
0 votes
2 answers
128 views

Markov with epsilon memory and Quantitative Strong Markov property

We have a process $\{X_{t}\}_{t\geq 0}$ ,with fixed parameter $\epsilon>0$, starting from zero that satisfies The process is strictly monotone $X_{t+r}-X_{t}>0$ with moments existing $p\in(-\...
Thomas Kojar's user avatar
  • 5,474
0 votes
1 answer
80 views

A question about positive operator pregenerator [closed]

Thank you for reading. My question was raised up when I tried to prove an example in the book of Liggett(1985), which is in P13 Example 2.3(a). Here is a link of the page: https://books.google.com/...
Chennes's user avatar
  • 385
0 votes
2 answers
306 views

Lower bounds on discrete time finite Markov chains hitting probabilities

I am interested in some general theorems related to lower bounds on discrete time finite Markov chains hitting probabilities (preferably ergodic chains , but not necessarily ), with references . ...
Cristian Dumitrescu's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
226 views

Total offspring of Poisson multitype branching process

A normal branching process $Z_n$ initialized with $Z_0=1$ and offspring generated from $Pois(p),p<1,$ has a total progeny / total off spring distribution $$X=\sum_{n=0}^\infty Z_n$$ $X\in \mathbb{...
Conformal's user avatar
  • 315
2 votes
0 answers
37 views

Exclusion processes from point of view of a tagged particle

I'm interested in the simple exclusion processes on $Z^d$ and the ergodic theorems that can be proved from the point of view of the particle. Ellen Saada proved the following in 1987 (Annals of Prob): ...
arjun's user avatar
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1 answer
204 views

How is the Cauchy-Schwarz inequality used in the proof of Lyapunov's criterion in the book "Analysis and Geometry of Markov Diffusion Operators"

Let $(E,\mu,\Gamma)$ be a full Markov triple (see definition below), $J\in\mathcal A$ with $J\ge1$ and $g\in\mathcal A_0$. In the proof of Theorem 4.6.2 of the book "Analysis and Geometry of Markov ...
0xbadf00d's user avatar
  • 167
1 vote
1 answer
305 views

Existence of a Lyapunov function for a log-concave measure

Let $d\in\mathbb N$, $f:\mathbb R^d\to\mathbb R$ be convex with $$\int e^{-f(x)}\:{\rm d}x<\infty\tag1$$ and $\mu$ denote the measure with density $e^{-f}$ with respect to the Lebesgue measure on $\...
0xbadf00d's user avatar
  • 167
-1 votes
1 answer
370 views

What's the probability of two independent events in time domain?

Suppose there are two independent events A and B. The probability that A or ...
oleotiger's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
416 views

How can we treat the generator of a discrete-time Markov chain as the generator of a Markov-jump process?

In the popular paper Weak Convergence and Optimal Scaling of Random Walk Metropolis Algorithms by Roberts, Gelman and Gilks, the authors state (see below) that "in the Skorokhod topology, it does not ...
0xbadf00d's user avatar
  • 167
3 votes
2 answers
264 views

Probability of one species reaching zero before the other in a Markov process on a 2d lattice

$\textbf{Background}$: Say we've got a two-variable system of stochastic chemical reactions, with quantities $\vec{x}(t) = (x_1(t),x_2(t)) \in \mathbb{N}^2$ evolving according to the following system, ...
Bianca's user avatar
  • 41
1 vote
0 answers
149 views

Construction of Feller's pseudo-poisson process

Let $(\Omega,\mathcal A,\operatorname P)$ be a probability space $(E,\mathcal E)$ be a measurable space $(Y_n)_{n\in\mathbb N_0}$ be a $(E,\mathcal E)$-valued time-homogeneous Markov chain on $(\...
0xbadf00d's user avatar
  • 167
1 vote
2 answers
302 views

how to derive stationary distribution of maximal entropy random walk

I was reading the paper 0810.4113v2, burda, which analyzed the stationary distribution maximal entropy random walk on the irregular lattice. I am confused on some of the steps. Description: The ...
Nick Dong's user avatar
  • 211
2 votes
0 answers
37 views

Reference request: semimarkov processes

What are some good modern introductions to the theory of semimarkov processes? To be clear, by a semimarkov processes, I mean a Markov chain, together with "waiting times" between transitions, the ...
Simon Segert's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
72 views

Invariant measures for a renewal process driven by Interarrival times bounded away from zero

Good morning, I apologize in advance if my question sounds too basic but after some research I was unable to come up with satisfactory answers to my doubts. I am currently studying a model which ...
guido giuliani's user avatar
3 votes
2 answers
436 views

Central limit theorem for weak dependent bernoulli random variables

Suppose $\epsilon_1,\epsilon_2,...$ are i.i.d bounded random variables with compact support. Let $X_k=g_k(\epsilon_k,...,\epsilon_1)$ be Bernoulli random variables with the covariance between $X_i$ ...
joeyg's user avatar
  • 339
3 votes
1 answer
343 views

Positive and Null recurrence of Markov Chains on a General State Space

Suppose $X_n$ is an irreducible, aperiodic and Harris recurrent Markov chain. It is well known that in this case, $X_n$ has a stationary distribution $\pi$. Are there any conditions that are ...
joeyg's user avatar
  • 339
2 votes
1 answer
187 views

Stationary distribution for a Markov Chain on an uncountable space

Suppose $X_n$ are i.i.d. random variables on $\mathbb{R}$ with compact support, and define the Markov chain $Y_n=X_n +\frac{1}{Y_{n-1}}$ on $\Omega=\mathbb{R}\cup \{\infty\}$. Does the chain $Y_n$ ...
joeyg's user avatar
  • 339
3 votes
0 answers
106 views

Find the generator of a markov process with constant decay and exponential jumps

Suppose we have a continuous time Markov process $(X_t)_{t\in [0,\infty)}$. This Markov process represents the queue length in amount of work left, therefore its state space is given as $S = [0,\infty)...
HolyMonk's user avatar
  • 277
3 votes
3 answers
2k views

Proof of the existence of an optimal MDP with a stochastic reward signal?

I'm following Sutton's book on Reinforcement Learning, and he casually states that "There is always at least one policy that is better than or equal to all other policies" for a given finite MDP. This ...
arinarmo's user avatar
  • 133
0 votes
0 answers
169 views

Behaviour of a Markov Chain, given a Lyapunov condition

I'm reading this notes from Martin Hairer about convergence of Markov Processes (on a discrete state space $S$ and in continuous time). On page 12, before presenting the so-called "Harris Theorem", ...
Max's user avatar
  • 203
4 votes
1 answer
176 views

Random Walk with "Forward Dependency"

Let $\{X_t\}_{t=-\infty}^{\infty}$ be a sequence of random variables. We are interested in a "random walk" (or more generally, a random field) that can be characterized by $$ X_t ~|~ X_{t-k}, \ldots, ...
Minkov's user avatar
  • 1,127
1 vote
1 answer
404 views

Does Irreducibility holds for the Ergodic non-stationary Markov chain?

In the stationary case, I know that if the chain is irreducible and aperiodic, it is Ergodic. But in the non-stationary case, i can not comprehend the content deeply. I want to know if Irreducibility ...
Optimized Life's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
182 views

Superlinear Convergence of a Markov Chain

Suppose that we have a Markov process $\{Z_t\}_{t=0}^\infty$, where $Z_t \geq 0$ for any $t$. Assume that, conditioning on $Z_t = z_t$, we have $ \mathbb{E}\{Z_{t+1}|Z_t = z_t\} \leq \kappa z_t^2 $. ...
Minkov's user avatar
  • 1,127
2 votes
0 answers
440 views

Hitting time of a specific Markov chain using martingale approach (or otherwise)

Let $0 < c < 1$. Consider the Markov chain $(X_i)$ on $\{0, 1, \dots, n\}$, with transition probabilities $$ P(k,k+1) = \left(1 - \tfrac {k}{n} \right)(1-c), \quad k = 0, \dots, n-1, $$ $$ P(k,...
Joris Bierkens's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
32 views

$\mbox{Var}(\sum \delta\{X_n > i_n\} )$ i.f.o. correlation of $(X_n)_n$

Question Suppose we have an ergodic positive stochastic process $(X_n)_{n \in \mathbb{N}}$ (in particular I'm mainly interested in the case where $(X_n)_n$ is an aperiodic, irreducible, positive ...
HolyMonk's user avatar
  • 277
0 votes
0 answers
78 views

Core of direct product of Markov processes

Let $X$ and $Y$ be two diffusion processes. Suppose they have generators $G_X$ and $G_Y$ with domains $D(G_X)$ and $D(G_Y)$ and cores $C(G_X)$ and $C(G_Y)$. Let $Z$ be the product diffusion with ...
ysys's user avatar
  • 43
3 votes
2 answers
922 views

On representing a continuous time Markov chain by a stochastic integral of a Poisson random measure

Let $Q=(q_{ij})$ be the transition rate matrix of a continuous time Markov chain $\{ X_t \}$ with countable state space $M$. Let $q_i = -q_{ii}=\sum_{j \neq i}q_{ij}$, and let $\Gamma_{ij}$ be defined ...
Peixue 's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
276 views

Number of deaths in birth-death process conditioned on start and end points

Say I have a simple linear continuous time birth-death process with state space the non-negative integers, where there are parameters $b$ and $d$, with the rate (as you'd see in a $Q$ matrix) of going ...
Andiamo Va's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
74 views

Literature/Book on counting processes

I seek literature that makes a rigorous treatment of counting processes. In particular im interested in a precise treatment of the conditional intensity $\lambda_t$ which is often informally defined ...
Conformal's user avatar
  • 315
1 vote
1 answer
4k views

First passage time of a 1D simple random walk in a discrete time infinite markov chain [closed]

If we consider a simple Random Walk on the positive integers (discrete Markov chain), with symmetric transition probabilities. We start at time $0$ at the integer $i_0 = m$ and at each time step $P(...
Jean Claude's user avatar
2 votes
2 answers
184 views

Asymptotic Growth of Markov Chain

I asked the following question one week ago at math.stackexchange but didn't receive a response, so I want to give it here another try: I'm interested in the following problem: We have got a time-...
Fisher's user avatar
  • 111
5 votes
0 answers
485 views

Hierarchical Random Walk (also known as Hierarchical Hidden Markov Model)

Let us consider the following hierarchical (recursive) random walk model, which is also known as the hierarchical hidden Markov model in computer science (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...
Minkov's user avatar
  • 1,127
2 votes
1 answer
412 views

Does random walk have more concentration surrounding the origin?

Consider a simple random walk $S_n$ on one dimension, starting at $0$. In this case, $S_n$ fluctuates between $-\infty$ and $\infty$, but intuition says that it might stay more often in an interval ...
maomao's user avatar
  • 502
4 votes
2 answers
2k views

Frequency of visiting states in Markov chains

Given a finite, ergodic Markov $\{X_i\}$, and two natural numbers $a>b$. Let $$p=P\left[\forall n, \sum_{k=n}^{n+a-1} \mathbf{1}_m(X_k)\leq b\right]$$ where $\mathbf{1}_m(X_k) =1$ if $X_k=m$ and 0 ...
maomao's user avatar
  • 502
6 votes
2 answers
2k views

Random walk to stay in an interval forever

Consider a random walk on the real time, starting from $0$. But this time assume that we can decide, for each step $i$, a step size $t_i>0$ to the left or the right with equal probabilities. To ...
maomao's user avatar
  • 502
6 votes
1 answer
170 views

Basic Definition and Notations in RWRE

From the definition of Zeitouni's lecture notes on RWRE: $(V, E)$ is a special graph, and $N_v:= \{k \in V: (v,k) \in E\}$ is the neighborhood of $v \in V$. $\Omega = \prod_{v \in V} M_1(N_v)$ ...
odakimki's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
222 views

Uniqueness of invariant measure for equivalent transition probabilities

Suppose $P(x,dy)$ and $Q(x,dy)$ are two Markov transition kernels on a topological space $E$ equipped with Borel $\sigma$-algebra $\mathcal B(E)$. Suppose for every $x \in E$, $P(x,\cdot)$ and $Q(x, \...
Joris Bierkens's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
207 views

markov processes and ergodic theory

For an ergodic Markov Chain $$ \frac{1}{N}\sum_{i=1}^n f(X_i) \rightarrow E_\pi[f] $$ where $\pi$ is the invariant distribution. I am also dealing with a Markovian process (a state space model to ...
jkt's user avatar
  • 169
4 votes
2 answers
255 views

The necessary sufficient condition for recurrence of a Markovian random walk

Suppose $\sigma_{1},\sigma_{2},...$are i.i.d random variables.$S_{0}=0$. Define $S_{n}=S_{0}+\sum_{i=1}^{n}\sigma_{i}$, then ${S_{n}}$ is a Markovian random walk. I want to figure out the necessary ...
Lotayou's user avatar
  • 41
3 votes
1 answer
208 views

Is there an easy way to convert a non-deterministic optimal policy to a deterministic optimal policy for a given MDP?

For a MDP (Markov Decision Process) is there an easy way to convert a non-deterministic optimal policy into a deterministic optimal policy? The trivial way will take $O(|\mathcal{A}|^{|\mathcal{S}|}$...
aroyc's user avatar
  • 221
2 votes
0 answers
166 views

Must rows of a transition matrix be distinct?

Is it true that for all continuous time Markov processes on a countable state space $S$, we have all rows of the transition matrix $\mathbf{P}_t$ are distinct for all time $t\in[0,\infty)$ ? This ...
Fantastic's user avatar
  • 165
5 votes
0 answers
95 views

Most visited vertex in a random walk with place dependent drift

Consider the following Markov chain on $\mathbb{Z}$: $$ P(x,x+1)=1-P(x,x-1)=\frac{1}{2}+e^{-|x|}\cdot \mathbf{1}_{\{x\neq 0\}} $$ Do there exist constants $c,C>0$ such that $$ c\cdot P^t(z,z) \...
Snoop Catt's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
168 views

Random Walk 2D with dependent weights [closed]

I have spent a lot of time trying to solve this problem but have had no luck so far! Any help would be highly appreciated! Suppose I have a 3x3 grid as shown below. (3,1) (3,2) (3,3) (2,1) (2,2) (...
ayesha's user avatar
  • 23
1 vote
1 answer
108 views

Regularity of the entrance measure of SRW

Let $S(n)$ be the discrete sphere of radius $n$ (i.e., the internal boundary of the Euclidean discrete ball $B(n)$) centered in the origin, and consider a simple random walk starting at some $x\in\...
Serguei Popov's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
370 views

Markov chain with Feller property

Does anybody know whether there is an analysis of when the monotone decreasing chain has the Feller property? The monotone decreasing is defined as a chain on $\mathbb{N}$ and the rate of going down $...
Greenpeace's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
355 views

Summing up costs over a Markov chain

I apologize in advance if this question is too simplistic to be appropriate for MathOverflow. I have inquired in multiple places but have found little to indicate that this is a previously studied ...
Marcus Emilsson's user avatar