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Probability of detecting small bias in a die in the low confidence regime

We are given a biased $m$-sided die: one of the sides has probability $\frac{1}{m} + \gamma$ and all the rest have probability $\frac{1}{m} - \frac{\gamma}{m-1}$ each. The goal is to figure out which ...
Vitaly's user avatar
  • 211
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0 answers
268 views

Taylor series expansion of quantile function

Suppose $Y$ and $Z$ two random variables, $\lambda \in \mathbb{R} $. We note $F^{-1}_{Y}(\alpha)$ the quantile function of the variable $Y$ at the quantile level $\alpha \in (0,1)$. Do you have any ...
NN2's user avatar
  • 250
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0 answers
140 views

Reference for convergence to a Poisson Point Process

Edited after comment by Ofer Zeitouni I have a sequence of discrete time stochastic processes $\big((S_n(i))_{i \geq 1}\big)_{n\geq 1}$ such that for every $n$, $i$, \begin{equation}S_n(i)=\sum_{j=...
LopiJ's user avatar
  • 66
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0 answers
89 views

Why there isn't lexicographically smallest solution to a bounded linear program?

I am learning computational geometry when I run into this confusion. "A bounded 2D linear program may not have a lexicographically smallest solution", as the book says. I wonder why? I think we can ...
Yifu Luo's user avatar
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0 answers
424 views

Bounding the total variation distance between two measures from a given set

I have a distance on the space of probability measures on $[0,2]$. It is defined as such for two probability measures $\mu_1$ and $\mu_2$ : $d_p(\mu_1,\mu_2) := \sum_{k=0}^p ( \mathbb{E}[X_1 ^k]- \...
YZ22's user avatar
  • 31
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0 answers
103 views

Expectation of maximal Wasserstein distance between empirical distribution and a pdf

Let $P$ be a continuous probability distribution on $R^d$, $X$ the random variable $\sim P$, and $ \hat{X}$ be n i.i.d samples drawn according to $P$. We have another variable $\mu \in S^{d-1}$. Do ...
Will Cai's user avatar
  • 109
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0 answers
57 views

Absolute continuity of probability measures determined by dependence structure

We are on $\mathbb{R}^d$ with Borel $\sigma$-algebra. Let $\mu_1, ..., \mu_d$ be probability measures on $\mathbb{R}$ and $\Pi(\mu_1, \mu_2, ..., \mu_d)$ be the set of probability measures on $\mathbb{...
Steve's user avatar
  • 1,095
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0 answers
77 views

Ladder times of a Brownian motion with drift

Let $(B_s)_{s_\geq 0}$ be a standard Brownian motion and fix $t>0$. For $u>0$, set $T_u=\inf\{s>0, B_s+s t>u\}$. Now consider $x>0$ such that $\sup_{0 \leq s \leq x} (B_s+st)=B_x+xt$ ...
Gagar's user avatar
  • 406
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268 views

Does the linear combination of the quantile $\alpha F^{-1}(\tau)+\beta G^{-1}(\tau)$ still a quantile

$F(x)$ and $G(y)$ are distribution functions. Define the $\tau$th quantile for cdf $F(x)$, $G(y)$ as $$\xi_\tau\equiv F^{-1}(\tau)=\inf\{x:F(x)\ge \tau\}$$ and $$\eta_\tau\equiv G^{-1}(\tau)=\inf\{y:...
J.Mike's user avatar
  • 141
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0 answers
139 views

Statistical models of functions

I did a quick literature search and found nothing on "statistical models of functions". Let me explain what I am looking for. Given the category of Sets and Function, we have arbitrary functions ...
Ben Sprott's user avatar
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84 views

If $(Y_n)_{n\in\mathbb N_0}$ and $(N_t)_{t\ge0}$ are stochastic processes, what is the filtration generated by $\left(Y_{N_t}\right)_{t\ge0}$?

Let $(\Omega,\mathcal A)$ and $(E,\mathcal E)$ be measurable spaces $(Y_n)_{n\in\mathbb N_0}$ be a $(E,\mathcal E)$-valued stochastic process on $(\Omega,\mathcal A)$ $(N_t)_{t\ge0}$ be a $\mathbb ...
0xbadf00d's user avatar
  • 167
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0 answers
691 views

$L_1$ convergence for a product of indicator functions

Let $X_1,X_2,\ldots$ be a sequence of identically distributed random variables and let $A\subset\mathbb{R}$ be some set such that $P(X_1\in A)<1$. I have a product of indicator functions $$ \lim_{N\...
Marc's user avatar
  • 479
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1 answer
270 views

Bivariate Poisson-Binomial distribution

Suppose you have $100$ coins whose probabilities of obtaining the outcome "head" are $p_1,\ldots,\,p_{100}$. These probabilities are not necessarily equal each other. Consider the following random ...
Student1981's user avatar
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2 answers
308 views

Predictability of countably valued accessible stopping times on complete and cadlag filtrations

The following question is motivated by this part of the proof of Lemma 2 on page 107 of the book Stochastic integration and differential equations of Philip Protter. Lemma 2. Let $T$ be a totally ...
Ivan's user avatar
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0 answers
219 views

Question about Protter's proof of the Ito's formula

The following is a question about a notation that Protter uses in the proof of the Ito's formula for cadlag processes of finite variation (FV) that appears on Stochastic Integration and Differential ...
Ivan's user avatar
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1 answer
490 views

Relax a rectangular linear assignment problem

I wonder if there is any literature on the following problem $$\begin{array}{ll} \underset{X \in \mathbb R^{m\times n}}{\text{minimize}} & \displaystyle\sum_{i,j} C_{i,j} X_{i,j}\\ \text{subject ...
Jiaji Huang's user avatar
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0 answers
29 views

Probabilistic timed automata transition

I am kind of new to timed automata and I have a question related to their correctness and synchronisation. Assume that I have three states, A, B and C. I have also two clocks, $x$ and $y$ that are ...
Ecterion's user avatar
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0 answers
119 views

the enumeration of 2 dimensional lattice walks with fixed number steps and largest distance from the end point ti the origin

There is actually an one dimensional version of this problem. For each step of the lattice walk, we can move either east for one unit or west for one unit. The problem is that given a fixed $n$ steps ...
Mclalalala's user avatar
0 votes
1 answer
565 views

Continuity w.r.t time vs Continuity w.r.t. stopping times

Several places in "Optimal Stopping and Free-Boundary Problems" Peskir and Shiryaev make the assumption that a (Markov) process $X = (X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ has sample paths which are right continuous and ...
deepblue's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
165 views

Probability that the perturbed convex hull is larger than the original one

I am wondering if any convex geometers/probabilists have looked at the following question: Given $n$ randomly distributed (not sure what assumption to put there) points in $\mathbb{R}^d$, for each ...
user3799934's user avatar
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0 answers
99 views

Is this Graph Iteration Already Known?

When attempting to set up an ILP formulation for a weight-minimal cubic spanning tree (i.e. one with vertex degrees either 1 or 3) I needed connectivity constraint, but misremembered the contents of ...
Manfred Weis's user avatar
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0 answers
72 views

Invariant measures for a renewal process driven by Interarrival times bounded away from zero

Good morning, I apologize in advance if my question sounds too basic but after some research I was unable to come up with satisfactory answers to my doubts. I am currently studying a model which ...
guido giuliani's user avatar
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0 answers
46 views

linear inequalities and reference request

I have proved and am using the following simple lemma in my current research problem: Let $\{a_1,...,a_m\}$ and $\{b_1,b_2,...,b_n\}$ be set of positive numbers such that $\sum_{i=1}^m a_i < \sum_{...
GA316's user avatar
  • 1,269
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0 answers
52 views

Birth and death process, inequality between two stopping times

I have a discrete times birth and death process $\{\Psi_n\}_{n\in \mathbb N}$ with birth probability $p$ and death probability $q$ defined as follows: \begin{align} \Psi_n=\sum_{i=1}^n\eta_i \end{...
user495333's user avatar
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0 answers
76 views

Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type process with thresholding

(Edited) I met a univariate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type process but with self soft-thresholding: $$ dX(t) = - c\ \mbox{sgn}(X(t))\big[|X(t)|-c_1 t^{\mu}\big]_+ dt + \sigma dB(t), \quad X(0)=0, $$ where $...
Nick's user avatar
  • 31
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0 answers
69 views

Convergence of a stochastic process in probability

I came across the following. For any fixed $n$, let $\{X_{n}(s) \}_{s\geq0}$ be a stochastic process and let $\{B_n(s) \}_{s\geq0}$ be a Brownian motion. We wish to study the behaviour of $\{X_{n}(s) \...
Joogs's user avatar
  • 101
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0 answers
167 views

Prime gap heuristics (follows up my question "Moments of merit")

I previously asked generally what people knew or conjectured concerning the moments of the probability distribution governing $M_n:= g_n/\ln(p_n)$, the normalized $n$th prime gap (or ``merit''). Greg ...
David Feldman's user avatar
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0 answers
72 views

Generating function for number of r-disjoint subsets each of size k

Fix $n, k$. Let $$ C^{n,k}_r =\frac{1}{r!} \binom{n}{\underbrace{k, \ldots, k}_{\text{r times}}, n-rk} = \frac{n!}{r!(k!)^r(n - kr)!} $$ be the number of ways to form $r$ disjoint subsets each of ...
Miheer's user avatar
  • 101
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0 answers
64 views

Probability of collision of sums of vectors

Let $S_1$ and $S_2$ be sets of vectors from $\mathbb{R}^d$ that are distinct and let $\sigma(\cdot)$ be a non-linearity, e.g., a componentwise sigmoid function. Does there exist a random matrix $R \...
Christopher's user avatar
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0 answers
368 views

Finding a point in the relative interior of the convex hull of a set of integer-valued vectors

Let $X \subset \mathbb{Z}^n$ be the set of integer-valued vectors satisfying a system of linear constraints. We can suppose that $X$ is the set of integral points in a given polyhydral set $Y \subset \...
rasul's user avatar
  • 136
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0 answers
112 views

On certain integrals of exponential functions with respect to Gaussian measures

I have questions about the integral $$F(a,b,c)=\sqrt{\frac{a}{\pi}}\int_{0}^{\infty}e^{-bx^4+cx^3-ax^2}dx$$ for $a,b,c>0$. What is the asymptotic behavior of $F(a,b,c)$ for small $a,b,c$? In ...
S.Z.'s user avatar
  • 505
0 votes
0 answers
129 views

Convergence of sequence of stopped partial sums to functional of Wiener process

I asked the same question on stackexchange (with less details) and decided to post it here. Hopefully it's close to the research level. Preliminary: I have a sequence of normalized partial sum ...
Dormire's user avatar
  • 223
0 votes
1 answer
279 views

Expected properties for a PDE whose solution is supposed to be something that doesn't exist

My understanding of Lecture #33, 34: The Characteristic Function for a Diffusion: As an alternative to directly computing the characteristic function of a random variable $X_t$ in a stochastic ...
BCLC's user avatar
  • 247
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0 answers
35 views

Iterating the Voter protocol

Assume you have an array of length $n$ filled with the numbers $1,2,...,n$. (Actually, it only matters that all numbers are different.) This corresponds to a Dirac delta distribution for the number ...
Hauke Reddmann's user avatar
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0 answers
130 views

Average of Tracy-Widom distribution

I have posted this to MSE, but it got no attention (https://math.stackexchange.com/questions/2619324/average-of-tracy-widom-distributions) The Tracy-Widom distributions famously describe the ...
thedude's user avatar
  • 1,549
0 votes
0 answers
80 views

Not exactly directed percolation

Is the following problem known/well-studies? I'm looking for references or a name that I can look up. I start with $N$ cell, each one divides into two cells, each one of the new cells either dies ...
stochastic's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
90 views

criterions for polar set of Feller processes

Suppose $X_t$ is the solution to $$ d X_t=b(X_t)dt+dL_t,\quad X_0=x. $$ where $L$ is a rotational symmetric $\alpha-$stable process with $\alpha\in (0,1]$, $b$ is Lipchitz. Assume $\Gamma\subseteq ...
Guohuan Zhao's user avatar
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0 answers
57 views

Fixed Length Gaussian pdf

In a research problem about detection theory I faced with the following question. How can I find the conditional Gaussian probability density function $$ f({\mathbf w} \; | \; \|{\mathbf w}\|^2)$$ ...
Mamal's user avatar
  • 273
0 votes
0 answers
92 views

Movement of a random walk in the limit (a particle in diffusion)

I asked this question in Math Exchange and obtained no answer. Let $X(t)$ be a stochastic process in time such that $X(0)=0$ and, at each increment of time $\Delta t$, it can move $h$ units in space ...
user39756's user avatar
  • 141
0 votes
0 answers
102 views

Lower bound for the probability that $X=\omega\left(\mathbb E[X]\right)$ for $X\sim Bin(n,p)$

Let $X\sim Bin(n,p)$ be a binomial variable and let $\delta\in (0,1)$. I'm looking for a lower bound of the form $\Pr[X > f(\delta)] \ge \delta$. Specifically, if $\delta,p=o(1)$ are not ...
R B's user avatar
  • 618
0 votes
0 answers
141 views

Probability of getting through with a phone-call

Alice is quite popular. She gets called on her cell-phone in a Poisson$(\lambda)$ manner. She answers her calls when possible, and ignores them when in the middle of conversation. Since you know her ...
Matjaž Krnc's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
250 views

Can we make two random variables independent at a low cost?

Let $X$ and $Y$ be two discrete random variables with joint probability mass function $p(x,y)$ such that $$\|p(x,y)-p(x)p(y)\|_1=\sum_{x\in\mathcal{X},y\in\mathcal{Y}}|p(x,y)-p(x)p(y)|\leq\epsilon$$ ...
Math_Y's user avatar
  • 287
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0 answers
137 views

Expected Number of Triangles

A unit square is divided up with $n$ random lines. The random lines are chosen as follows, we choose one side of the square and pick a random point on that side. From there we choose a random point on ...
Pierre Humbert Leblanc's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
93 views

Changing Couplings of Discrete Random Variables

Let $X,Y$ be two discrete random variables. Two joint mass distributions (couplings) with marginals $X$ and $Y$ and with entries $p_{i,j}=\mathbb{P}_1(X=i,Y=j)$ and $p_{i,j}'=\mathbb{P}_2({X=i,Y=j})$ ...
The Substitute's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
169 views

Behaviour of a Markov Chain, given a Lyapunov condition

I'm reading this notes from Martin Hairer about convergence of Markov Processes (on a discrete state space $S$ and in continuous time). On page 12, before presenting the so-called "Harris Theorem", ...
Max's user avatar
  • 203
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0 answers
75 views

Drunkards Uphill Walk revisited

We want to help the poor git... Old Question ...with a bias to speed up things. We replace step 1 1. Draw ball, memorize color, throw it back. with 1a-c. Draw ball, memorize color, throw it back. ...
Hauke Reddmann's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
72 views

A random variable standing for the size of connected component including a given node in a tree

Suppose we have a tree $T = (V,E)$, in which each nodes $v_i \in V$ has a probability $p_i$ to vanish. Let $v_0\in V$, we define random variable $\boldsymbol{X} = \boldsymbol{X}(T, v_0)$ stands for ...
Lwins's user avatar
  • 1,551
0 votes
0 answers
65 views

Wanted: example of a non-stationary sequence with reverse empirical measure

Assume we have a sequence $\xi=(\xi_1,\xi_2,\dots)$ of random variables such that $$\eta=\left(\frac{\sum_{i=1}^n \delta_{\xi_i}}{n}\right)_{n\geq 1}$$ is a reverse-martingale with respect to its own ...
mbe's user avatar
  • 211
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0 answers
141 views

Effect of partitioning the realizations of random variables on the total variation distance?

Let $X$ and $Y$ be two random variables with joint pmf $p(x,y)=p(x)\cdot p(y|x)$ and $X$ has uniform distribution. Also assume that the following relation is satisfied: \begin{align} \lVert p(y|x)-p(y)...
Math_Y's user avatar
  • 287
0 votes
1 answer
80 views

Expectation of ratio between product of gaussian r.v.'s and generalized gamma r.v

Given \begin{equation}\label{eq:definition_of_z} \begin{split} \textbf{Z} = \left[\begin{array}{cccc} {z}_{11} & {z}_{12} & \cdots & {z}_{1P} \\ {z}_{21} & {z}_{22} & \cdots & {...
Felipe Augusto de Figueiredo's user avatar

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