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Questions tagged [expectation]

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16 votes
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Randomized Pascal's triangle: What is the average of all the numbers?

This question was posted on MSE. It received some interesting responses, but no definite answer. Let's build a variation of Pascal's triangle. We write $1$'s going down the sides, as usual. Then for ...
Dan's user avatar
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7 votes
0 answers
263 views

$\lim_{n \to \infty} E[V| W +\frac{1}{n}V ]$ where $W$ and $V$ are independent

Let $V$ and $W$ be independent random variables. Assume that $V$ is standard normal. We are interested in the following limit \begin{align} \lim_{n \to \infty} E[V| W +\frac{1}{n}V ] \end{align} ...
Boby's user avatar
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6 votes
0 answers
164 views

Stopping time on the sum of a moving window

(Cross post from MSE) Let $\xi_i$ be iid random variables, and define: $$S_{(k)} = \sum_{i=1}^N \xi_{i+k}$$ Now, define: $$\tau = \min \left\{ k : S_{(k)} \notin (a,b) \right\}$$ How can I find $\...
user3141592's user avatar
4 votes
0 answers
249 views

A tricky integral equation

In the context of reconstruction of climate data from ice cores (see related question at MSE) I came about the following problem. (More background and motivation can be given on demand.) Let $f:\...
Hans-Peter Stricker's user avatar
3 votes
0 answers
63 views

How to prove emprical risk converges to expectation risk as $n\to \infty$?

For example, for a classical binary classification: $x \in \mathbb{R}^d$ and $y \in\{0,1\}$ let empirical risk be $R_{\ell}^n(f):=\frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^n \ell\left(f\left(X_i\right), Y_i\right)$ and ...
fantacy_crs's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
71 views

Assumptions Wald's second equation?

Let $(X_n)_{n\in \mathbb{N}}$ be an i.i.d. sequence of random variables and $N$ an $\mathbb{N}_0$ valued random variable. Let $X_1 \in \mathcal{L}^2$ and $N \in \mathcal{L}^1$. Let $S_n := \sum_{i=1}^...
psl2Z's user avatar
  • 261
2 votes
0 answers
74 views

Expected number of steps until a queue of $n$ people has passed all $n$ ordered tests consecutively

We are given a queue of $n$ people $\{p_1, \ldots, p_n\}$. They each have to pass $n$ exams $\{t_1, \ldots, t_n\}$. For simplicity we can "draw" the setting in the following way: $$[t_n,t_{n-...
Lucas's user avatar
  • 21
2 votes
0 answers
122 views

Are the extensions of the expected value, below, finite for all functions in only a shy subset of all measurable functions?

This is a follow up to this post, where I wish to verify whether one of the statements (in the post) is true but first let's recap the definitions: Let $(X,d)$ be a metric space. If set $A\subseteq X$,...
Arbuja's user avatar
  • 63
2 votes
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can we get a family of classifiers $\left\{f_n\right\}_{n \in N}$such that $\lim_{n->∞} (E_{(X_1, Y_1), ...,(X_n, Y_n) \sim \rho}[R(f_n)]-R(f_B))=0 $

For a given classifier $f: \mathbb{R}^d \mapsto\{0,1,2\}$, let $$ R(f):=\mathbb{E}_{(X, Y) \sim \rho}\left[\mathbb{1}_{f(X) \neq Y}\right] $$ $f_B$ the Bayes classifier. can we get a family of ...
fantacy_crs's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
730 views

Expected value of length of longest cycle in permutation

Let $n$ be a positive integer and let $S_n$ be the collection of permutations $\pi:\{1,\ldots,n\}\to \{1,\ldots,n\}$. For $\pi\in S_n$ let $\text{maxcyc}(\pi)$ denote the length of the longest cycle ...
Dominic van der Zypen's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
158 views

Size of an “average” ϵ-net on the unit sphere

This is a question I originally asked on math.stackexchange, but didn't receive a satisfying answer. Let $\epsilon>0$ and consider constructing a set $S_\epsilon\subseteq S^{d-1}$ of points on the ...
R B's user avatar
  • 618
2 votes
0 answers
336 views

For the following class of matrices, are the determinants invariant under permutations?

I want to ask a question regarding the invariance of determinants under permutation. The following matrix is the one I want to discuss here. (It's just a symmetric block tridiagonal matrix with non-...
Charles Cao's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
55 views

Expectation of Hadwiger number of a random graph

For any integer $n$, let ${\cal G}_n$ denote the set of simple, undirected graphs $G = (V, E)$ where $V = \{1,\ldots,n\}$. The Hadwiger number $\eta(G)$ of a finite graph $G$ is the maximum integer $m$...
Dominic van der Zypen's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
112 views

The expected size of a subtree of any labelled rooted tree

Consider the set of labelled rooted trees of size $n$, $\mathcal{T}_n$. Let $r$ be the root of each tree $T=(V,E)\in\mathcal{T}$, $r\in V(T)$, and let $n(u)$ be the number of vertices of the subtree $...
Lluís Alemany-Puig's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
58 views

An upper bound on $\mathbb{E}\bigg[\bigg(\sum_{i=1}^{k}(X^{\top}A_{i}X)^{2}\bigg)^{q}\bigg]$

Let $X\in\mathbb{R}^{d}$ have independent, mean zero subgaussian entries, and $A_{1},\ldots,A_{k}$ be fixed $d\times d$ matrices that have zeros on the diagonal. I would like to upper bound the ...
nemo's user avatar
  • 129
2 votes
0 answers
61 views

Second moment of ranks

Suppose vector $R$ is a random permutation of the integers 1 through $n$ such that $$ \mathcal{P}\left(R_i = 1\right) = \pi_i, $$ for given vector of probabilities $\pi$. Moreover, assume a '...
Steven Pav's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
244 views

Counterexample in Kolmogorov theorem about existence of almost surely continuous modification

I want to understand this Kolmogorov theorem about existence of almost surely continuous modification: A process $\{\xi_t, \in[0,T]\}$ admits an almost surely continuous modification if there exist ...
Emerald's user avatar
  • 33
1 vote
0 answers
47 views

Equality regarding score function

$\newcommand{\Var}{\operatorname{Var}}$I'm reading Bogetoft and Otto (2011) page 249 and this equality regarding the score function stumped me: $$\Var\left[ -\Big(\frac{\partial^2 l}{\partial \beta^2}\...
Shay's user avatar
  • 11
1 vote
0 answers
36 views

Uniform distribution as argument for copula likelihood

I am reading a well-known paper about copulas by Chen and Fan (2006). Specifically, Proposition 4.2 (see attached), in which all the arguments are uniform $U_{t-1}, U_t$. However, when the copula is ...
Grigori's user avatar
  • 33
1 vote
0 answers
107 views

Expected value of maximal cycle length in fixed-point free bijections

$\newcommand{\n}{\{1,\ldots,n\}}$ $\newcommand{\FF}{\text{FF}}$ $\newcommand{\lc}{\text{lc}}$ Motivation. A group of my son's peers decided to have a few days of Secret Santa before last year's ...
Dominic van der Zypen's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
739 views

Finding a unique and finite expected value for almost all measurable functions?

Let $(X,d)$ be a metric space. If set $A\subseteq X$, let $H^{\alpha}$ be the $\alpha$-dimensional Hausdorff measure on $A$, where $\alpha\in[0,+\infty)$ and $\text{dim}_{\text{H}}(A)$ is the ...
Arbuja's user avatar
  • 63
1 vote
0 answers
168 views

Expectation of inverse of complex Gaussian variables

If we consider a complex Gaussian random variable as $h\sim\mathcal{CN}(0,\gamma)$, where $\gamma$ is the variance. Is there any closed-form solution with $\gamma$ for $\mathbf{E}\left[\frac{1}{\lVert ...
Charlie Nie's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
297 views

Expected value of ceiling of a random variable

I have a continuous non-negative random variable $X \ge 0$ defined by a black-box cumulative distribution function $F(x) = \Pr [ X \le x ]$. In other words, I have an algorithm to calculate $F(x)$ for ...
Yauhen Yakimenka's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
2k views

What is known about the maximum of several independent standard normal random variables?

Bailey et al., in the May 2014 issue of Notices of the AMS, show that, if $X_k\,$ ($k=1,...,n$) are independent standard normal random variables, then the expectation of their maximum is given ...
John Bentin's user avatar
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1 vote
0 answers
81 views

Calculating the mean squared error for an estimate of a large sum

Consider the set of all Boolean function $f: \{0, 1\}^{n} \rightarrow \{-1, 1\}$. Now, let's pick a function uniformly at random from this set. Let $F$ be the random variable corresponding to the ...
RandomMatrices's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
156 views

Pulling random times out of conditional expectation ("Substitution rule")

Problem Let $G$ be a positive random variable (a random time) that is a.s. finite, $(X)_{t \geq 0}$ be a càdlàg process taking values in $\mathbb{R}^d$ and $g$ is some sufficiently nice real-valued ...
Probability Boi's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
121 views

Relation satisfied by a Gaussian random variable

I want to prove the following relation for $X\sim \mathcal{N}(0,1)$, $x\in \mathbb{R}$ and $f(x)=\mathbb{E}[\max(X,x)]$: $$f(\frac{f(x+1)+f(x-1)}{2})\leq \frac{f(f(x)-1)+f(f(x)+1)}{2}$$ It seems that ...
Pierre's user avatar
  • 171
1 vote
0 answers
82 views

Negative moments of Steinhaus random variables

Let $f_i, i=1, \ldots, n$ be independent Steinhaus random variables, i.e. variables which are uniformly distributed on the complex unit circle. Let $a \in R^n$. 1) Find $E\left(\sum_{i=1}^nf_i a_i\...
volond's user avatar
  • 97
1 vote
0 answers
81 views

If $\text P\left[X_2\in B_2\mid X_1\right]=\kappa(X_1,B_2)$ a.s. for all $B_2$, can we select a common null-set over all $B_2$?

Let $(\Omega,\mathcal A,\operatorname P)$ be a probability space $(E_i,\mathcal E_i)$ be a measurable space $X_1:\Omega\to E_1$ $X_2:\Omega\to E_2$ be $(\mathcal A,\mathcal E_2)$-measurable $\kappa$ ...
0xbadf00d's user avatar
  • 167
1 vote
0 answers
269 views

Expected value of inverse of complex non-central Wishart matrix

I have a matrix $W$ that abides a complex non-central Wishart distribution. My question is what the expectation of the inverse is, i.e., how to compute $$\mathbb{E}(W^{-1}).$$ I have tried to read up ...
user114485's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
132 views

Mean and correlation of product of two random processes

I have two random process: $$A(at)$$ $$\cos(2\pi f_0t+\Phi)$$ with these hypothesis: $a$ and $f_0$ are constant $\Phi$ is uniformly distributed in $[0,\pi)$ $A(at)$ is WSS I must calculate the ...
Andrea Bellizzi's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
73 views

If $f$ is a measurable random field, then $(ω,x)↦E[f(x)\mid F](ω)$ has a measurable version $g$ and $E[f(X)\mid F]=g(X)$ for all $F$-measurable $X$

Let $(\Omega,\mathcal A,\operatorname P)$ be a probability space $\mathcal F\subseteq\mathcal A$ be a $\sigma$-algebra on $(\Omega,\mathcal A)$ $(E,\mathcal E)$ be a measurable space $f:\Omega\...
0xbadf00d's user avatar
  • 167
0 votes
0 answers
133 views

Asymptotics of a ratio on the unit sphere

Let $(a_n)_{n \geq 1}$ be a nonnegative, strictly decreasing sequence with $a_n \to 0$ as $n \to \infty$. Consider the ratio (for $k \geq n$) $$ R_{n, k} = \mathbb{E}_{u \sim \text{Unif}(\mathbb{S}^{k-...
Drew Brady's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
37 views

Expected (log)volume of projection of a cube onto a random subspace

Suppose $A$ is a full-rank $d\times d$ dimensional matrix. Let $U \in R^{d\times k}$ be a projection to projection matrix onto a uniformly chosen sub-space of dimension $k$ (for example, they can be ...
kvphxga's user avatar
  • 187
0 votes
0 answers
46 views

Prove lower collinearity on the tails of Gaussian blob

Let us consider a $n$-dimensional Gaussian blob, i.e. a set of $N$ random vectors $\{\boldsymbol{X}^{(j)}\}_{j=1}^N$, with $n$ independent components, $X_i^{(j)}$, and such that $X_i^{(j)} \sim \...
user1172131's user avatar
0 votes
1 answer
113 views

Inequality on conditional variance of a vector

I have a random vector $X$ and an event $\mathcal{E}$ such that $\mathbb{P}(\mathcal{E}) = p$. I am trying to show the following inequality : \begin{equation} p\mathbb{E}[\|X - \mathbb E [X \vert \...
karel's user avatar
  • 11
0 votes
0 answers
84 views

Expectation of the trace of random matrix with an inverse insided

Consider a $N$-dimensional random complex vector $\mathbf{x} \in \mathbb C^{N \times 1}$ following the complex Gaussian distribution, i.e., $\mathbf{x} \sim {CN}(0,\sigma^2 \mathbf{I})$, where $\...
Prokins Wang's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
171 views

How many elements have a "small" order in a finite field?

I'm hoping that this is an easy question for someone. How many elements can we expect to have multiplicative order at most $n^{1/c}$ in one of the finite fields $\mathbb{F}_p$ with $p$ prime with $n \...
Matt Groff's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
127 views

Does $E(XU)\neq 0$ imply $E(f(X) U)\neq 0$ "almost always"?

Consider two non-orthogonal random variables $$ (1) \quad E(XU)\neq 0, $$ where $X$ can be a vector. Can we claim that (1) implies that $U$ will be "generically" non-orthogonal to any ...
Star's user avatar
  • 108
0 votes
0 answers
151 views

Definition of conditional expectation for singleton

Let $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, \mathbb{P})$ be a probability space and let $\mathcal{G} \subset \mathcal{F}$ be a sub-$\sigma$-algebra. Furthermore, let $X, Y$ be two random variables from our probability ...
timudk's user avatar
  • 33
0 votes
0 answers
83 views

A closed form of mean-field equations

Assume that a system at time t, for example number of costumers in a line at time $t$ which is denoted by $q(t)$, follows a Markov chain with these dynamics (probabilities) $$P(q(t+\Delta t)-q(t)=1)=\...
user avatar
0 votes
1 answer
324 views

Finding examples of functions which are infinite or undefined with current extensions of the expected value?

Preliminaries Consider the expectations desribed in this paper, which is an extension of the Lebesgue density theorem; this paper which is an extension of the Hausdorff measure, using Hyperbolic ...
Arbuja's user avatar
  • 63
-1 votes
1 answer
312 views

expectation of upper quantile proportion

(edited considerably following comments) We have a collection $\boldsymbol{S}$ of $n$ discrete random variables $X_1$, $X_2$, $\dots$, $X_n$ $\overset{\small \text{i.i.d.}}{\small \sim}$ $\mathcal{D}$...
Amit Portnoy's user avatar
-2 votes
1 answer
118 views

In which cases $E(e^{t S_n S_m})$ converges to $E(e^{t X Y})$

Suppose that $S_n$ and $S_m$ are two random binomial variables, which are independent and with the same distribution parameter $p$. I am wondering, in which cases $E(e^{t S_n S_m})$ converges to $E(e^...
Andjela Todorovic's user avatar