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Proving bound on expectation of likelihood ratio involving mixtures

Let $p$ be a Lebesgue density function with infinite support (i.e. $p(x)>0 \forall x\in \mathbb{R}$ and $\int p(x) dx = 1$). Moreover, assume that $p$ is even (i.e. $p(x) = p(-x)$) and unimodal: $p(...
ILoveMath's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
73 views

Connection between Wassertein-2 metric and difference in variance

Given two probability densities $\mu\in\mathcal P(\mathbb R^d)$ and $\nu\in\mathcal P(\mathbb R^d)$, we define their Wasserstein-$p$ metric as $$ W_p^p(\mu, \nu)=\inf_{\gamma\in \Gamma(\mu, \nu)}\int_{...
Daniel Cortild's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
111 views

Expected number of solutions of a random quadratic polynomial system over a finite field

Let $\mathbb{F}_q$ be a field of $q$ elements. Let $a_{i,j,k}$, $b_{i,j}$, $c_i$ ($1 \leq i \leq m$, $1 \leq j \leq k \leq n$) be independent uniformly distributed random variables in $\mathbb{F}_q$, ...
en-drix's user avatar
  • 157
14 votes
1 answer
1k views

A disc contains many random points. Each point is connected to its nearest neighbor. What is the expectation of average cluster size?

A disc contains $n$ independent uniformly distributed points. Each point is connected by a line segment to its nearest neighbor, forming clusters of connected points. For example, here are $20$ random ...
Dan's user avatar
  • 3,507
0 votes
2 answers
239 views

Computing the expectation of a quadratic matrix form involving Bernoulli and Gaussian distributed matrices

I am working with two random matrices, $Z$ and $H$: $Z$ is an $n \times K$ matrix with entries sampled i.i.d. from a Bernoulli distribution: $Z_{ij} \sim \mathrm{Bernoulli}(p)$. $H$ is a $K \times K$ ...
Dalek's user avatar
  • 37
0 votes
0 answers
46 views

Prove lower collinearity on the tails of Gaussian blob

Let us consider a $n$-dimensional Gaussian blob, i.e. a set of $N$ random vectors $\{\boldsymbol{X}^{(j)}\}_{j=1}^N$, with $n$ independent components, $X_i^{(j)}$, and such that $X_i^{(j)} \sim \...
user1172131's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
204 views

Expected (maximum minus minimum) of Laplacian random variables

Suppose there are $n$ IID random variables denoted as $X=(X_1,\dots, X_n)$, they follow Laplace distribution with parameter $\lambda$, denoted as $Lap(\lambda)$. That is, $$f(x)=\frac{1}{2\lambda}\exp ...
white's user avatar
  • 23
2 votes
1 answer
324 views

On the mean value taken by Bernoulli random variables with joint distribution constraints

We are given a vector $n$-dimensional random vector $\mathbf{X}$ whose components are the Bernoulli random variables $X_1, X_2, \ldots X_n$, such that the probability $\mathbb{P}(X_1=X_2=\ldots=X_n=0)$...
Penelope Benenati's user avatar
31 votes
5 answers
2k views

On average, how many uniformly random real numbers $u$ are needed for their sum to exceed $1$, if $u_1$ is in $(0,1)$ and $u_k$ is in $(0,eu_{k-1})$?

A well-known question is: on average, how many uniformly random real numbers in $(0,1)$ are needed for their sum to exceed $1$? The answer is $e$. Let's tweak this question by making each random ...
Dan's user avatar
  • 3,507
1 vote
1 answer
264 views

The maximum trace of a covariance can be achieved by a discrete random vector?

Given a random variable $X$, satifying $P(0\leq X \leq 1)=1$, and $\mathsf{E}[X^2] = \alpha$. We know its maximum variance $\text{Var}(X) = \alpha(1-\alpha)$ achived by a binary random variable $P(X =...
Jone Sweden's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
19 views

Сonditional characteristics with respect to a discrete random variable [closed]

160 asymmetrical coins participate in the first roll. In the second roll, only those coins on which the "eagle" fell out in the first roll participate. It is known that the probability of an ...
Ben's user avatar
  • 11
0 votes
1 answer
243 views

Integral form of expectation with respect to complex random variables [closed]

Let $h$ be a random variable and $g(h)$ be a real-valued function of $h$. We know that if h is a real-random variable then: $E_h[g(h)] = \int_{-\infty}^{\infty} f(h) g(h) dh$ where f(h) is the PDF of ...
Bertrille's user avatar
3 votes
2 answers
593 views

A lower bound for the expectation of $\min\{X,n-X\}$ when $X$ follows a $\mathrm{Binomial}(n,p)$ distribution

Let $X$ be a random variable following a $\mathrm{Binomial}(n,p)$ distribution, and let $$Y=\min\{X,n-X\}.$$ Ispired by the problem posed by C. Clement on https://math.stackexchange.com/questions/...
Xueyi Huang's user avatar
7 votes
1 answer
347 views

Expectation for game choosing uniformly number in $[0,1]$ until it decreases

We are playing a game where we keep on choosing a number from the uniform distribution U(0,1). The game goes on until we have the current number less than the previously picked number, i.e. the game ...
Shashank Nathani's user avatar
0 votes
1 answer
390 views

expectation of log(1-x^a) if x is a beta random variable

How can I compute $\mathbb{E}_{q}\Big[\log (1-x^a)\Big]$ when the distribution of $q$ is given as $q(x)\sim\mathrm{Beta}(\alpha,\beta)$?
Dalek's user avatar
  • 37
1 vote
0 answers
2k views

What is known about the maximum of several independent standard normal random variables?

Bailey et al., in the May 2014 issue of Notices of the AMS, show that, if $X_k\,$ ($k=1,...,n$) are independent standard normal random variables, then the expectation of their maximum is given ...
John Bentin's user avatar
  • 2,437
1 vote
0 answers
81 views

Calculating the mean squared error for an estimate of a large sum

Consider the set of all Boolean function $f: \{0, 1\}^{n} \rightarrow \{-1, 1\}$. Now, let's pick a function uniformly at random from this set. Let $F$ be the random variable corresponding to the ...
RandomMatrices's user avatar
0 votes
2 answers
963 views

Product of three or more independent sub-Gaussian varibles

A random variable $X$ is called subgaussian of order $\sigma^2$ if $\log E[exp\{\theta X\}]\leq \frac{1}{2}\theta^2\sigma^2$ for every $\theta\in\mathbb R$. Given a sequence of independent subgaussian ...
Tiago's user avatar
  • 59
9 votes
1 answer
482 views

Bounds on the expectation of $|X-Y|$ for $X,Y$ Poisson

I would have a proof of the following fact; but it's a bit clunky, and am wondering if one can get a more elegant one (and/or improve the constants). I couldn't find this anywhere, and searching ...
Clement C.'s user avatar
  • 1,372
1 vote
0 answers
121 views

Relation satisfied by a Gaussian random variable

I want to prove the following relation for $X\sim \mathcal{N}(0,1)$, $x\in \mathbb{R}$ and $f(x)=\mathbb{E}[\max(X,x)]$: $$f(\frac{f(x+1)+f(x-1)}{2})\leq \frac{f(f(x)-1)+f(f(x)+1)}{2}$$ It seems that ...
Pierre's user avatar
  • 171
0 votes
1 answer
387 views

Simplification on the estimation on error of the ratio of 2 random variables

Let $Z=\dfrac{X}{Y}$ the ratio of 2 random variables. Distribution of $Z=\dfrac{X}{Y}$ Consider the case of two independent normal variables $X$ and $Y$ with strictly positive means and variances $\...
youpilat13's user avatar
0 votes
1 answer
802 views

Concentration of $\ell_2$ norm of a vector sampled from a distribution

Let $X=(X_1,\ldots,X_n)$, where $X_i \sim P_{p_i}(0,\frac{1}{\lambda})$ are iid, $P_{p_i}$ is sub gaussian distribution for $i^\text{th}$ element, and 0 and $1/\lambda$ are mean and variance. I'm ...
newbie's user avatar
  • 61
1 vote
2 answers
139 views

Inaccurate results for the analytical expression of $\mathbb{E}\left[ a \mathcal{Q} \left( \sqrt{b } \gamma \right) \right]$

I'm trying to plot a graph for the following expectation $$\mathbb{E}\left[ a \mathcal{Q} \left( \sqrt{b } \gamma \right) \right]=a 2^{-\frac{\kappa }{2}-1} b^{-\frac{\kappa }{2}} \theta ^{-\kappa } \...
Felipe Augusto de Figueiredo's user avatar
0 votes
2 answers
246 views

Finding the expectation of $a \mathcal{Q} \left( \sqrt{b } \gamma \right) $, where $\gamma$ is a Gamma r.v

I'm trying to analytically find the following expectation $$\mathbb{E}\left[ a \mathcal{Q} \left( \sqrt{b } \gamma \right) \right],$$ where $a$ and $b$ are constant values, $\mathcal{Q}$ is the ...
Felipe Augusto de Figueiredo's user avatar
4 votes
2 answers
852 views

Disintegration, conditional probabilities, and conditional expectation

On the Wikipedia page there is a note that conditional probability measures can be described by disintegration. However, I can seem to find a clear exposée of how this construction is related to ...
ABIM's user avatar
  • 5,407
1 vote
1 answer
139 views

Conditional density for random effects prediction in GLMM

I am currently working on generalized linear mixed models (GLMM) and need some help concerning the prediction of the random effects. More specifically, I don't understand the given representation of ...
e4e5ke2's user avatar
  • 13
0 votes
1 answer
181 views

expectation of a quadratic function of a matrix variate normal distribution

I want to compute the following expectation term: $E[{\bf{XA}}{{\bf{X}}^T}]$ where ${\bf X} \in R^{M \times M}$ and its elements are normal random variables such that $vec\left( {\bf{X}} \right)\...
user51780's user avatar
  • 275
0 votes
1 answer
295 views

Are there known bounds on the expectation of the truncated Beta distribution?

Let $X\sim beta(\alpha,\beta)$ be a random variable and let $\tau\in(0,1)$. Are there any known closed-form bounds (I'm specifically interested in lower bounds) on $$ \mathbb E[X\ | X\le \tau]? $$
R B's user avatar
  • 618
1 vote
1 answer
126 views

The expectation of binary logistics regression with respect to Gaussian distribution

I am trying to compute the expectation of $g(s,x)=s \ln \sigma(x)+(1-s)\ln(1-\sigma(x))$ with respect to the normal distribution $\mathcal{N}(x;m,v)$, where we have $\sigma(x)=\frac{1}{1+e^{-x}}$. If ...
Dalek's user avatar
  • 37
3 votes
1 answer
3k views

Is there a tight lower bound for the expectation of the product of two positive valued random variables?

Let $X,Y$ be two (dependent) random variables with $\mathbb{P}(X\ge 0)=\mathbb{P}(Y\ge 0)=1$. I want to find a tight lower bound of $\mathbb{E}(XY)$ when $X,Y$ are non-negative, almost surely. ...
Samrat Mukhopadhyay's user avatar
23 votes
5 answers
2k views

Maximizing the expectation of a polynomial function of iid random variables

Let $f \colon \mathbb R^N \to \mathbb R$ be a smooth function. Let $\mu$ be a probability measure on $[0,1]$ and $X_1, \ldots , X_N$ be i.i.d. random variables on $\mathbb R$. Question 1. What is ...
Romeo's user avatar
  • 980
3 votes
2 answers
259 views

What is $\sum_{k=0}^{+\infty}{k⋅p(k;\mu_1,\mu_2)}$, where $p$ is the pmf of Skellam distribution?

The Skellam distribution is the discrete probability distribution of the difference $N_{1}-N_{2}$ of two statistically independent random variables $N_{1}$ and $N_{2}$, each Poisson-distributed with ...
Guoyang Qin's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
269 views

Expected value of inverse of complex non-central Wishart matrix

I have a matrix $W$ that abides a complex non-central Wishart distribution. My question is what the expectation of the inverse is, i.e., how to compute $$\mathbb{E}(W^{-1}).$$ I have tried to read up ...
user114485's user avatar
1 vote
2 answers
461 views

lower bound the probability of at least L collisions

Lets say we get a list $M$ containing $|M|=\sqrt{L\cdot N}$ randomly and independtly drawn elements from a set of size $N$. And lets denote the $i$-th element of the list $M$ by $M[i]$. If we now ask ...
Memphisd's user avatar
  • 123