A *fan* is a collection of strongly convex rational polyhedral cones in $\mathbb Z^n$, which we often think of as contained in $\mathbb Q^n$ or $\mathbb R^n$ for purposes of visualizing it. The defining property of a fan is that the intersection of any two cones of the fan is a face of each.

A fan is called *unimodular* if, for each cone of the fan, the first lattice point along each of the rays forms a basis for the lattice in the linear span of the cone. (We call these lattice points the *generators* of the rays.)

Given a fan $\Sigma$ and a cone $\sigma$ of $\Sigma$, we can subdivide $\Sigma$ at $\sigma$ by introducing a new ray which is generated by the sum of the generators of $\sigma$, and then subdividing $\sigma$ and the cones containing $\sigma$ in a standard way so as to take advantage of the new ray. If $\Sigma$ was unimodular, so is this subdivision of $\Sigma$.

Given a fan, there is a corresponding toric variety. Subdividing at $\sigma$ corresponds to blowing up the toric variety at a the smooth subvariety corresponding to $\sigma$. My question is really just about fans, so there is no need to think about the toric varieties, but I'm still going to use the term (smooth) blow up for the subdivision, and blow down for the reverse process.

Given two unimodular fans which cover the same region, the weak Oda conjecture says that you can turn one into the other by a sequence of (smooth) blowups and blowdowns. This was established independently by Włodarczyk and Morelli. The strong Oda conjecture says that you can first do all the blowups, then all the blowdowns. To the best of my knowledge, it remains open.

My question is the following: **Suppose the fan $\Sigma'$ is a refinement of the fan $\Sigma$. Is there a sequence of smooth blowups that gets you from $\Sigma$ to $\Sigma'$, or do you still potentially have to do some blowdowns?**

**Edited**: I initially claimed that my question just amounted to asking whether the Strong Oda conjecture is known to hold for $\Sigma$ and $\Sigma'$ as in the previous paragraph, but I am in fact asking for something stronger, since the Strong Oda conjecture would allow you to go from $\Sigma$ to $\Sigma'$ by a sequence of blowups followed by blowdowns, whereas I want to go via only blowups.