In this question by $q$-Catalan numbers I mean the $q$-analog given by the formula $\frac{1}{[n+1]_q}\left[{2n\atop n}\right]_q$. The polynomial $\left[{2n\atop n}\right]_q$ represents the class of the Grassmannian $G(n,2n)$ in the Grothendieck ring of varieties, and $[n+1]$ represents the class of $\mathbb P^n$. Is there a geometric reason why the fraction $[G(n,2n)]/[\mathbb P^n]$ is a polynomial in $[\mathbb A^1]$?
I guess one could ask more generally about why $\frac{[\mathbb P^r][G(k,2k+r)]}{[\mathbb P^k]}$ is a polynomial.