Topological description of inverting a knot

The first figure shows an offset overhand knot. To tie it, you simply bring the two cords together and make an overhand knot in them. It's more secure than it looks, and several climbers have been killed because this subjective impression led them to use an offset figure-eight knot instead.[Moyer 2011]

The offset figure-eight has the mode of failure shown in the second figure. This behavior is known as inversion, capsizing, or flipping. When it happens, the tails of the knot are shortened, and if it happens repeatedly the tails can be used up completely, so that the knot comes undone.

There is an elegant theory of friction hitches[Bayman 1977], but the offset figure-eight's mode of failure seems to have less to do with forces that overcome friction than with its topology. It has two lobes, and when it inverts itself, one lobe swallows the other.

Question: Is there any nice topological way of characterizing what is happening when a knot inverts itself, or any nice way of describing why one knot would be more prone to inversion than another?

Bayman, "Theory of hitches," Am J Phys, 45 (1977) 185; I've presented some of the theory here: http://www.lightandmatter.com/article/knots.html

T. Moyer, 'Pull Tests of the "Euro Death-Knot,"' 2011, http://user.xmission.com/~tmoyer/testing/EDK.html

• Interesting question. Your question is more likely to get an interesting answer (especially here on MO) if you can find a sharper definition of "capsizing". (Inversion in knot theory already has a standard meaning.) My immediate thought is that capsizing looks a bit like the Reidemeister move $R_\infty$ - "pushing past infinity". – Sam Nead Sep 6 '14 at 10:26
• Here is a very coarse physical characterization: knots can arise via entropic forces, and are hard to untangle by the second law. – Steve Huntsman Sep 6 '14 at 16:04