Given some $k>1$, I am interested in the number of $k$-generated semigroups of order $n$ (either up to isomorphism or all associative binary operations on an n-element set). At first I thought $3$-nilpotent semigroups were the way forward (almost all finite semigroups are $3$-nilpotent). But it appears almost none of the $k$-generated semigroups are $3$-nilpotent (only finitely many), in fact, there are no $k$-generated $3$-nilpotent semigroups of order greater than $k^2+k+1$.
According to gap the number of $2$-generated semigroups (up to isomorphism) of orders $2$ through $8$ is: $3,14,64,212,664,1930,5678$. It seems to be exponential, but it is difficult to say anything from $7$ numbers.
I'm sure someone else must have thought about this before me. Is there anything in the literature? I would love to show they grow exponentially (if indeed this is true), but I'd be interested in any reasonable bounds (upper or lower).