The prophet inequality is related to the following scenario:
Suppose there are $n$ independent positive random variables $X_1,\dots,X_n$. They might not be identically distributed. We reveal them one at a time. When we see $X_i$, we have a choice between stopping with the value $X_i$, or continuing to search. If we reject all variables we get $0$.
How well can we do compared to a prophet who gets to see all variables before choosing a maximum? The prophet inequality says that there is a threshold $k$ such that the strategy where we stop whenever the value is at least $k$ gives expected value at least half of the expected value for the prophet.
Let $X$ be the random variable denoting the maximum of the $n$ values drawn. It is known that the threshold $k$ can be chosen in at least two ways:
- Choose $k_1$ so that $P(X>k_1)=\frac{1}{2}$, and
- Let $k_2=\frac12E[X]$.
These can be pretty different values. Are there other values of $k$ that work? For example, does any value of $k$ between $k_1$ and $k_2$ work?