Let $0 < \alpha < 1$ be a constant. The expected number of prime factors of a "random" integer near $n$ which are greater than $n^\alpha$ is $-\log \alpha$.
It's my understanding that (properly formulated) this is a well-known fact in analytic number theory but I cannot find a reference for it. Can anybody provide a reference?
Edited to add (March 28):: The asymptotic density of positive integers $n$ with $k$th largest factor smaller than $n^{1/\alpha}$ is $\rho_k(\alpha)$, where we have $L_0(\alpha) = [\alpha > 0]$ and $$ L_k(\alpha) = [\alpha \ge k] \int_k^\alpha L_{k-1}(t-1) \: {dt \over t}, $$ and $1-\rho_k(\alpha) = \sum_{n=0}^\infty {-k \choose n} L_{n+k}(\alpha)$. (See Riesel, p. 162.) The density of positive integers with $k$th largest factor larger than $n^{1/\alpha}$ is therefore $1-\rho_k(\alpha)$, and so the expected number of factors larger than $n^{1/\alpha}$ is $\sum_{k \ge 1} (1-\rho_k(\alpha))$. Therefore the expected number of such factors is $$ \sum_{k \ge 1} \sum_{n \ge 0} {-k \choose n} L_{n+k}(\alpha). $$ Letting $n+k = j$ we can rewrite this sum as $$ \sum_{j \ge 1} \sum_{n=0}^{j-1} {n-j \choose n} L_j = \sum_{j \ge 1} L_j \left( \sum_{n=-0}^{j-1} (-1)^n {j-1 \choose n} \right) $$ and the inner sum is $0$ except when $j=1$, when it is $1$. So the expected number of factors larger than $n^{1/\alpha}$ is $L_1(\alpha)$; this is $\log \alpha$.