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S Apr 4 at 7:05 history suggested The Amplitwist CC BY-SA 4.0
fixed broken link to Wikipedia; replaced broken links to setgame.com and uccs.edu with WebArchive snapshots
Apr 4 at 4:31 review Suggested edits
S Apr 4 at 7:05
Oct 5, 2011 at 18:09 answer added Henrik Warne timeline score: 9
May 30, 2011 at 14:28 comment added Douglas Zare One way to get rigorous bounds for the main problem is to note that you have to go through some state with $18$ cards left (with some $12$, $15$, or all $18$ on the table). So, if you analyze all subsets with $18$ cards left which sum to $\vec{0}$ and choose a visible subset then you can get bounds on the probabilities. However, determining the probability of a perfect game for each one seems expensive, even $81 \choose 18$ is huge, and I think the bounds you get are weak.
May 30, 2011 at 6:45 answer added Aaron Meyerowitz timeline score: 4
May 30, 2011 at 2:04 comment added Douglas Zare Looking at $12$ cards, and then extending this to $15$ or $18$ or $21$ if there are no Sets, is quite messy. I would be surprised if you could not get much more accurate estimates from a simulation than you would from pure deduction.
May 30, 2011 at 1:55 history edited Ori Gurel-Gurevich
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May 30, 2011 at 0:55 comment added Anonymous Because I personally find provable bounds more interesting..
May 30, 2011 at 0:10 comment added Douglas Zare As for the question, why not use a Monte Carlo test?
May 30, 2011 at 0:06 comment added Douglas Zare You have to make some choices about which nice properties to drop if you want to extend Set to a deck with more than $3$ possible values.
May 29, 2011 at 22:27 history asked Anonymous CC BY-SA 3.0