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Jan 1, 2011 at 0:11 comment added Deane Yang To me, expected value is useful only in its original context, when you get to do repeated independent trials and want an idea of how well you'll do. I don't see how it's useful for deciding whether to bet on a rare event or not unless you plan to make it a regular habit. Or is that what you're referring to?
Dec 31, 2010 at 22:49 comment added JSE I opened a thread on my blog about this if people want to talk about the question without committing to supplying an answer per se: quomodocumque.wordpress.com/2010/12/31/…
Dec 31, 2010 at 21:41 history answered JSE CC BY-SA 2.5