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Dec 22, 2010 at 13:10 comment added Peter Shor @Qiaochu: I haven't verified it really carefully, but it looks like our answers agree, which is a good check on both of them.
Dec 21, 2010 at 11:07 history edited Qiaochu Yuan CC BY-SA 2.5
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Dec 21, 2010 at 11:06 comment added Qiaochu Yuan @Chris: I've updated with a generating function argument, but one can also reason heuristically: I believe the numbers X_r of r-cycles are asymptotically independent (and possibly there is a theorem in the literature to this effect) and so conditioning on the value of X_1 shouldn't affect the asymptotic behavior of the other X_i. The generating function computation supports this.
Dec 21, 2010 at 10:55 history edited Qiaochu Yuan CC BY-SA 2.5
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Dec 21, 2010 at 10:46 comment added Chris Taylor Thanks Qiaochu. I suspect that with some careful accounting and a few judicious approximations, you can probably turn that argument into one which accounts for the conditioning on the number of 1-cycles, and derive the constant multiplicative factor. I'll have a crack at that if I get some spare time later today.
Dec 21, 2010 at 10:34 history answered Qiaochu Yuan CC BY-SA 2.5