What is clear here is that $H_2$ has spectrum above $4$, and that $\lambda\in\sigma_{\textrm{ess}}(H_2)$ also, with $\lambda:=\max\sigma(H_2)=\|H_2\|>4$. What $\lambda$ is actually equal to seems a rather delicate question. Certainly $\lambda<20$, and I'm also not at all sure that $\lambda\ge 12$; that may already be too ambitious.
To discuss these claims, let me switch to the continuous counterpart of your problem, the operator $H=-\Delta-V(x,y)$ on $L^2(\mathbb R^2)$. Everything I'm going to say has a precise analog in your (discrete) setting, but the details become considerably less tedious in the continuous case. Even so, I will only sketch most of them.
We now assume that $V(x,y)=16$ on $|x|\le 1$, $y\ge 0$, and $V=0$ otherwise. We are interested in the part of the spectrum below zero. (We clearly have $[0,\infty)\subseteq\sigma (H)$.)
First of all, there actually is negative spectrum. This would not be clear in dimension $3$ or higher, but here it still works. Compare my answer here. We can find $\lambda=\min\sigma (H)$ as the infimum of the quadratic form $\lambda=\inf Q(f)$, $$ Q(f)=\int_{\mathbb R^2} \left(|\nabla f|^2-V|f|^2\right) , $$$$ Q(f)=\int_{\mathbb R^2} \left(|\nabla f|^2-V|f|^2\right) , \tag{1} $$ taken over $f\in C_0^{\infty}$ (say) with $\|f\|_{L^2}=1$. Clearly, we can only hope to make $Q(f)$ negativesmall if we concentrate $f$ where $V=16$, but then $Q(f)>-16$ because we can not avoid paying a (potentially steep) price in the first term. A more chunky potential that is equal to $16$ on a large disk rather than a thin strip would be more effective at pulling down the bottom of the spectrum. WeIn any event, we can play around with thistry concrete test functions in (1) and get upper bounds on $\lambda$, but finding $\lambda$ exactly seems a formidable task.
Finally, there are $f\in L^2$ that make $\|(H-\lambda)f\|$ arbitrarily small. A carefully cut off version (compare the discussion in the comments to the linked answer) of $f$ will still givekeep $Q(f)\simeq\lambda$$(H-\lambda)f$ small, and then we obtain a Weyl sequence by also shifting and considering $g(x,y)=f(x,y-L)$, $L\gg 1$.