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Mar 19 at 3:20 comment added Hans @CommandMaster: Could you please write out your derivation details as an answer?
Feb 8 at 21:22 answer added ofer zeitouni timeline score: 4
Feb 8 at 18:44 comment added paste bee I computed some approximate results (starting at $k = 2$): 3.9932, 8.4313, 14.8136, 24.8434, 37.7542, 59.709, 88.4907, 130.4022. (Each of these is just the result of running it 10,000 times)
Feb 8 at 18:37 comment added Daniel Weber The expected number of arithmetic progressions is around $\frac{N^2}{2^{k+1} k}$, so the order of magnitude of $Y$ should be around $2^{\frac{k+1}2} \sqrt k$. I think you could bound the variance and use Chebyshev's inequality to make this formal
Feb 8 at 18:06 history edited Nate River
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Feb 8 at 17:58 history edited Sam Hopkins CC BY-SA 4.0
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Feb 8 at 17:51 history asked Nate River CC BY-SA 4.0