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Oct 29, 2010 at 16:45 history edited Did CC BY-SA 2.5
added 252 characters in body; added 74 characters in body
Oct 29, 2010 at 16:38 comment added Did @Louigi, Byron: Argh... You are right, of course; the argument works only if the upward steps are integer valued. Sorry, I shall modify the answer.
Oct 29, 2010 at 15:54 comment added user6096 @Louigi: You beat me!
Oct 29, 2010 at 15:54 comment added user6096 @Didier: Why does $S_M=0$ on $X_1>0$? When $p=1/3$, you could jump once to the right, then once left, and find yourself at -1/2. This is the first time that the process is $\leq 0$. However, I'm still hopeful that the Wiener-Hopf approach may lead to a solution!
Oct 29, 2010 at 15:50 comment added Louigi Addario-Berry This would be right except that it is not necessarily true that $S_M=0$ on the event $X_1 > 0$. If $p=2/3$, for example, then $X$ takes values $-1$ and $1/2$, So $S_M$ can take the value $-1/2$.
Oct 29, 2010 at 15:32 history answered Did CC BY-SA 2.5