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Jan 3, 2023 at 3:05 comment added Bill Bradley (I suppose, as things get asymptotically small, the mode must eventually win.)
Jan 3, 2023 at 3:04 history edited Bill Bradley CC BY-SA 4.0
Adding strangely missing inversion.
Jan 3, 2023 at 2:59 comment added Bill Bradley I know, right? Unfortunately, @Henry, the $\frac{i}{n}$ seems to be the standard definition. I asked essentially your question on CrossValidated recently: stats.stackexchange.com/questions/599678/… . I think there are reasonable arguments for using the mode (from a confidence interval perspective), although if you want to minimize the epsilon above, my handful of experiments suggests that the mean is the best (i.e., supports a smaller $\varepsilon$ than the "classical", the mode and the median-ish).
Jan 3, 2023 at 0:05 comment added Henry $\frac in$ looks biased upwards. $q_i \sim \text{Beta}(i,n-i+1)$ so the expected value of $q_i$ is $\frac{i}{n+1}$, the most-likely/mode/highest-density value is $\frac{i-1}{n-1}$ for $n>1$, and the median is about $\frac{i-\frac13}{n+\frac13}$ for $1 < i <n$
Dec 31, 2022 at 16:40 history edited Michael Hardy CC BY-SA 4.0
added 22 characters in body
Dec 31, 2022 at 16:11 history edited Michael Hardy CC BY-SA 4.0
added 5 characters in body
Dec 31, 2022 at 16:09 comment added Bill Bradley Thank you, @MichaelHardy, I've fixed that.
Dec 31, 2022 at 16:09 history edited Bill Bradley CC BY-SA 4.0
Correcting use of "sample".
Dec 31, 2022 at 16:07 comment added Michael Hardy The standard way in which the word "sample" is used in statistics would refer to "a sample of $n$ i.i.d. observations" rather than to "$n$ i.i.d. samples". For example, the thing that in standard usage is called a "two-sample t-test" obviously does not rely on just two independent observations, and what would the term "sample size" mean?
Dec 31, 2022 at 14:36 history edited Bill Bradley CC BY-SA 4.0
Adding a clarifying comment to the code per JohnJiang's suggestion.
Dec 31, 2022 at 14:32 comment added Bill Bradley Ah, @JohnJiang, I believe that it's correct as it stands, but that touches on the mistake I made. (See the comments below Iosef Pinelis' solution below.) But the ambiguity there is what killed me; I'll add a comment to make it clearer.
Dec 31, 2022 at 6:21 comment added John Jiang In your definition of prob_true did you have a reversed inequality sign?
Dec 31, 2022 at 0:07 history edited Michael Hardy CC BY-SA 4.0
added 13 characters in body
Dec 30, 2022 at 16:12 vote accept Bill Bradley
Dec 30, 2022 at 16:12 history edited Bill Bradley CC BY-SA 4.0
explained how to fix the problem
Dec 29, 2022 at 22:16 review Close votes
Jan 3, 2023 at 3:05
Dec 29, 2022 at 21:57 history edited YCor CC BY-SA 4.0
formatting, added tag
Dec 29, 2022 at 21:22 answer added Iosif Pinelis timeline score: 5
Dec 29, 2022 at 20:45 history asked Bill Bradley CC BY-SA 4.0