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edited remark on measurable cardinals
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Given a $\sigma$-algebra $\scr F$ on $\Omega$, say that an accuracy scoring rule for $\scr F$ is a function $s$ from the set of all (countably additive) probabilities on $\scr F$ to the $\scr F$-measurable functions on $\Omega$ with values in $[-\infty,M]$ (for some fixed real $M$). A scoring rule $s$ is proper iff $\int_\Omega s(p) \, dp \ge \int_\Omega s(q) \, dp$ for all pairs of probabilities $p$ and $q$, and strictly proper if additionally equality only holds when $p=q$.

If $\scr F$ is countably generated, it has a strictly proper scoring rule (see my answer here). The same is true for any measure space that has only atomic probability measures, like the one here.

Question:

  1. Are there any strictly proper scoring rules for a $\scr F$ that is not countably generated and that has a nonatomic probability measure?

  2. If yes, is this true for all $\scr F$?

Note: The answer to (2) is negative if there are cases where there are more than ${\mathfrak c}^{|\Omega|}$ probability measures on $\scr F$. By a result of Paris and Koonen, it is relatively consistent with the existence of a measurable cardinal that there be a measurable cardinal $\kappa$ that has $2^{2^\kappa}$ normal measures, so it is relatively consistent with the existence of a measurable cardinal that the answer to (2) is negative.

Given a $\sigma$-algebra $\scr F$ on $\Omega$, say that an accuracy scoring rule for $\scr F$ is a function $s$ from the set of all (countably additive) probabilities on $\scr F$ to the $\scr F$-measurable functions on $\Omega$ with values in $[-\infty,M]$ (for some fixed real $M$). A scoring rule $s$ is proper iff $\int_\Omega s(p) \, dp \ge \int_\Omega s(q) \, dp$ for all pairs of probabilities $p$ and $q$, and strictly proper if additionally equality only holds when $p=q$.

If $\scr F$ is countably generated, it has a strictly proper scoring rule (see my answer here). The same is true for any measure space that has only atomic probability measures, like the one here.

Question:

  1. Are there any strictly proper scoring rules for a $\scr F$ that is not countably generated and that has a nonatomic probability measure?

  2. If yes, is this true for all $\scr F$?

Given a $\sigma$-algebra $\scr F$ on $\Omega$, say that an accuracy scoring rule for $\scr F$ is a function $s$ from the set of all (countably additive) probabilities on $\scr F$ to the $\scr F$-measurable functions on $\Omega$ with values in $[-\infty,M]$ (for some fixed real $M$). A scoring rule $s$ is proper iff $\int_\Omega s(p) \, dp \ge \int_\Omega s(q) \, dp$ for all pairs of probabilities $p$ and $q$, and strictly proper if additionally equality only holds when $p=q$.

If $\scr F$ is countably generated, it has a strictly proper scoring rule (see my answer here). The same is true for any measure space that has only atomic probability measures, like the one here.

Question:

  1. Are there any strictly proper scoring rules for a $\scr F$ that is not countably generated and that has a nonatomic probability measure?

  2. If yes, is this true for all $\scr F$?

Note: The answer to (2) is negative if there are cases where there are more than ${\mathfrak c}^{|\Omega|}$ probability measures on $\scr F$. By a result of Paris and Koonen, it is relatively consistent with the existence of a measurable cardinal that there be a measurable cardinal $\kappa$ that has $2^{2^\kappa}$ normal measures, so it is relatively consistent with the existence of a measurable cardinal that the answer to (2) is negative.

added 246 characters in body
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Given a $\sigma$-algebra $\scr F$ on $\Omega$, say that an accuracy scoring rule for $\scr F$ is a function $s$ from the set of all (countably additive) probabilities on $\scr F$ to the $\scr F$-measurable functions on $\Omega$ with values in $[-\infty,M]$ (for some fixed real $M$). A scoring rule $s$ is proper iff $\int_\Omega s(p) \, dp \ge \int_\Omega s(q) \, dp$ for all pairs of probabilities $p$ and $q$, and strictly proper if additionally equality only holds when $p=q$.

If $\scr F$ is countably generated, it has a strictly proper scoring rule (see my answer here). The same is true for any measure space that has only atomic probability measures, like the one here.

QuestionsQuestion:

  1. Are there any strictly proper scoring rules for a $\scr F$ that is not countably generated and that has a nonatomic probability measure?

  2. If yes, is this true for all $\scr F$?

Given a $\sigma$-algebra $\scr F$ on $\Omega$, say that an accuracy scoring rule for $\scr F$ is a function $s$ from the set of all (countably additive) probabilities on $\scr F$ to the $\scr F$-measurable functions on $\Omega$ with values in $[-\infty,M]$ (for some fixed real $M$). A scoring rule $s$ is proper iff $\int_\Omega s(p) \, dp \ge \int_\Omega s(q) \, dp$ for all pairs of probabilities $p$ and $q$, and strictly proper if additionally equality only holds when $p=q$.

If $\scr F$ is countably generated, it has a strictly proper scoring rule (see my answer here).

Questions:

  1. Are any strictly proper scoring rules for a $\scr F$ that is not countably generated?

  2. If yes, is this true for all $\scr F$?

Given a $\sigma$-algebra $\scr F$ on $\Omega$, say that an accuracy scoring rule for $\scr F$ is a function $s$ from the set of all (countably additive) probabilities on $\scr F$ to the $\scr F$-measurable functions on $\Omega$ with values in $[-\infty,M]$ (for some fixed real $M$). A scoring rule $s$ is proper iff $\int_\Omega s(p) \, dp \ge \int_\Omega s(q) \, dp$ for all pairs of probabilities $p$ and $q$, and strictly proper if additionally equality only holds when $p=q$.

If $\scr F$ is countably generated, it has a strictly proper scoring rule (see my answer here). The same is true for any measure space that has only atomic probability measures, like the one here.

Question:

  1. Are there any strictly proper scoring rules for a $\scr F$ that is not countably generated and that has a nonatomic probability measure?

  2. If yes, is this true for all $\scr F$?

deleted 2 characters in body
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Given a $\sigma$-algebra $\scr F$ on $\Omega$, say that an accuracy scoring rule for $\scr F$ is a function $s$ from the set of all (countably additive) probabilities on $\scr F$ to the $\scr F$-measurable functions on $\Omega$ with values in $[-\infty,M]$ (for some fixed real $M$). A scoring rule $s$ is proper iff $\int_\Omega s(p) \, dp \ge \int_\Omega s(q) \, dp$ for all pairs of probabilities $p$ and $q$, and strictly proper if additionally equality only holds when $p=q$.

If $\scr F$ is countably generated, it has a strictly proper scoring rule (see my answer here). My question is whether there are any strictly proper scoring rules for a $\scr F$ that is not countably generated. If yes, is this true for all $\scr F$?

Questions:

  1. Are any strictly proper scoring rules for a $\scr F$ that is not countably generated?

  2. If yes, is this true for all $\scr F$?

Given a $\sigma$-algebra $\scr F$ on $\Omega$, say that an accuracy scoring rule for $\scr F$ is a function $s$ from the set of all (countably additive) probabilities on $\scr F$ to the $\scr F$-measurable functions on $\Omega$ with values in $[-\infty,M]$ (for some fixed real $M$). A scoring rule $s$ is proper iff $\int_\Omega s(p) \, dp \ge \int_\Omega s(q) \, dp$ for all pairs of probabilities $p$ and $q$, and strictly proper if additionally equality only holds when $p=q$.

If $\scr F$ is countably generated, it has a strictly proper scoring rule (see my answer here). My question is whether there are any strictly proper scoring rules for a $\scr F$ that is not countably generated. If yes, is this true for all $\scr F$?

Given a $\sigma$-algebra $\scr F$ on $\Omega$, say that an accuracy scoring rule for $\scr F$ is a function $s$ from the set of all (countably additive) probabilities on $\scr F$ to the $\scr F$-measurable functions on $\Omega$ with values in $[-\infty,M]$ (for some fixed real $M$). A scoring rule $s$ is proper iff $\int_\Omega s(p) \, dp \ge \int_\Omega s(q) \, dp$ for all pairs of probabilities $p$ and $q$, and strictly proper if additionally equality only holds when $p=q$.

If $\scr F$ is countably generated, it has a strictly proper scoring rule (see my answer here).

Questions:

  1. Are any strictly proper scoring rules for a $\scr F$ that is not countably generated?

  2. If yes, is this true for all $\scr F$?

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