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`\DeclareMathOperator`; one case of $|G|$ should be $G$
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LSpice
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We$\DeclareMathOperator\PSL{PSL}\DeclareMathOperator\PGL{PGL}$We can use geometry of algebraic curves to get this bound. As mentioned in the other answer, we reduce to showing that $PSL_2(\mathbb{F}_p)$$\PSL_2(\mathbb{F}_p)$ does not have a subgroup of index $p$. If it did, the order of that group would be $\tfrac{(p+1)(p-1)}{2}$. We then show the following:

Lemma Let $k$ be a field of characteristic $p$ (possibly $0$) and let $G$ be a finite subgroup of $PGL_2(\mathbb{F}_p)$$\PGL_2(\mathbb{F}_p)$ with $|G| \not\equiv 0 \bmod p$$\lvert G\rvert \not\equiv 0 \bmod p$. Then either (1) $|G| \leq 60$$\lvert G\rvert \leq 60$ or (2) $G$ is contained in the normalizer of a torus (which may or may not be split).

Proof Without loss of generality, we pass to the algebraic closure of $k$; this isn't essential, but it makes the algebraic geometry language simpler. The group $G$ acts on $\mathbb{P}^1$, and thus $\mathbb{P}^1/G$ is an algebraic curve, which beis isomorphic to $\mathbb{P}^1$. Thus, we get a $G$-covering $\mathbb{P}^1 \to \mathbb{P}^1$.

Since $|G|$$\lvert G\rvert $ is not $0 \bmod p$, this is a separable map; let it be ramified over $x_1$, $x_2$, ..., $x_r$$x_1, x_2, \dotsc, x_r$ with ramification of order $e_i$ over $x_i$. Since $p$ does not divide $|G|$$\lvert G\rvert$, we can apply the Riemann-HurwitzRiemann–Hurwitz formula and compute $$2 |G| = 2 + \sum_i \tfrac{|G|}{e_i} (e_i-1)$$$$2 \lvert G\rvert = 2 + \sum_i \tfrac{\lvert G\rvert}{e_i} (e_i-1)$$ or, in other words, $$|G| = \frac{2}{2 - \sum_{i=1}^r (1-e_i^{-1})}.$$$$\lvert G\rvert = \frac{2}{2 - \sum_{i=1}^r (1-e_i^{-1})}.$$ Since $2 \leq |G| < \infty$$2 \leq \lvert G\rvert < \infty$, we see that $1 \leq \sum_{i=1}^r (1-e_i^{-1}) < 2$. If $r \geq 4$, this is impossible, since each summand is at least $1/2$. Having $r = 1$ is also impossible, as then $\sum_{i=1}^r (1-e_i^{-1})<1$. So we get down to $r=2$ or $r=3$. In the case $r=3$, at least one of the $e_i$ must be $2$, or else we would have $\sum_{i=1}^r (1-e_i^{-1}) \geq 2$. If exactly one of the $e_i$ is $2$ then the closest we can get to $2$ without going over is $\sum_{i=1}^r (1-e_i^{-1}) = 1/2+2/3+4/5 = 59/30$, which gives $|G| = 60$$\lvert G\rvert = 60$. So we have now reduced to the case of either $r=2$ or of $r=3$ and $e_1=e_2=2$.

I think there is should be a more elementary way to say this next part, but the prime-to-$p$ fundamental group of $\mathbb{P}^1 \setminus \{ \text{$r$ points}\}$ is the profinite completion of $\langle g_1, g_2, \ldots, g_r \rangle / (g_1 g_2 \cdots g_r)$$\langle g_1, g_2, \dotsc, g_r \rangle / (g_1 g_2 \dotsm g_r)$, where the element $g_i$ will act with order $e_i$ in a cover ramified of order $e_i$ over the $i$-th point. In particular, $G$ will be generated by $\{ g_1, g_2, \ldots, g_{r-1} \}$.

Now, if $r=2$, then $G$ is generated by $g_1$. So $G$ is cyclic, and of order prime to $p$, so $G$ is contained in a torus.

If $r=3$ and $e_1 = e_2 = 2$, then $G$ is generated by $g_1$ and $g_2$, each of which have order $2$, so $G$ is dihedral. Thus, $G$ has an index two cyclic subgroup $C$ of order prime to $p$, so $C$ is contained in a torus $T$, and $G$ is contained in $N(T)$. $\square$.

Now, if $|G| \leq 60$$\lvert G\rvert \leq 60$, then $\tfrac{p^2-1}{2} \leq 60$ and $p \leq 11$. If $|G|$$G$ is contained in the normalizer of a torus (and now using that $G$ is in $PSL_2$$\PSL_2$, not just $PGL_2$$\PGL_2$), then $|G|$$\lvert G\rvert$ divides either $p-1$ (in the case of a split torus) or $\tfrac{p+1}{2}$ (in the case of a nonsplit torus). Either way, this is incompatible with $|G| = \tfrac{p^2-1}{2}$$\lvert G\rvert = \tfrac{p^2-1}{2}$ for $p>2$.

We can use geometry of algebraic curves to get this bound. As mentioned in the other answer, we reduce to showing that $PSL_2(\mathbb{F}_p)$ does not have a subgroup of index $p$. If it did, the order of that group would be $\tfrac{(p+1)(p-1)}{2}$. We then show the following:

Lemma Let $k$ be a field of characteristic $p$ (possibly $0$) and let $G$ be a finite subgroup of $PGL_2(\mathbb{F}_p)$ with $|G| \not\equiv 0 \bmod p$. Then either (1) $|G| \leq 60$ or (2) $G$ is contained in the normalizer of a torus (which may or may not be split).

Proof Without loss of generality, we pass to the algebraic closure of $k$; this isn't essential, but it makes the algebraic geometry language simpler. The group $G$ acts on $\mathbb{P}^1$, and thus $\mathbb{P}^1/G$ is an algebraic curve, which be isomorphic to $\mathbb{P}^1$. Thus, we get a $G$-covering $\mathbb{P}^1 \to \mathbb{P}^1$.

Since $|G|$ is not $0 \bmod p$, this is a separable map; let it be ramified over $x_1$, $x_2$, ..., $x_r$ with ramification of order $e_i$ over $x_i$. Since $p$ does not divide $|G|$, we can apply the Riemann-Hurwitz formula and compute $$2 |G| = 2 + \sum_i \tfrac{|G|}{e_i} (e_i-1)$$ or, in other words, $$|G| = \frac{2}{2 - \sum_{i=1}^r (1-e_i^{-1})}.$$ Since $2 \leq |G| < \infty$, we see that $1 \leq \sum_{i=1}^r (1-e_i^{-1}) < 2$. If $r \geq 4$, this is impossible, since each summand is at least $1/2$. Having $r = 1$ is also impossible, as then $\sum_{i=1}^r (1-e_i^{-1})<1$. So we get down to $r=2$ or $r=3$. In the case $r=3$, at least one of the $e_i$ must be $2$, or else we would have $\sum_{i=1}^r (1-e_i^{-1}) \geq 2$. If exactly one of the $e_i$ is $2$ then the closest we can get to $2$ without going over is $\sum_{i=1}^r (1-e_i^{-1}) = 1/2+2/3+4/5 = 59/30$, which gives $|G| = 60$. So we have now reduced to the case of either $r=2$ or of $r=3$ and $e_1=e_2=2$.

I think there is should be a more elementary way to say this next part, but the prime-to-$p$ fundamental group of $\mathbb{P}^1 \setminus \{ \text{$r$ points}\}$ is the profinite completion of $\langle g_1, g_2, \ldots, g_r \rangle / (g_1 g_2 \cdots g_r)$, where the element $g_i$ will act with order $e_i$ in a cover ramified of order $e_i$ over the $i$-th point. In particular, $G$ will be generated by $\{ g_1, g_2, \ldots, g_{r-1} \}$.

Now, if $r=2$, then $G$ is generated by $g_1$. So $G$ is cyclic, and of order prime to $p$, so $G$ is contained in a torus.

If $r=3$ and $e_1 = e_2 = 2$, then $G$ is generated by $g_1$ and $g_2$, each of which have order $2$, so $G$ is dihedral. Thus, $G$ has an index two cyclic subgroup $C$ of order prime to $p$, so $C$ is contained in a torus $T$, and $G$ is contained in $N(T)$. $\square$.

Now, if $|G| \leq 60$, then $\tfrac{p^2-1}{2} \leq 60$ and $p \leq 11$. If $|G|$ is contained in the normalizer of a torus (and now using that $G$ is in $PSL_2$, not just $PGL_2$), then $|G|$ divides either $p-1$ (in the case of a split torus) or $\tfrac{p+1}{2}$ (in the case of a nonsplit torus). Either way, this is incompatible with $|G| = \tfrac{p^2-1}{2}$ for $p>2$.

$\DeclareMathOperator\PSL{PSL}\DeclareMathOperator\PGL{PGL}$We can use geometry of algebraic curves to get this bound. As mentioned in the other answer, we reduce to showing that $\PSL_2(\mathbb{F}_p)$ does not have a subgroup of index $p$. If it did, the order of that group would be $\tfrac{(p+1)(p-1)}{2}$. We then show the following:

Lemma Let $k$ be a field of characteristic $p$ (possibly $0$) and let $G$ be a finite subgroup of $\PGL_2(\mathbb{F}_p)$ with $\lvert G\rvert \not\equiv 0 \bmod p$. Then either (1) $\lvert G\rvert \leq 60$ or (2) $G$ is contained in the normalizer of a torus (which may or may not be split).

Proof Without loss of generality, we pass to the algebraic closure of $k$; this isn't essential, but it makes the algebraic geometry language simpler. The group $G$ acts on $\mathbb{P}^1$, and thus $\mathbb{P}^1/G$ is an algebraic curve, which is isomorphic to $\mathbb{P}^1$. Thus, we get a $G$-covering $\mathbb{P}^1 \to \mathbb{P}^1$.

Since $\lvert G\rvert $ is not $0 \bmod p$, this is a separable map; let it be ramified over $x_1, x_2, \dotsc, x_r$ with ramification of order $e_i$ over $x_i$. Since $p$ does not divide $\lvert G\rvert$, we can apply the Riemann–Hurwitz formula and compute $$2 \lvert G\rvert = 2 + \sum_i \tfrac{\lvert G\rvert}{e_i} (e_i-1)$$ or, in other words, $$\lvert G\rvert = \frac{2}{2 - \sum_{i=1}^r (1-e_i^{-1})}.$$ Since $2 \leq \lvert G\rvert < \infty$, we see that $1 \leq \sum_{i=1}^r (1-e_i^{-1}) < 2$. If $r \geq 4$, this is impossible, since each summand is at least $1/2$. Having $r = 1$ is also impossible, as then $\sum_{i=1}^r (1-e_i^{-1})<1$. So we get down to $r=2$ or $r=3$. In the case $r=3$, at least one of the $e_i$ must be $2$, or else we would have $\sum_{i=1}^r (1-e_i^{-1}) \geq 2$. If exactly one of the $e_i$ is $2$ then the closest we can get to $2$ without going over is $\sum_{i=1}^r (1-e_i^{-1}) = 1/2+2/3+4/5 = 59/30$, which gives $\lvert G\rvert = 60$. So we have now reduced to the case of either $r=2$ or of $r=3$ and $e_1=e_2=2$.

I think there is should be a more elementary way to say this next part, but the prime-to-$p$ fundamental group of $\mathbb{P}^1 \setminus \{ \text{$r$ points}\}$ is the profinite completion of $\langle g_1, g_2, \dotsc, g_r \rangle / (g_1 g_2 \dotsm g_r)$, where the element $g_i$ will act with order $e_i$ in a cover ramified of order $e_i$ over the $i$-th point. In particular, $G$ will be generated by $\{ g_1, g_2, \ldots, g_{r-1} \}$.

Now, if $r=2$, then $G$ is generated by $g_1$. So $G$ is cyclic, and of order prime to $p$, so $G$ is contained in a torus.

If $r=3$ and $e_1 = e_2 = 2$, then $G$ is generated by $g_1$ and $g_2$, each of which have order $2$, so $G$ is dihedral. Thus, $G$ has an index two cyclic subgroup $C$ of order prime to $p$, so $C$ is contained in a torus $T$, and $G$ is contained in $N(T)$. $\square$.

Now, if $\lvert G\rvert \leq 60$, then $\tfrac{p^2-1}{2} \leq 60$ and $p \leq 11$. If $G$ is contained in the normalizer of a torus (and now using that $G$ is in $\PSL_2$, not just $\PGL_2$), then $\lvert G\rvert$ divides either $p-1$ (in the case of a split torus) or $\tfrac{p+1}{2}$ (in the case of a nonsplit torus). Either way, this is incompatible with $\lvert G\rvert = \tfrac{p^2-1}{2}$ for $p>2$.

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David E Speyer
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We can use geometry of algebraic curves to get this bound. As mentioned in the other answer, we reduce to showing that $PSL_2(\mathbb{F}_p)$ does not have a subgroup of index $p$. If it did, the order of that group would be $\tfrac{(p+1)(p-1)}{2}$. We then show the following:

Lemma Let $k$ be a field of characteristic $p$ (possibly $0$) and let $G$ be a finite subgroup of $PGL_2(\mathbb{F}_p)$ with $|G| \not\equiv 0 \bmod p$. Then either (1) $|G| \leq 60$ or (2) $G$ is contained in the normalizer of a torus (which may or may not be split).

Proof Without loss of generality, we pass to the algebraic closure of $k$; this isn't essential, but it makes the algebraic geometry language simpler. The group $G$ acts on $\mathbb{P}^1$, and thus $\mathbb{P}^1/G$ is an algebraic curve, which be isomorphic to $\mathbb{P}^1$. Thus, we get a $G$-covering $\mathbb{P}^1 \to \mathbb{P}^1$.

Since $|G|$ is not $0 \bmod p$, this is a separable map; let it be ramified over $x_1$, $x_2$, ..., $x_r$ with ramification of order $e_i$ over $x_i$. Since $p$ does not divide $|G|$, we can apply the Riemann-Hurwitz formula and compute $$2 |G| = 2 + \sum_i \tfrac{|G|}{e_i} (e_i-1)$$ or, in other words, $$|G| = \frac{2}{2 - \sum_{i=1}^r (1-e_i^{-1})}.$$ Since $2 \leq |G| < \infty$, we see that $1 \leq \sum_{i=1}^r (1-e_i^{-1}) < 2$. If $r \geq 4$, this is impossible, since each summand is at least $1/2$. Having $r = 1$ is also impossible, as then $\sum_{i=1}^r (1-e_i^{-1})<1$. So we get down to $r=2$ or $r=3$. In the case $r=3$, at least one of the $e_i$ must be $2$, or else we would have $\sum_{i=1}^r (1-e_i^{-1}) \geq 2$. If exactly one of the $e_i$ is $2$ then the closest we can get to $2$ without going over is $\sum_{i=1}^r (1-e_i^{-1}) = 1/2+2/3+4/5 = 59/30$, which gives $|G| = 60$. So we have now reduced to the case of either $r=2$ or of $r=3$ and $e_1=e_2=2$.

I think there is should be a more elementary way to say this next part, but the prime-to-$p$ fundamental group of $\mathbb{P}^1 \setminus \{ \text{$r$ points}\}$ is the profinite completion of $\langle g_1, g_2, \ldots, g_r \rangle / (g_1 g_2 \cdots g_r)$, where the element $g_i$ will act with order $e_i$ in a cover ramified of order $e_i$ over the $i$-th point. In particular, $G$ will be generated by $\{ g_1, g_2, \ldots, g_{r-1} \}$.

Now, if $r=2$, then $G$ is generated by $g_1$. So $G$ is cyclic, and of order prime to $p$, so $G$ is contained in a torus.

If $r=3$ and $e_1 = e_2 = 2$, then $G$ is generated by $g_1$ and $g_2$, each of which have order $2$, so $G$ is dihedral. Thus, $G$ has an index two cyclic subgroup $C$ of order prime to $p$, so $C$ is contained in a torus $T$, and $G$ is contained in $N(T)$. $\square$.

Now, if $|G| \leq 60$, then $\tfrac{p^2-1}{2} \leq 60$ and $p \leq 11$. If $|G|$ is contained in the normalizer of a torus (and now using that $G$ is in $PSL_2$, not just $PGL_2$), then $|G|$ divides either $p-1$ (in the case of a split torus) or $\tfrac{p+1}{2}$ (in the case of a nonsplit torus). Either way, this is incompatible with $|G| = \tfrac{p^2-1}{2}$ for $p>2$.