Let x(t+1) = x(t) + e(t)$x(t+1) = x(t) + e(t)$, e(t)$e(t)$ iid N(0,1)$\mathcal{N}(0,1)$. What is the probability of x(s)> c$x(s)> c$, for any 0<s<T$0<s<T$? Calculation for any specific s$s$ is easy. But I am looking for the probability that the random walk crosses c$c$ any time between now and T$T$. Easy to implement approximation preferred.
Igor Sikora
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