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Oct 18, 2020 at 3:37 comment added usul Never mind - see my other answer; G&R give an example of the continuous ranked probability score (CRPS).
Oct 17, 2020 at 10:46 comment added usul @aduh, yeah, it's a great question. I can give the above nontrivial weakly proper rules, but I wonder if there might not exist a strictly proper one.
Oct 17, 2020 at 2:55 comment added aduh Thanks for this. You're right that restricting $\mathcal P$ can be important. I suppose I should clarify, then, that my question is about the case where $\mathcal P$ is the set of all probability measures on some space. To make this more concrete, let $(\Omega, \mathcal A)$ be the unit interval with its Borel algebra. What's an explicit example of a strictly proper scoring rule on the set $\mathcal P$ of all probability measures on $(\Omega, \mathcal A)$?
Oct 15, 2020 at 6:29 history answered usul CC BY-SA 4.0