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Timeline for Drunkards Uphill Walk

Current License: CC BY-SA 3.0

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Apr 13, 2017 at 18:38 comment added aorq It seems to me that this is a special case of mathoverflow.net/questions/41939/a-balls-and-colours-problem/… except that with probability $1/n^2$ you don't do anything.
Mar 23, 2017 at 12:05 vote accept Hauke Reddmann
Mar 22, 2017 at 18:12 comment added Joseph O'Rourke @RW: Sorry, I misunderstood the process. Deleted my comment. For $n=2$, the stopping time is about $9.3$. For $n=3$, about $22.2$.
Mar 22, 2017 at 18:06 answer added dgulotta timeline score: 4
Mar 22, 2017 at 15:01 comment added R W @Joseph O'Rourke Come on - by symmetry the stopping time is the same as just for the associated chain on $[0,n]$. So, for $n=2$ we are talking about the chain on $\{0,1,2\}$ with the transition probabilities $p(2,2)=p(2,1)=1/2$ and $p(1,2)=p(1,0)=3/16,\; p(1,1)=10/16$.
Mar 22, 2017 at 13:59 comment added dgulotta It is possible to write down a generating function for the expected stopping time. If $a_{ij}$ is the expected stopping time with $i$ white and $j$ black balls, then the generating function $f(x,y)=\sum_{ij} a_{ij} x^i y^j$ satisfies $-xy \frac{\partial}{\partial x} \frac{\partial}{\partial y} \left( \frac{(x-y)^2}{xy} f\right) = \left( x \frac{\partial}{\partial x}+y \frac{\partial}{\partial y} \right)^2 \frac{x}{1-x} \frac{y}{1-y}$ which has the solution $f = xy \frac{(xy-1)(\log(1-x) - \log(1-y))}{(x-y)(1-x)^2(1-y)^2}+\frac{xy}{(1-x)^2(1-y)^2}$.
Mar 22, 2017 at 13:20 comment added R W The OP has actually described the chain on the integer interval $[0,2n]$ whose transitions are combined steps (1) and (2). Then one should just write (and easily solve) the usual equation for the expected absorption (hitting) times.
Mar 22, 2017 at 10:33 comment added Liviu Nicolaescu The Markov chain dynamics is independent of the past. The dynamics you describe depends on the immediate past. I could be wrong, but it would help if you detail the question by including 1. the state space of this Markov chain and 2.the transition probabilities.
Mar 22, 2017 at 10:02 history asked Hauke Reddmann CC BY-SA 3.0