Skip to main content
replaced http://mathoverflow.net/ with https://mathoverflow.net/
Source Link

Alice and Bob play a game in which each flips a fair coin repeatedly until it turns up tails, earning a score equal to the number of times it turns up heads. (Thus if Alice flips $HHHT$, her score is $3$.) The high scorer wins, and collects a prize of $4^n$ from the loser, where $n$ is the loser's score.

Let $P(a,b)$ be Alice's payoff when she and Bob earn scores of $a$ and $b$. Then Alice's expected payoff is $$\sum_{b=0}^\infty{1\over 2^{b+1}}\sum_{a=0}^\infty {1\over 2^{a+1}}P(a,b)=1/2>0$$ so that Alice, if she's an expected-value maximizer, should certainly agree to play this game.

On the other hand, her expected payoff is also $$\sum_{a=0}^\infty{1\over 2^{a+1}}\sum_{b=0}^\infty {1\over 2^{b+1}}P(a,b)=-1/2<0$$ so she should certainly refuse to play.

Some further words on the matter (including a reference to a MathOverflow postMathOverflow post!) can be found here.

Alice and Bob play a game in which each flips a fair coin repeatedly until it turns up tails, earning a score equal to the number of times it turns up heads. (Thus if Alice flips $HHHT$, her score is $3$.) The high scorer wins, and collects a prize of $4^n$ from the loser, where $n$ is the loser's score.

Let $P(a,b)$ be Alice's payoff when she and Bob earn scores of $a$ and $b$. Then Alice's expected payoff is $$\sum_{b=0}^\infty{1\over 2^{b+1}}\sum_{a=0}^\infty {1\over 2^{a+1}}P(a,b)=1/2>0$$ so that Alice, if she's an expected-value maximizer, should certainly agree to play this game.

On the other hand, her expected payoff is also $$\sum_{a=0}^\infty{1\over 2^{a+1}}\sum_{b=0}^\infty {1\over 2^{b+1}}P(a,b)=-1/2<0$$ so she should certainly refuse to play.

Some further words on the matter (including a reference to a MathOverflow post!) can be found here.

Alice and Bob play a game in which each flips a fair coin repeatedly until it turns up tails, earning a score equal to the number of times it turns up heads. (Thus if Alice flips $HHHT$, her score is $3$.) The high scorer wins, and collects a prize of $4^n$ from the loser, where $n$ is the loser's score.

Let $P(a,b)$ be Alice's payoff when she and Bob earn scores of $a$ and $b$. Then Alice's expected payoff is $$\sum_{b=0}^\infty{1\over 2^{b+1}}\sum_{a=0}^\infty {1\over 2^{a+1}}P(a,b)=1/2>0$$ so that Alice, if she's an expected-value maximizer, should certainly agree to play this game.

On the other hand, her expected payoff is also $$\sum_{a=0}^\infty{1\over 2^{a+1}}\sum_{b=0}^\infty {1\over 2^{b+1}}P(a,b)=-1/2<0$$ so she should certainly refuse to play.

Some further words on the matter (including a reference to a MathOverflow post!) can be found here.

Post Made Community Wiki by Todd Trimble
added 4 characters in body
Source Link
Steven Landsburg
  • 23k
  • 5
  • 95
  • 153

Alice and Bob play a game in which each flips a fair coin repeatedly until it turns up tails, earning a score equal to the number of times it turns up heads. (Thus if Alice flips $HHHT$, her score is $3$.) The high scorer wins, and collects a prize of $4^n$ from the loser, where $n$ is the loser's score.

Let $P(a,b)$ be Alice's payoff when she and Bob earn scores of $a$ and $b$. Then Alice's expected payoff is $$\sum_{b=0}^\infty{1\over 2^{b+1}}\sum_{a=0}^\infty {1\over 2^{a+1}}P(a,b)=1/2>0$$ so that Alice, if she's an expected-value maximizer, should certainly agree to play this game. On

On the other hand, her expected payoff is also $$\sum_{a=0}^\infty{1\over 2^{a+1}}\sum_{b=0}^\infty {1\over 2^{b+1}}P(a,b)=-1/2<0$$ so she should certainly refuse to play.

Some further words on the matter (including a reference to a MathOverflow post!) can be found here.

Alice and Bob play a game in which each flips a fair coin repeatedly until it turns up tails, earning a score equal to the number of times it turns up heads. (Thus if Alice flips $HHHT$, her score is $3$.) The high scorer wins, and collects a prize of $4^n$ from the loser, where $n$ is the loser's score.

Let $P(a,b)$ be Alice's payoff when she and Bob earn scores of $a$ and $b$. Then Alice's expected payoff is $$\sum_{b=0}^\infty{1\over 2^{b+1}}\sum_{a=0}^\infty {1\over 2^{a+1}}P(a,b)=1/2>0$$ so that Alice, if she's an expected-value maximizer, should certainly agree to play this game. On the other hand, her expected payoff is also $$\sum_{a=0}^\infty{1\over 2^{a+1}}\sum_{b=0}^\infty {1\over 2^{b+1}}P(a,b)=-1/2<0$$ so she should certainly refuse to play.

Some further words on the matter (including a reference to a MathOverflow post!) can be found here.

Alice and Bob play a game in which each flips a fair coin repeatedly until it turns up tails, earning a score equal to the number of times it turns up heads. (Thus if Alice flips $HHHT$, her score is $3$.) The high scorer wins, and collects a prize of $4^n$ from the loser, where $n$ is the loser's score.

Let $P(a,b)$ be Alice's payoff when she and Bob earn scores of $a$ and $b$. Then Alice's expected payoff is $$\sum_{b=0}^\infty{1\over 2^{b+1}}\sum_{a=0}^\infty {1\over 2^{a+1}}P(a,b)=1/2>0$$ so that Alice, if she's an expected-value maximizer, should certainly agree to play this game.

On the other hand, her expected payoff is also $$\sum_{a=0}^\infty{1\over 2^{a+1}}\sum_{b=0}^\infty {1\over 2^{b+1}}P(a,b)=-1/2<0$$ so she should certainly refuse to play.

Some further words on the matter (including a reference to a MathOverflow post!) can be found here.

added 109 characters in body
Source Link
Steven Landsburg
  • 23k
  • 5
  • 95
  • 153

Alice and Bob play a game in which each flips a fair coin repeatedly until it turns up tails, earning a score equal to the number of times it turns up heads. (Thus if Alice flips $HHHT$, her score is $3$.) The high scorer wins, and collects a prize of $4^n$ from the loser, where $n$ is the loser's score.

Let $P(a,b)$ be Alice's payoff when she and Bob earn scores of $a$ and $b$. Then Alice's expected payoff is $$\sum_{b=0}^\infty{1\over 2^{b+1}}\sum_{a=0}^\infty {1\over 2^{a+1}}P(a,b)=1/2>0$$ so that Alice, if she's an expected-value maximizer, should certainly agree to play this game. On the other hand, her expected payoff is also $$\sum_{a=0}^\infty{1\over 2^{a+1}}\sum_{b=0}^\infty {1\over 2^{b+1}}P(a,b)=-1/2<0$$ so she should certainly refuse to play.

Some further words on the matter (including a reference to a MathOverflow postMathOverflow post!) can be found here.

Alice and Bob play a game in which each flips a fair coin repeatedly until it turns up tails, earning a score equal to the number of times it turns up heads. (Thus if Alice flips $HHHT$, her score is $3$.) The high scorer wins, and collects a prize of $4^n$ from the loser, where $n$ is the loser's score.

Let $P(a,b)$ be Alice's payoff when she and Bob earn scores of $a$ and $b$. Then Alice's expected payoff is $$\sum_{b=0}^\infty{1\over 2^{b+1}}\sum_{a=0}^\infty {1\over 2^{a+1}}P(a,b)=1/2>0$$ so that Alice, if she's an expected-value maximizer, should certainly agree to play this game. On the other hand, her expected payoff is also $$\sum_{a=0}^\infty{1\over 2^{a+1}}\sum_{b=0}^\infty {1\over 2^{b+1}}P(a,b)=-1/2<0$$ so she should certainly refuse to play.

Some further words on the matter (including a reference to a MathOverflow post!) can be found here.

Alice and Bob play a game in which each flips a fair coin repeatedly until it turns up tails, earning a score equal to the number of times it turns up heads. (Thus if Alice flips $HHHT$, her score is $3$.) The high scorer wins, and collects a prize of $4^n$ from the loser, where $n$ is the loser's score.

Let $P(a,b)$ be Alice's payoff when she and Bob earn scores of $a$ and $b$. Then Alice's expected payoff is $$\sum_{b=0}^\infty{1\over 2^{b+1}}\sum_{a=0}^\infty {1\over 2^{a+1}}P(a,b)=1/2>0$$ so that Alice, if she's an expected-value maximizer, should certainly agree to play this game. On the other hand, her expected payoff is also $$\sum_{a=0}^\infty{1\over 2^{a+1}}\sum_{b=0}^\infty {1\over 2^{b+1}}P(a,b)=-1/2<0$$ so she should certainly refuse to play.

Some further words on the matter (including a reference to a MathOverflow post!) can be found here.

edited body
Source Link
Steven Landsburg
  • 23k
  • 5
  • 95
  • 153
Loading
deleted 3 characters in body
Source Link
Steven Landsburg
  • 23k
  • 5
  • 95
  • 153
Loading
Source Link
Steven Landsburg
  • 23k
  • 5
  • 95
  • 153
Loading