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Jul 4, 2016 at 5:47 vote accept CommunityBot
Jul 1, 2016 at 20:51 answer added Iosif Pinelis timeline score: 5
Jun 21, 2016 at 16:31 comment added Christian Remling @CarloBeenakker: Yes, the density is $P'_n$ in your notation and $p'_n$ in mine, and $P_n\to 1$ as $n\to\infty$ for fixed $c$, but that's clear and doesn't address the original question.
Jun 21, 2016 at 6:37 comment added Carlo Beenakker @ChristianRemling --- correct me if I have misunderstood you, but isn't this "peaked density" just the derivative with respect to $\delta$ of the sinc integral in my posting below, so this distribution tends for $n\rightarrow\infty$ to $P_n(\delta)\rightarrow\sqrt{6n/\pi}\exp(-6n\delta^2)$ (with $\delta=c-1/2$)
Jun 20, 2016 at 18:49 comment added Christian Remling @wolfies: The Bates and IH distributions are related by $B_n(x)=IH_n(nx)$, so either one is fine. In any event, I'd love to see a proof of the claims you're making (why does the density "become more peaked"), so if you have one, please post.
Jun 20, 2016 at 17:28 comment added wolfies [ and mode at 1/2 ]
Jun 20, 2016 at 16:52 comment added wolfies And the result should follow conceptually ... the $\text{Bates}(n)$ distribution has a constant mean at $\frac12$, and as $n$ increases, the pdf becomes more peaked ... it has variance of $\frac{1}{12n}$, so as $n$ increases, the distribution narrows and converges upon the mean , i.e. if $Z \sim \text{Bates}(n)$, then $P(Z < c)$, for $c > 1/2$ (the mean) must be increasing in $n$.
Jun 20, 2016 at 16:25 comment added wolfies You want Bates distribution ... not Irwin-Hall.
Jun 20, 2016 at 9:44 comment added Carlo Beenakker @BenCrowell --- the large-$n$ limit is actually reached very early, I didn't do a formal error bound analysis, but the numerics indicates a rapid convergence, see the plot at the end of my posting.
Jun 20, 2016 at 1:01 comment added Christian Remling @BenCrowell: We're not in the regime of the CLT though, our probabilities are close to $1$ (we're many standard deviations away from the mean).
Jun 19, 2016 at 22:30 history edited user31317 CC BY-SA 3.0
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Jun 19, 2016 at 21:26 comment added user21349 Maybe it's possible to prove this by putting error bounds on the approximation of the distribution as a normal distribution. Related: math.stackexchange.com/questions/31365/… stats.stackexchange.com/questions/30468/…
Jun 18, 2016 at 20:24 answer added Carlo Beenakker timeline score: 3
Jun 18, 2016 at 20:20 comment added Christian Remling The fact that $p_n''<0$ actually works against me, and I need the asymmetry of the interval I'm averaging over to at least compensate for this.
Jun 18, 2016 at 20:18 comment added user31317 I saw the post, where was the mistake?
Jun 18, 2016 at 20:16 comment added Christian Remling I have a feeling this might be rather subtle, at least for $c$ close to $1/2$. I just posted and deleted an incorrect answer, and the summary of that is that there are competing effects.
Jun 18, 2016 at 20:02 comment added user31317 I did simulations too. That is why I asked the question. The proof is all that matters...
Jun 18, 2016 at 20:01 answer added Christian Remling timeline score: 3
Jun 18, 2016 at 19:16 comment added Mark L. Stone Based om simulation, I think the result is true, presuming "increasing" is interpreted as meaning "non-decreasing" (in order to cover $c \ge 1$). I leave the proof to you.
Jun 18, 2016 at 18:55 history edited user31317 CC BY-SA 3.0
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Jun 18, 2016 at 18:39 history asked user31317 CC BY-SA 3.0