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Mar 5, 2015 at 19:49 comment added esg I should have stated that the $X_i$ are jointly Multinomial (with $n$ and $p_1=...=p_k=1/k$), which makes clear that (1) it agrees with the model of a randomly chosen hash function and (2) that each $X_i$ is $Bin(n,1/k)$. A proof along the elegant lines of the first solution can also be given, by showing that the no. $X_c$ of pwds which hash to the same value as a randomly chosen pwd has distribution $1+Bin(n-1,1/k)$, and computing $\mathbb{E}(R)=\mathbb{E}{n+1 \over 1+X_c}$. But I found the approach above simpler.
Mar 5, 2015 at 14:55 comment added Mark Wildon Of course. Linearity of expectation strikes again. Thank you for the explanation.
Mar 5, 2015 at 12:33 comment added Douglas Zare @Mark Wildon: Independence isn't required. We can write the stopping time as a sum of random variables that are $r$ when the special ball goes into the $i$th bin, and $0$ otherwise, and use linearity of expectation, so only the distributions of balls in each bin matters.
Mar 5, 2015 at 10:26 comment added Mark Wildon But if each $X_i$ is independent $\mathrm{Bin}(n,1/k)$ then we need not have $\sum_{i=1}^k X_i = n$. So I don't think this agrees with the intended model for a randomly chosen hash function. Of course it may still be a good approximation.
Mar 4, 2015 at 19:01 history answered esg CC BY-SA 3.0